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DAVID CAMERON this weekend challenged Gordon Brown to “stop dithering” and call a general election as the Tory leader unveiled radical tax-cut plans ahead of a make-or-break party conference in Blackpool.
With some ministers now claiming there is an 80% chance of Brown calling a poll for early November, Cameron says in an interview with The Sunday Times that he is “very excited” by the prospect and “really up for it”.
“He should stop dithering,” Cameron said. “He’s got himself into a position where he either bottles it or he has given us a hell of a lot of notice of his intentions. We’ve had lots of time to hunker down and plan the election, which has been good. The machine is really ready for an election.”
The Tory leader said that despite double-figure opinion poll leads for Labour this weekend, any contest would be “wide open” because most voters “have not made up their minds”.
An Ipso-Mori poll for The Observer today gives Labour a seven-point lead on 41%, against 34% for the Tories and 16% for the Liberal Democrats. Only 13% thought Cameron was the best leader to handle a crisis, compared with 60% for Brown.
Even some members of Brown’s inner circle acknowledge that the prime minister could look weak if, after allowing the prospect of an autumn poll to be raised, he were now to announce that he will not call an election this year.
“Gordon will need to move swiftly on ruling in or ruling out a poll,” said a government aide. “He is going to have to make an announcement either way, because to let this dribble on without making clear his intentions could lead to the charge being made that he is indecisive.”
In his interview, Cameron acknowledges commentators have a “fair point” in highlighting the confusion over lack of clear policies. However, declaring that he is ready for a “very big fightback,” he today announces a tax cut worth £2,000 for first-time buyers to help them get a foot on the housing ladder.
The Conservatives will go into the election with a manifesto promising to abolish stamp duty for first-time buyers on homes worth up to £250,000. The party claims that this will mean nine out of 10 would-be home owners will not pay the levy, saving an average of £2,000 for about 285,000 people.
The move by the Tory leader, which will please the traditional wing of the party, will also appeal to the “lost generation” of prospective homeowners, frozen out by the steep house price rises in recent years.
Cameron said the tax break was an example of a key theme of this week’s Tory conference: “giving people more opportunity, power and control over their lives”. He said: “It’s a classic example of the Conservative party being a party of aspiration, giving you power and control over your life.”
Aides say the move is just one of a package of tax measures to be announced. George Osborne, the shadow chancellor, is considering plans to raise the current £300,000 threshold for inheritance tax - which is already due to rise to £350,000 by 2010 - and to reduce the 40% rate at which the tax is levied. He has also appeared sympathetic to the proposals to axe the tax on a main residence.
Cameron this weekend outlined plans to hand families tax breaks, designed to end the benefits “anomaly” that the Tories claim punishes parents for staying together. About 1.8m families who are raising children would be up to £2,000 a year better off, according to the party. The £3 billion measures would be funded with a crackdown on “workshy” benefits claimants, including “aggressive” penalties for those who turn down jobs.
The Tory leader arrived in Blackpool yesterday aware, however, that he has a huge task ahead of him, with two opinion polls this weekend giving Brown a 10% and 11% lead over the Tories and with critics of his “modernising” agenda waiting in the wings.
The most likely dates for the general election are now November 1 or 8, after a poll in late October was ruled out because it would clash with the school half-term holidays. Brown’s aides are conscious, however, that asking people to go out and vote when the nights are drawing in could backfire on Labour. They fear their support could be disproportionately affected by swathes of the electorate staying at home.
A further sign of an impending poll came last Friday when Jacqui Smith, the home secretary, told her civil servants as they left the office that the government “might be in purdah next week”, referring to the period ahead of an election where ministers are forbidden from making spending announcements. Some Labour MPs are cancelling their engagements for next week and returning to their constituencies.
While the Brown cabinet was last week split between “young turks” calling for an early election and more experienced members expressing caution, the official line from Downing Street is that the prospect of a November poll is still “in the balance”.
As well as being wary of going to the polls during the darker autumn days, Brown aides will be aware of research that suggests the national opinion polls giving Labour a big advantage could be misleading.
Professor Colin Rallings, director of Plymouth University’s elections centre, pointed out that in 35 council by-elections since Brown took over as prime minister, the Tories have a nine-point lead over Labour.

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This is too big a gamble for Gordon Brown.
He has waited ten years for this opportunity and now he has finally got his hands on the prize he isn't going to risk throwing it all away (and becoming the forgotten prime minister).
The Conservatives won a council by-election in Washington, Tyne & Wear last week (traditionally Labour territory) and I don't believe for a minute that Labour will be returned with a 170 seat majority (as the current opinion polls are suggesting).
In particular the EU treaty referendum issue could come back to haunt them, especially if The Sun has a "Vote Conservative for a Referendum" front page on polling day.
