Carl Mortished: Analysis
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
You might think twice before switching on the lights. Brussels has finally agreed reforms to Europe’s energy markets that should weaken our addiction to fossil fuels and at the same time lighten our wallets.
The reforms strike at the heart of the power business, forcing generating companies to pay real money for the right to emit greenhouse gases. Beginning in 2013 power generators will no longer be given their carbon allowance gratis but will be forced to bid for a limited number of carbon dioxide permits, an incentive to avoid very cheap fuels that emit lots of greenhouse gases, such as coal and natural gas. If permits are scarce (and the EU intends them to be scarce) power companies will opt for more expensive energy, such as nuclear power or even renewable energy.
Over the next decade, the price of carbon dioxide may become as familiar to us as the cost of a barrel of crude oil or a litre of petrol. It will become very noticeable as power generators pass on the rising cost of pollution in our electricity bills. Carbon dioxide allowances represent about 10 per cent of the cost of electricity now but Centrica estimates that the price of carbon needs to double in order to justify the cost of building new coal power stations that store carbon dioxide.
The commission’s own estimate of the cost to consumers of low-carbon energy looks disingenous; a rise in electricity bills of 10-15 per cent is suspiciously low given the need for a high carbon price to justify investment in new technology. Moreover, the target for renewable energy imposed on Britain, 15 per cent, will be very costly, if not impossible, to achieve.
It means raising the share of renewables from 5 per cent to 36 per cent by 2020. According to the British Wind Energy Association, it implies an extra 30 gigawatts of wind power. That suggests that another 12,000 wind turbines need to be built, at a cost of some £30-40 billion.
The engineering challenge in building such a vast turbine fleet is enormous, at a time when the Government is also backing a nuclear revival.
National Grid has given warning that a big extension of the power grid will be needed to deliver power from disparate wind farms to urban areas. There are simply not enough trained power engineers to build this infrastructure. However, the regulations that will force us to pay the bill are already on the way to becoming a reality.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Well, at least Paul has actually thought about the problem!
Unsurprisingly the British Wind Energy Association a backing another 12,000 wind turbines (£30-40 billion) as their 'solution'.
What, however, they fail to mention is that wind power is parasitic upon conventional power stations. When the 'right wind' is not blowing then they rely on conventional power stations that 'someone else' has invested the capital to provide. When the wind is blowing then these competing sources must be turned off to give preference to wind power - hardly a level playing field.
Even ignoring the inconvenient fact that conventional (or nuclear) power stations will be required in any case, there is another snag. The manufacture of Wind Turbines consumes more energy than they may be expected to supply during their operational lifetime. Far from providing 'carbon free energy' they are themselves actual energy consumers; the fact that they may be bought from abroad (not OUR CO2) matters not a jot!
Mike Bibby, St Albans, England -not EU
What Mortished fails to address is the fiscal cost of inaction. It may be difficult to determine, given the variation in forecasts and possible scenarios, but "planning for the worst and hoping for the best" is sound policy here, as the worst could be truly catastrophic.
That said, I personally agree that the wishful focus on clean and renewable sources overlooks the fact that we're going to need vastly MORE electric power capacity in a carbon-neutral future : for charging cars, running mass transit, distilling ethanol, desalinating seawater for drought areas, etc., and while there's no excuse for not placing solar panels on every surface possible, feeding free and clean electricity into the grid, nuclear power has to be considered as the hope of the near future.
Geoffrey Tudor, Sequim, WA, USA
The letter from Paul, Cheshire,England should be printed in large capitals and hand delivered to all cabinet members and they should be forced to read it over and over until they can recite it by heart.
Even then, there will still be doubt that they are capable of understanding what he is saying; we can but hope.
Harry Kennard, Peasmarsh RYE, UK East Sussex
Unless products and services' prices include the price of carbon upon the environment, climate change can never be addressed nor can the economic system continue. There is much more on this topic at the Climate Ark at http://www.climateark.org/
Dr. Glen Barry, Denmark, USA
reality?.............reality is the lunatics think we all grow eco friendly money trees.
Beverley, West Midlands, England
After 40 years of investigation, no novel, renewable power sources have been discovered beyond those known for centuries, so that renewable power would remain dependent upon the wind, the heat from the sun and flowing water. These are all diffuse, unpredictable power sources that we abandoned in Victorian times when reliable steam engines became available.
The financial operations, food supply systems, hospitals etc in an advanced society cannot function with power available only subject to the vagaries of the climate. We must never forget that energy supply is not an abstract intellectual pursuit or a branch of metaphysics. It is a practical discipline that obeys the laws of physics, not European diktats and party manifestos.
Paul , cheshire, england
Sounds like another shakedown!
Peter, Manchester, England