Jonathan Oliver
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GORDON BROWN faces a fresh blow today with the publication of a Sunday Times poll that shows the Conservatives at their highest level of support for 16 years.
The YouGov survey places David Cameron’s Tories on 44%, 16 points ahead of Labour on 28%, with Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats trailing at 17%.
It is the best poll result for the Tories since the summer of 1992, after John Major’s general election victory and months before the Black Wednesday financial debacle destroyed the party’s reputation for a generation. Just one in 10 voters — 11% — now believes that Labour will win the next general election with an overall majority.
The survey also reveals that Brown’s personal poll rating has slid to a historic low of minus 37 — down from a high point of plus 48 last August. The collapse over the past eight months represents the steepest decline in fortunes of any modern prime minister.
To add to Brown’s gloom, voters say they would be more likely to vote Labour if Tony Blair were prime minister. The double-digit gap with the Tories would shrink to just five points (39%-34%) if Blair were still in charge. Only a year ago Blair was regarded as an electoral liability, while Brown was seen as the man who could turn around Labour’s fortunes.
However, one by one, Brown’s perceived assets — his “iron” leadership, ability to control events and lack of “spin” — have disappeared. More than six out 10 voters now say Brown has a tendency to “dither”, with just 26% describing him as “decisive”. Similarly, more than half — 57% — believe the prime minister is “floundering”, with only 14% insisting he was “in control of events”.
Brown, who once prided himself on being a conviction politician in contrast to Blair’s reliance on slick presentation, is now just as guilty of spinning as his predecessor, according to voters.
As concern grows that Britain is heading for recession, more than half of those polled blame the prime minister for their financial woes and only 29% believe that he and Alistair Darling, the chancellor, can be trusted to lead the country through the crisis.
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Reply to Douglas in Halifax -
Leaving the EU would put the country on a one way street to economic ruin. Of the three planks of the UK economy - North Sea oil, the City and trade to Europe - all are in some way connected with EU membership.
(1) Leaving the EU would act as a catalyst to the break-up of the UK, with Northern Ireland eager to replicate the achievements of its larger neighbour and Scotland looking to establish itself on the world stage and disassociate itself from English occupation. Scotland leaving would mean many North Sea oil resources also leaving English coffers.
(2) the City thrives on its ability to attract the biggest companies to the FTSE and AIM. Why would these companies continue to invest in a country riven by differences and situated outside the world's largest trade bloc? Frankfurt becomes a much more attractive alternative.
(3) The UK outside the EU, like a state bordering the US but outside it; Cuba and Mexico are good examples. Enough said!
Geoff, Tunbridge Wells, EU
It is a shame to see what is being considered to be an alternate choice to Labour. Really would the Lib Dems, or the Conservatives do a better job? It is highly doubtful they would. Perhaps it is now time to shake the democratic foundations and vote for something completely new. UKIP or the BNP may not be the ultimate answers to Britain's problems, but they would solve some of them that should have been if there were leaders in the House with the guts to implement the solutions to them. The economy is by far the biggest issue that needs tackling, but so does leaving the EU, cutting back or halting immigration, the spread of Islam in Britain, reversing the rising crime rates and empowering the police services. The top three parties will never realistically tackle these issues but the alternatives will. Perhaps it is time to try something new. I mean the damage is already done. What more can Britain lose?
Douglas Cochrane, Halifax,
I'm puzzled by your reference to this being the highest Conservative rating since 1992. A YouGov poll published by the Sunday Times in December 2007 put the Conservatives on a higher rating.
Mark Pack, London,