Mark, Newport,
Monty Python's movie: The Holy Grail, springs to mind. In particular, the scene involving John Cleese and the 'Black Knight'.....stomach splitting :o) Seems really rather apt for David Cameron at this years Tory Party Conference.
Before the Conference even started, David Cameron was probably writing his resignation speech for after this November's election. Everything balanced one one thing for David Cameron; Gordon Brown. How unpopular he would be and how voters would punish Labour for installing him as their Leader.
A raft of successful and appealing policies repeated over and over to the electorate in the past two years....no, just image. And now at the 11th hour, suddenly it's wake up time...too late!
The electorate needed to see a credible opposition first and from that, a possible Government. We needed the horse before the folly...instead....well, as with all politicians, honesty is sparse.
David Downes, Chester, UK
What is quite worrying is that people seem genuinely to be taken in by Brown. He was an integral part of the New Labour project, the intellectual 'power house' behind the public image of Blair. He is the guy who helped bring an end to private sector final salary pension schemes, taxed the middle-class to the hilt and poured hundreds of billions of our money into the public sector because he knows best. This is the guy who said nothing while Blair took Britain into an illegal war in Iraq - a war which is still killing British soldiers every week. He is the ultimate spin merchant - the spin being that he doesn't do spin, he believes in the power of the state, of officialdom and of the dark forces of political correctness. There is more to Cameron than many think, that is why Labour have been using the media to discredit him. Brown knows he has only a short time before he is found out. Never trust a politician who quotes from the Bible.
Andy, Suffolk,
I may be naive but I can't imagine how the situation could be worse than after 18 years of Thatcher and Major governments.
Ratel, Brest, Brittany,
"Cameron calls on Brown to quit stalling" Well he would, he's after the top job,but Gordon has that job. Just been promoted to a job that runs for five years and it's still got three years to go. Why would he want to resign and re-apply for that self same job, he'd be daft, and that he is not. Best enjoy the job for two or three years and then think about re-applying . Having looked at the talent that is the Tory Party today I doubt he would have any trouble in being offered it again.
mike, Alford, u.k.
Cameron is right when he says we have had 10 years of faillure, the labour party are just a big nothingness party who contribute middle of the road ideas. This country needs a party willing to push this country forward rather than staying in this abyss Brown knows this and that is why he is stalling.
Brad Newton, Wigan , England
I now live in Canada thanks to Mr Blair and Mr Brown and the damage they have reaked on Britain.
As long as labour is in power and people are rewarded for sitting on their backsides I will remain in Canada.
I just want to be sure that I can still vote to ensure each and every vote for anyone other than labour gets counted.
Simon, Golden, BC, Canada
Cameron really doesn't have a clue. There's just no way I can vote for the Conservatives whilst he is leader. He's flip-flopped on everything from grammar schools to hug-a-hoodie to pulling the Tories out of the European Parliament group they are in now. I'll be voting Brown - he's done a solid job so far and I actually trust him, not Cameron.
James, Worcester, UK
Haven't people got short memories,how anyone can consider voting for this Labour Goverment I will never know.As Chancellor Brown has taken billions of Pounds out of Pension Funds,Taxed first Time buyers out of the housing market,robbed billions out of Petrol and the opinion Polls put them double figures above the Conservatives.Well when Brown decides to call an election I hope the Media will bring to the electors attention all the Tax Hikes these Cowboys have forced on us in the Ten years they have been in Power. They have made the NHS worse,Education is a shambles, People are afraid to go out at night Morality has gone out of the window
and Marriage and family life count for nothing with this lot in Power.If Labour get in again the people of this country deserve all they get.
AMAC, St.Helens, England
John Mantas. You have over egged your point and it is clear that you are from the loony left.
d case, newquay,
The next election is exactly the time for all conservatives to support David Cameron and vote for his party. To do anything else will merely perpetuate Labour in power. Rally to the cause if you are a serious supporter of conservatism as anything else is self defeating. If you want change for the better give David Cameron your support. He may not get everything 100% right but he is a lot better than the alternative. The conservatives will also stand up for Great Britain (and England) a lot more than Labour.
Mike, Bristol, North Somerset
Lets face it, despite the complete ineptitude of this Labour Government, there is absolutely nothing which Cameron offers which will appeal to voters and convince them that the Conservatives offer anything better. I and my parents have generally voted Conservative over the last couple of decades, yet feel obliged to vote Labour in the next election out of a desire to make it clear that Cameron is a marketing flim-flam man who is a follower rather than a leader. Hence, following a crushing defeat, this will hopefully force the Conservatives to once again become a serious party. My friends, who are almost without exception left-leaning, believe Cameron is a disembling political lightweight. They therefore also refuse to support him. An election in the next few months has only one possible outcome - I dread the result other than that it provides me hope that Cameron will be discarded and the Conservatives will once again become a serious polical party.
John Mantas, Preston, England