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When John McCain announced last week that he was throwing his hat in the ring for the race to the White House, a lot of people scratched their heads. Here is a man desperately behind in the polls, who wants to send more troops to a war that nearly 70% of Americans oppose, and who would be the oldest US president. Yet the 70-year-old Vietnam hero is gambling that time is on his side.
Wednesday’s “soft launch” of McCain’s campaign on the David Letterman show was the first step to turn the tide of support that has swept his main rival, Rudy Giuliani, the former New York mayor lionised for his leadership on 9/11, into a 20-point lead for the Republican ticket.
The talk show venue was plainly an attempt to counter the age issue and address murmurs that the magic and swashbuckling style that distinguished McCain’s last run at the presidency in 2000 have faded to a series of lacklustre compromises designed to placate moderates and conservatives. “Contrast McCain the popular maverick on his Straight Talk Express bus tour in 2000 with the gloomy, cautious McCain of today, weighed down by Iraq,” a political journalist observed.
In the event, whatever political capital the Arizona senator gained for poking fun at the political charade of his drawn-out announcement was squandered when he said soldiers’ lives had been “wasted” in Iraq. The following day he apologised, insisting he should have used the word “sacrificed” — although his experience as a prisoner of war who survived appalling injuries and torture in North Vietnam has given him a rare authority to speak on the sufferings of servicemen.
McCain’s aides are counting on Giuliani’s record coming back to bite him, given time. When conservatives learn about his pro-choice stance on abortion and his backing for gun control, they believe, his support will wither. Giuliani’s three lively marriages and business dealings also offer rich pickings. “There’s something about Rudy that could implode,” said a political analyst.
What McCain has — and Giuliani lacks — is a state-by-state organisation that he has been carefully building for the past two years, ever since he was singled out as the Republicans’ front-runner. Last year he attended 346 events and raised more than $10.5m for Republican candidates.
By coopting as many Bush supporters as possible, he laid claim to the formidable Bush machine. But Giuliani can draw comfort from one law of American politics, which is that no Republican so far ahead at this stage has failed to win the nomination.
A hawk on foreign policy, McCain’s reputation as a maverick stems from his support for gay rights, for a guest worker programme for illegal immigrants and for the environment. Last month he teamed up with Arnold Schwarzenegger, the governor of California, to call for a nationwide acceptance of the state’s new low carbon fuel standard.
McCain knows that he is shackled to what he calls “the train wreck” of Iraq. Having backed Bush in the 2004 election and staunchly endorsed his troop “surge” in Iraq, he was reduced last week to taking a swipe at Donald Rumsfeld, calling him “one of the worst” secretaries of defence in American history for initially failing to send enough troops to get the job done. McCain’s son James is a newly enlisted marine who may have to serve in Iraq.
Another inexorable factor is his age. Ronald Reagan was 69 at his inauguration; McCain would be 72. Taking a leaf from Clint Eastwood’s book, McCain often refers to the vigour of his indomitable mother Roberta and her twin sister Rowena, who recently celebrated their 95th birthday. But few have forgotten that he might have died of skin cancer in 2000 had a melanoma not been spotted in time. His wife, the beer heiress Cindy Hensley, suffered a stroke in 2004 but appears to have made a full recovery.
The plan is to get McCain out on the road into open discussion meetings where he can offer visual reassurance about his legendary fitness. His enemies must hope that his words will be as rude as his health. He once called a senator a “f****** jerk” and had to apologise after joking of President Bill Clinton’s daughter: “Why is Chelsea Clinton so ugly? Because her father is Janet Reno (Clinton’s attorney-general, a lesbian who was scurrilously said to be carrying on with Hillary). One Arizona mayor said he didn’t want someone as out of control as McCain with his finger on the nuclear trigger.
As a child, he dealt with anger by holding his breath until he blacked out. There was some doubt whether he was made of the same Right Stuff as his father, John S McCain, a four-star admiral who commanded all US forces in the Pacific during the Vietnam war, and whose foreign postings explained why John Sidney McCain III was born in the Panama canal zone on August 29, 1936. It seems to have been an unconventional family. His grandfather, a rear-admiral who took part in key battles against the Japanese in the second world war, played the horses, drank bourbon and rolled cigarettes with one hand.
A boisterous, disruptive child, McCain was remembered at prep school near Washington DC as “a feisty little rat throwing water bombs around the dormitory”. He hated the US Naval Academy, into which he was enrolled at 16, and strove in vain to be expelled for his drinking, low grades and fighting. Although small, he was a natural athlete and an accomplished wrestler.
