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A growing band of investors is betting that a recovery in the housing market is in the offing and has been ploughing its money into residential property funds.
Optimism about bricks and mortar has been in short supply over the past year as house prices have plummeted. But bullish commentators claim there are increasing signs that the ailing market is awakening.
Halifax reports that house prices rose by 2.6 per cent in May, the first increase in four months and the biggest jump since October 2002.
A separate, closely watched survey, from the Land Registry, shows that prices fell by only 0.3 per cent in April, the lowest monthly fall in a year. Adding to the more positive mood, Nationwide Building Society’s index for May showed that prices had risen by 1.2 per cent, the second time in three months the lender has reported an increase.
Ray Boulger, of John Charcol, the mortgage broker, says: “In parts of London prices have certainly bottomed out and nationally I would expect prices to stabilise by September. I wouldn’t be surprised if prices increased towards the end of the year.”
Not everyone is positive. Martin Gahbauer, chief economist at Nationwide, believes that prices will continue to fall until at least December. He says: “The past three months have shown a slowdown in the pace of decline but there are still considerable headwinds. Unemployment is expected to rise in the coming months and pent-up supply could re-enter the market as prices stabilise, putting a downward pressure on valuations.”
Mortgage approvals in April were up 8 per cent on March, according to the Bank of England. But they were still down 22 per cent on last year, suggesting that a quick recovery is by no means certain.
Richard Donnell, of Hometrack, the housing market analyst, says: “Overall levels of market activity are well down on what would constitute normal market conditions. The willing purchasers who are returning to the market are largely confined to the more wealthy areas of the country and limited to those buying with cash.”
There may be disagreement about the future of the market and even optimistic pundits are not predicting a boom in prices, but interest among investors for property funds is rising.
Heavy discounts by distressed sellers and desperate developers have helped to boost income yields for buy-to-let investments. Other less publicised products, such as ground-rent funds, do not depend so heavily on a full recovery in house prices and have managed to provide stable returns even as the market has fallen.
Mark Ashton, of Ashton Hoyle, an independent financial adviser, says: “As other assets have performed poorly, these funds are now attracting more interest.”
Investment firms have launched several residential property funds in recent weeks but should you consider dipping your foot back into the market by adding a property fund to your investment portfolio? Times Money looks at the options and considers the risks.
Ground-rent funds
A number of funds invest in the freeholds of blocks of flats and houses meaning that they have a more stable income than most other types of property fund.
Ground-rent funds collect a fixed fee from occupiers, typically £50-£100 a year, although the charge varies.
If a leaseholder fails to pay, the freeholder has first charge over the property, even before a mortgage lender. As a result, lenders will typically step in and pay the ground rent to protect their claim on the property. Steven Daniels, assistant director of property at Close Brothers, which runs the Freehold Income Trust, says: “Ground rents are largely detached from the value of property and the length of leases means that the income is very stable for the long term. We’ve seen a lot more interest as yields on government gilts have fallen and high-street savings rates have dropped close to zero.”
The Close Freehold Income Trust has returned 6 per cent over the past year, according to Trustnet, the data provider. Over three years it is up 21 per cent, and over five years has risen 40 per cent.
There are risks, which apply to all residential property funds. Clive Rose, of Savills Private Finance, a broker, cautions: “These funds offer good returns but they are unregulated and tend to be aimed at more sophisticated investors.”
Most residential property funds are available only through independent Continued from page 65 financial advisers as unregulated funds cannot advertise or produce marketing material. Before investing, experts recommend that you do your research. Most funds are “closedended”; this means that once you have invested, you will not have access to your money until the fund closes.
UBS and Braemar also offer ground-rent funds. The minimum investment is typically from £10,000.
Student accommodation
Like ground-rent schemes, student accommodation funds are not directly related to rises and falls in house prices. They typically purchase blocks from universities or fund the building of accommodation in towns with a large university population.
The Brandeaux student accommodation fund, which requires a minimum investment of £10,000, returned 11 per cent in the 12 months to the end of April this year.
Supporters of the schemes say that the Government drive to push up university applications will ensure that demand remains high. Figures from Ucas, the university admissions service, show that there was a 10.5 per cent increase in student numbers in the last academic year.
However, James Norton, of Evolve Financial Planning, says: “With less public money to fund education, I would imagine it is likely that the recent rises in student numbers could tail off soon and may even start to fall, which would hit the returns provided by these funds.”
Regional funds
These schemes are focused on specialist areas of the residential property market. The Prime London Capital Fund is one of the more accessible schemes with a minimum investment of £1,000. Managed by the estate agent Douglas & Gordon, it invests in top-end London property, as does the Hyde Park Fund run by BDO Stoy Hayward Investment Management.
Distressed-seller funds
The success of these schemes is linked directly to a recovery in the property market, making them a riskier option. These funds aim to buy properties from distressed sellers — thereby securing discounts of up to 70 per cent of the original price. The properties are then rented out to provide a return.
Assetz runs the UK Residential Recovery Fund. London Central Portfolio recently launched the London Central Residential Recovery Fund, which seeks to buy distressed assets in areas of the capital such as Knightsbridge and Mayfair.
Most advisers suggest that you steer clear. Mr Norton says: “Quoting the discount on the original property price of up to 70 per cent is meaningless. If a property did not sell for say £200,000 in 2007 and it is bought for £140,000 now it suggests that it was overvalued two years ago.”
Christopher Moore, 43, and his wife Kimberley, 38, have put £10,000 into the Close Freehold Income Trust, a ground-rent fund.
CASE STUDY: ‘Fund offers a stable, and safer, income’
Christopher Moore, 43, and his wife Kimberley, 38, have put £10,000 into the Close Freehold Income Trust, a ground-rent fund.
The couple who live in Colchester, Essex, say that they were attracted to the fund because it provides a stable income. They also consider it to be safer than other types of residential property investment.
Mr Moore, who works as a director in risk management at a big investment bank, says: “The returns elsewhere are so atrocious that the ground-rent fund from Close looked quite attractive. There is never going to be a case where ground rent is not going to be paid. Even if the holder of the lease would not pay, the mortgage lender would step in.”
The couple do not have a wide range of investments, although Mr Moore occasionally engages in share trading. However, with two children, aged 2 and 7, they want to plan their finances for the longer term.
“The biggest risk with a fund like this is liquidity. If hundreds of people decided to leave there might be a problem, but I’m in it for the long term so that doesn’t worry me,” Mr Moore says.
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