Angus McLeod, Scottish Political Editor
2 for 1 tickets to Casablanca, this coming Monday
Tony Blair and Gordon Brown will attempt tomorrow to recreate their joint campaign of the 2005 general election by campaigning together in Scotland.
The Prime Minister and Chancellor, it emerged yesterday, will use a visit to Scotland to begin what sources said would be a “big economic attack” on the Scottish National Party and the cost of independence to Scottish households.
The decision by Labour’s two heavyweights to mount what could be one of their last joint electioneering efforts before Mr Blair leaves office is a measure of the deep concern inside the Labour campaign at what appears to be unstoppable Nationalist momentum in the run-up to the elections north of the Border next month.
Yet another opinion poll yesterday — the fourth in five days — put the Scottish National Party well ahead of Labour in both first-past-the-post and PR sections of the Scottish Parliament election, confirming a trend first indicated by a Populus poll in The Times last week.
The implications of such poll findings being repeated at the election on May 3 are serious for Mr Blair and Mr Brown. Mr Blair will not want to be remembered as the Prime Minister whose introduction of devolution paved the way for the break-up of Britain, and Mr Brown will not want to be entering 10 Downing Street only a few weeks after the Nationalists have won power in his own political backyard.
The decision by the two to face the SNP threat together comes at a time when Labour strategists are bemused at the party’s failure to get Scots to believe that independence will follow inevitably from the election of a Nationalist Scottish Executive in Edinburgh. The polls are also in agreement that there is no surge of support for independence with only one in four Scots backing separation. “We aren’t managing to pin the independence tail on the SNP donkey,” said one Labour source.
The Prime Minister and Chancellor can be expected to drive home Labour assertions that every household in Scotland will face a £5,000 bill if they elect the SNP, and that independence will mean an £11 billion “black hole” in the Scottish economy.
However, some senior Labour figures in Scotland believe that Mr Blair’s intervention may not be all that helpful. While they accept that the Prime Minister is a formidable political campaigner, they believe that each time he comes to Scotland he reminds undecided voters of the Iraq war debacle and the row over cash for peerages.
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Unfortunately, I believe Tony Blair, and Labour, for that matter, have pursued policies that ensure the United Kingdom will eventually become a republic.
The residents of the constituent countries argue that they are not represented effectively in Parliament. So Blair gives Wales its own Parliament. Blair undoes the Act of Union 1800 to give Scotland its own Parliament. His solution was to give nationalists a crumb but expect them to continue eating at the table.
What should've been done is to recreate the UK in the manner of Her Majesty's other Realms, and the United States - recreate the UK's countries as states or provinces, ensuring legally that each one is self-rule regarding adjudication of law and economic specialty, but still deferred to the Crown and the National Government for defense and foreign affairs. Tony Blair missed a golden opportunity. This American Democrat, for the sake of the UK, hopes a Conservative like Lady Thatcher becomes PM soon.
Otis Boone II, Sacramento, CA, USA
Oh give the Scots the independance they've been banging on about for the past 300 years, ever since they joined the "union". Our tax bill in England would be reduced considerably as our 84% of the UK population would no longer be expected to subsidise the 4% north of the boarder. We wouldn't have to put up with so many Scottish MP's in "our" parliament and we could charge all those students from north of the boarder the full "international student fees" for attending our universities. Of course, Scotland would become bankrupt unless their "government" raised taxes massively to cover the cost of paying for their own higher education, NHS prescriptions and all other services.... oh well, that's the price of independance. Actually, perhaps England ought to declare independance from the rest of the UK and save all our "Celtic" cousins the trouble.
Kevan Matthews, Nottingham, ENGLAND
Please Blair & Brown; come to Scotland, for your faces appearing here will only serve the SNP better. Brown's attempt to woo middle England with his "Gazza's" greatest goal comments and embrace Britishness rhetoric have gone down like a lead ballon up here. We do not forget easily Chancellor. And Mr Blair coming too; it just gets better and better. Remind us all why Trident should be dumped in Scotland for our safety and security; please!
They could do less damage by sending Thatcher herself.
Gary Masson, Aberdeen, Scotland
These polls, that show people in support of the Union, are made up of 4 choices, 1 of which, being Independence the other 3 including the Union (matches the election's major parties, 3 to 1), such as more powers but remaining part of the union. You need to poll it with 2 questions, 1 for Independence, 1 for the union. Try it and see what happens.
I just hope we don't follow the US by voting back in, someone who should never return to power.
G, Edinburgh,
I sincerely hope the Scottish are not impressed with these two has-beens. Give yourselves a break and tell Labour where to go.
judy, Liverpool, england
I think the opinion poll figures show that every single time Bliar and Brown attack the SNP then the gulf grows.
Alex Salmond must be hoping they spend as much time as possible up in Scotland prior to May 3rd.
Will be interesting to see whether they try to promote their own manifesto or simply persist with negatively attacking the SNP & Salmond.
Neil Hay, Malaga, Spain
The cost for independence £5000 .. per household
bring on independence the sooner the better.
Antonine Wall, Bo'ness, West Lothian