Carl Mortished, World Business Editor
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The spectre of food shortages is casting a shadow across the globe, causing riots in Africa, consumer protests in Europe and panic in food-importing countries. In a world of increasing affluence, the hoarding of rice and wheat has begun. The President of the Philippines made an unprecedented call last week to the Vietnamese Prime Minister, requesting that he promise to supply a quantity of rice.
The personal appeal by Gloria Arroyo to Nguyen Tan Dung for a guarantee was a highly unusual intervention and highlighted the Philippines’ dependence on food imports, rice in particular.
“This is a wake-up call,” said Robert Zeigler, who heads the International Rice Research Institute. “We have a crisis brewing in rice supply.” Half of the planet depends on rice but stocks are at their lowest since the mid1970s when Bangladesh suffered a terrible famine. Rice production will fall this year below the global consumption level of 430 million tonnes.
Street protests and rioting in West Africa towards the end of last year were a harbinger of bigger problems, the World Food Programme said. The global information and early warning system of the Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) has monitored outbreaks of rioting in Mexico, Morocco, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Guinea, Mauritania and Senegal. There have also been protests in Jakarta, the Indonesian capital, over government price increases.Population pressure and increased wealth are mainly to blame for the resurgence of food insecurity. More people are eating meat and dairy products in Asia, which increases the demand on the animal-feed industry. Milk powder prices rose from $2,000 to $4,800 per tonne last year as rising consumption of milk products in Asia coincided with shortages in the Western world. Drought in Australia has worsened the problem as have government policies in Europe and America to increase the use of biofuels.
Mounting concern about rice has prompted the Indian Government to restrict exports of certain varieties. The measure triggered a surge in global rice prices, which have risen 50 per cent in a year, according to the FAO. The rice shortage is even felt in Britain where the price of basmati, the biggest-selling variety, is rising rapidly.
Wheat is suffering even greater pressures, with prices up 115 per cent in a year. A succession of droughts in Australia has put upward pressure on the cost of a food commodity that is already in short supply. Stocks are at a 40-year low and exports are being restricted from Beijing to Buenos Aires. Ukraine started closing its door to grain exports in June and Russia set a 40 per cent export tariff on wheat in January.
Argentina has delayed the reopening of its wheat export registry until April to protect domestic supplies, and China, a net exporter of corn, rice and wheat last year, has imposed export quotas on grain in order to stem runaway food price inflation. A surge in its inflation index in December was blamed entirely on rising food prices, notably pork, which rose 48 per cent.
Farmers worldwide are worried about feed costs. In Europe pig and poultry breeders are threatening to cut production unless they are paid higher prices.
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Not many give this a thought. Not when so much is placed on other issues while soil management techniques are given a wide berth. There can never be economic growth for all where there is hunger unless those with empty stomachs have to 'work for food' for a super rich person. So much for equality.
Tony, Nairobi, Kenya
Revelation 6:5,6 ~Authorized King James Bible~
And when he had opened the third seal, I heard the third beast say, Come and see. And I beheld, and lo a black horse; and he that sat on him had a pair of balances in his hand.
And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, A measure of wheat for a penny, and three measures of barley
for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine.
If you have been educated out of your belief in the words of God's Holy Bible, then you don't stand a chance. Repent and Believe on the Lord Jesus Christ and thou shalt be saved. Don't wait, the beginning of sorrows is at hand.
john R, pensacola, fl
Ok Ben G, so how does 120-150m from 6.6bn and rising make any difference?
Ks, London,
With 10-20 million people residing in some of the world's largest urban areas (Tokyo, Sao Paulo, Mexico City, etc) we have a situation unique in human history, when very large populations are dependent upon huge daily transports of food. It doesn't take much in the way of social unrest, and changes in growing conditions, etc. to make for widespread shortages.
This is only the beginning.
douglas gray, Los Angeles,
I have seen this coming since the early 90's and have been called some awfully bad names for what I said but I never gave up telling people to get prepared, for those who would not listen, I told you so, now learn to survive, I and my family have prepared and can live off the land and can stay hidden for months. The contollers are going to bring about a total economic collapse and let nature wipe out about 120-150M people, that will make it easier to control and support the few remaining and yes I believe they are telling us a lot on the show Jericho, the best way to convince people to lay down and quit is to cause a great panic, cause the problem, offer the solution, the CIA has operated this way since 1947.
Take control of the four things that run civilization, Religion, Politics, Money and Education as told by the first four seals of Revelation and there you have it, done deal.
Ben G, Mountain Home, , AR
we are one meal away from complete breakdown and chaos , it is already been planed and is what they want and need! disarm the people,control the food,............ it has been a long time coming. i only hope it is soon.....i have a family ..... john ,longwood,fl.
john, longwood, fl.
We keep being told that we have nothing to worry about. Our economy is doing great! I have watched gas, food, and daily products rise in prices that make my head spin. The government has too much control. If you really want to see where we are going, watch Jericho. It is TV, I know, but there is truth in this show of what is to come.
LaVurn Ganson, Mendo, USA
When civilization breaks down in this way, the government has failed. Do not accept their further solutions, the time has come to overthrow.
Rumple Stiltskin, New York, USA
This food problem is going to get alot worse due in part to the big corporations controlling a large extent of the farming and the govt's insistance on bio-fules as the cure to our energy problems. Until the wrold becomes more efficient at utilizing resources plan on prices rising to continue to be a common thread in our daily existence. And it surely does not help that the wrold financial situation will only add fuel to the brush fire that's in everyone's back yard.
DLB, Cincinnati, OH
Having diets switched to a vegetarian/vegan regime, would have deep consequences in many fields, including climate changes, halting destruction of forests, even changing of moods in people.
Start changing the world with your own example.
Henry Nold, Darmstadt, Germany
I expect a full-blown famine throughout southern Africa -- INCLUDING South Africa -- within the year. The subcontinent 's food was always supplied by the commercial farmers of Zimbabwe and South Africa. But there are now no excess-food producers left in Zimbabwe while South Africa only has less than 10,000 crop-growers raising excess food on LESS THAN ONE PERCENT of the country's entire surface. These countries have been relying on foreign imports to feed their populations with. However with the hoarding of grain by many countries now a fact, combined with the soaring grain prices, the Red Cross Children's Hospital and the Tygerberg hospital in Cape Town now record hundreds of severely malnourished children being brought in for 'gastric problems'. These children are on the verge of starvation. In SOUTH AFRICA!
Adriana Stuijt, Dokkum, The Netherlands, Friesland
made reading of the multi-billions our 'World's Richest men' all the more uncomfortable. As a species we are still a cosmic disappointment.
LynUK, Rochdale, UK
I agree stephen.
Especially considering how we dont grow much food in thiis country.
I hear on a regular basis of how families are struggling to put a hot dinner on the table every night due to the rising fuel costs.I hear its working out cheaper to buy takeaway every night for some families.
People need to wake up and smell the non-existant coffee exports.
But hey this is England.What do we need to worry for?jk
Tracey, Derby, u.k.
The government is trying to play down these world food shortages, in case someone asks Brown-"what are you going to do about it"? Frankly he has no idea, but then no politician will face the question-"What is the UK population policy"? We have not long to find a solution.
David Vinter, Louth, Lincs., UK.
Surprising how many hum-drum stories have managed to push this potentially important news from the front pages. Something of a reflection of exactly how much 'sapiens' present in us - perhaps we should be christening ourselves "homo semi-sapiens"?
Stephen Lawrence, Cambridge, England