Lewis Smith, Environment Reporter
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
This decade looks set to be the hottest on record and this year is almost certain to be the seventh warmest worldwide since 1850.
Eight years in the past decade are in the world’s ten hottest, according to Met Office statistics released to coincide with the United Nations conference in Bali on climate change.
The figures also show that 2007 has been a warm year for the United Kingdom, even though most of the summer appeared to have been washed away by record-breaking deluges.
In the UK 2007 is expected to be the third hottest since nationwide records began in 1914. In this set of data, the past six years are all in the top six.
The readings were hailed as further justification among scientists for demands that world leaders meeting at the UN summit must agree international reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, particularly carbon dioxide.
Myles Allen, of the University of Oxford, went as far as to say that the statistics were as good as telling politicians and bureaucrats: “We told you so.”
“These figures come as no surprise to climate scientists,” he said. “Global temperatures are rising almost exactly as we predicted they would more than 15 years ago as a result of human activity.
“While there is still plenty of work to be done on the implications, the scientific debate over whether rising greenhouse gas levels are the principal cause of this warming has effectively been dead for years, despite the heroic efforts of some sections of the media to keep it on life support.”
Peter Falloon, of the Met Office Hadley Centre, said: “This is an extraordinary run of hottest years and can only deepen our concerns about the seriousness of global warming.”
The study was carried out by researchers from the Met Office and the University of East Anglia, who agreed that the measurements provided further evidence that the world is warming up. By releasing the figures as Michel Jarraud, the secretary-general of the World Meteorological Organisation, spoke in Bali, they hoped to em-phasise to delegates the evidence for global warming and the urgency with which it needs to be addressed.
Every year since 2001, including that year, has made it into the Top Ten warmest years, and 1998 was the hottest of all, whereas the last time that a year fell below the 1961-90 global temperature average was in 1985.
At the beginning of the year, 2007 was assessed as having a 60 per cent chance of being the hottest yet but initial fears that it would break all temperature records eased when the La Niña event took effect after April.
“The year began with a weak El Niño – the warmer relation of La Niña – and global temperatures well above the long-term average,” Phil Jones, the director of the UEA’s Climatic Research Unit, said.
“However, since the end of April the La Niña event has taken some of the heat out of what could have been an even warmer year.”
He added: “2007 was warmer in the northern hemisphere, where the year ranks second warmest, than the southern hemisphere, where it ranks ninth warmest.”
David Parker, a Met Office climate scientist, said: “This year has also seen sea-ice extent in the northern hemisphere below average in each month of 2007, with record minima sea ice reported in July, August and September. In the southern hemisphere, sea ice coverage has remained close to average.”
Vicky Pope, of the Met Office Hadley Centre, is one of the scientists at the two-week Bali summit, which continues tomorrow. She said: “The last few days have provided an important platform for debate and confirm the need for swift action to combat further rises in global temperatures because of human behaviour.”
The annual temperature figures published yesterday were a further cause for alarm about the warming trend that scientists have concluded is caused mainly by Man through greenhouse gas emissions.
Paul Williams, a climate modeller at the University of Reading, said: “This is further evidence that the pace of global warming is accelerating at an alarming rate.
“The need for action has never been greater, and yet nations are still dragging their feet in Bali. We must urgently start treating the atmosphere more like a vital reservoir and less like a sewer.”
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Funny the UN consensus on global warming turned out to be 52 scientist. Oh boy! Sorry but global warming by humans is a farse science.
Chuckd, middletown, OH
Dennis is right in the period 1961 to 1980 the world according ton scientists, media and government was going into anothe ice age.....its like evrything you can make stats say what you want them to!!
paul, shropshire,
Of course they are always on a winner by using the period 1961-1990, one of the coldest periods in the 20th century.
According to the Met Office Central England Temperature record, it has taken 200 years for 30-year average summer temperatures to beat those of the 18th century.
1768-1797 15.51 deg C
1978-2007 15.72 deg C
This is a measly 0.21 degree increase in that time, after two centuries of industrialisation and CO2. The Met Office blatantly cherry-picks its own data to fit the theory and ignores temperatures before the latter part of the 19th century. Of course as a trading arm of the MOD they sell global warming products to Industry and they cannot suddenly say there is no problem.
DennisA, Newquay, UK
2007 was heralded here in SW France as likely to be another 2003, when many elderly people died because of high temperatures. Sadly the year turned out to be at least 3 degrees cooler each month of the year as recorded on my terrace.
We look forward to a little global warming, please.
Colin Macpherson, Gramat , France