Lewis Smith, Environment Reporter
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The dramatic destruction of an ice shelf is a mere side show compared to the potential of catastrophic melting elsewhere in Antarctica.
The Wilkins ice shelf covers more than 5,000 square miles, is up to 650 feet thick, took more than 1,000 years to form and is on the verge of melting in less than a decade.
Almost 200 square miles of the ice shelf in the Antarctic Peninsula shattered into thousands of ice bergs over the last month, mostly on February 28. The rest of the shelf is expected to disappear rapidly in response to rising global temperatures.
But while regarded as an impressive effect of global warming its impact on sea level rises is insignificant compared to those that scientists fear will be caused in the Western Antarctic.
Climate researchers consider the southern continent to have three distinct regions - the Antarctic Peninsula, the Western Antarctic and the Eastern Antarctic.
They are most worried about the Western Antarctic where the greatest volume of ice has been lost and where there is the potential for sudden, unpredictable and extensive melting leading to rapid sea rises.
Loss of ice shelves in the Peninsula is calculated to have little effect on sea levels because they already float in the water.
In the Western Antarctic, however, much of the ice shelf rests on rock so when it melts the water runs into the sea and can cause a rise in ocean levels.
Warmer ocean temperatures have taken a huge toll on the ice shelves in the Western Antarctic where ice is thinning at a rate of about 6-7 feet a year.
“The problem is the Western Antarctic is extremely unpredictable,” said Professor David Vaughan, of the British Antarctic Survey.
“At current rates it’s contributing a fraction of a millimetre to sea level rises per year but the potential is there for an acceleration.”
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The 3,000 Argo monitors which record and transmit ocean temperatures and other data from strata ranging from a depth of 2,000 meters to the surface 30 to 40 times a year have failed to detect any evidence of global warming. In fact, âthere has been a very slight cooling,â according to a U.S. National Public Radio (NPR) interview with Josh Willis at NASAâs Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a scientist who keeps close watch on the Argo findings.
Dr. Willis insisted the temperature drop was ânot anything really significant.â Probably accurate but would NASA or NOAA or the IPCCâ the UNâs climate experts â shrug off even a âvery slightâ warming. For certain it would be broadcast far and wide as yet another sign that man is destroying the earth. Dr. Wiilisâs spin on to NPR is a classic case of scientific double-speak he describes the results as follows âIt may be that we are in a period of less rapid warming,â Dr. Willis told NPR.â
In real science-speak that is cooling.
E. Patrick Mosman, Pleasantville, USA
Things will only get worse. Globalisation and environmentalism are not compatible.
Matt, Naples, Italy
When discussing changes (or the lack thereof) in Antarctica, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) most clearly states in their 2007 summary report âAntarctic sea ice extent continues to show inter-annual variability and localized changes but no statistically significant average trends, consistent with the lack of warming reflected in atmospheric temperatures averaged across the region.â Furthermore, IPCC just as clearly states âCurrent global model studies project that the Antarctic ice sheet will remain too cold for widespread surface melting and is expected to gain in mass due to increased snowfall.â
Max Kulow, Killyleagh, N.Ireland
Interesting concept 'Western antartic'
andy, london,
Annual sea ice grows every year as winter comes on. It has nothing to do with the melt of the glaciers coming off the continent. One is frozen sea water; the other is frozen fresh water accumulated by snow fall.
sarah krall, lander, USA
I agree with M Cawdery, how about the actual truth, now. Enough of the lies and misleading statistics. Anyway it's become a boring topic - blah, blah and more blah!
Henry, Oxford, UK
How come that if the Antarctic ice is melting, the actual satellite photographs show that the area covered by ice is expanding? Is this the case of the melting but expanding ice? Both cannot be happening at the same time; someone is telling porkies.
How about a real answer!
M. Cawdery, Portadown, Co. UK, EU.
There is a huge problem bearing down on this planet
called global warming.
It can't be shrugged off and plans should start now how
to confront it.
Let's not wait until the eleventh hour. Then it will be too late.
No, I am NOT 'chicken little.
Jerry C. Scroggin, Phoenix, Arizona/USA