Matters changed little at flight school, where he drove a Corvette, dated many women and spent most of his time in bars and at beach parties. But he discovered a love of flying at the controls of A-1 Skyraiders based on the USS Intrepid and the nuclear-powered USS Enterprise.
In 1965 he married Carol Shepp, a divorced former model with two children, shortly before being posted to Vietnam. His reports began to reflect a growing maturity when he became involved in one of the worst disasters of the war. In July 1967 he was in his A-4E Skyhawk on the carrier Forrestal when a deckful of aircraft exploded in a freak accident. With his flight suit on fire, his arms and legs were hit by hot shrapnel. The incident killed 134 men, wounded dozens and destroyed 20 planes. “I’m the luckiest guy you’ll ever meet,” he said later.
His luck was about to run out. Later that year he was ordered to bomb Hanoi. Heading into a wall of antiaircraft fire and SAM missiles, the right wing of his A-4 was blown off and he was dropped into a lake in the middle of the city. Set upon by dozens of furious Vietnamese, a rifle butt broke his shoulder and he was jabbed in the ankle and groin with a bayonet.
An interminable period of beatings and interrogations began. Discovering who his father was, his captors sought to embarrass him by offering his son freedom. When McCain replied that prisoners must be released in the order of capture, the torture intensified. His left arm was refractured, his teeth were broken and his ribs cracked. He tried to commit suicide by hanging himself, but was caught and beaten again. Eventually he signed a “confession” declaring: “I am a black criminal and I have performed the deeds of an air pirate.”
In 1973, 5Å years after his capture, he was released. He returned home to find that his wife had been severely injured in a car accident and had become 4in shorter and needed crutches to walk. After extramarital affairs, he met Hensley. A year later in 1980 he divorced his first wife and married his second. “My wife was faithful and true,” he said later. “She didn’t deserve my treatment of her.”
He became commanding officer of a training squadron and the US navy’s liaison to the Senate. He retired from the navy as a captain in 1981 with a chestful of medals. Going to work for his father-in-law’s beer distributorship in Phoenix, Arizona, he won a seat in Congress in 1982 and four years later, when Senator Barry Goldwater retired, McCain was elected to succeed him.
In 1997 Time magazine named McCain as one of the “25 most influential people in America”. Helped by his best-selling family memoir, Faith of My Fathers, he made his bid for the Republican nomination to the White House.
His nemesis was George W Bush. It was alleged that voters in the Deep South were telephoned and asked whether they would support McCain if he had an illegitimate daughter with a black woman. In fact he had an adopted daughter from Bangladesh. However, McCain’s own mistakes were sufficient to hobble his chances.
Although still a towering figure in the Senate, McCain is yesterday’s hero and Giuliani is today’s. Yet all is not lost. “McCain is a tested brand who has staying power,” said a hard-nosed political commentator. “I wouldn’t write him off just yet, but he’s in a serious wobble.”

Sam Coates's blog about Westminster, politics and spin
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None too distinguished war record? I guess I was unduly impressed by the combat missions flown into heavy AA defenses, the torture in captivity, and the refusal to abandon his mates imprisoned with him when he had the chance. I guess I just set the bar too low.
Ray Brosterhous, Sacramento, CA
The only chance McCain has is in the mind of the media. GOP voters are not going to nominate him. His so-called campaign finance, his position on illegal immigration, his shameless courting of reporters, and his involvement in the "Gang of 14" on judicial nominations has disqualified him for any serious consideration as the GOP nominee.
Further, at 73 he would be the oldest person ever to start his first term in the White House. His age is not a problem in Congress, nor would it be an issue in a cabinet position, as an ambassador, etc. But it's too old for a first-term president. If Rudy implodes, then some other camdidate will get the nomination.
Diane, Arlington, VA
Apart from a none too distinguished war record, Mccain is in fact no great human(e) being either.
So what has he got to offer?
stuart turner, bristol,
I think a person of Mr Mc Cain's experiences will not declare war light heartedly. It is likely that Ms Rice will continue as foreign secretary, and as such it is more important what Mc Cain proposes to do at home.
It is crucial for USA that it gets a president that will cut government spending, and bring the budget into balance. I believe Mc Cain is more capable of that than Giuliani.
William Hagerup, Trondhjem, Norway
I will sleep better at night after reading this gentlemans profile , we will be in safe hands..NOT..!! knowing that when he declared on the David Lettermen Show, the audience were in such a frenzy, it makes you realise that there are too many sheep and not enough herders in the good old US of A ....
Trevor Coulthard, Dubai, UAE
Just the man we need for the job. A hero who is not a saint. Warts and all, the fellow is honest and brave. Two qualities that might be good for any President.
george, bandar seri begawan, brunei