Mark Henderson in Boston
Claim your free 2010 double sided wall chart
Artificial intelligence will match the human intellect within a couple of decades, according to an inventor who predicts a technological revolution in which intelligent “nano-robots” work inside the body to stave off ageing and enhance the capacity of our minds.
Ray Kurzweil, a software engineer and futurologist, said yesterday that technology was advancing so fast that it would transform the way that people lived by the middle of the century, extending life spans, protecting against disease and even improving the biological hardware of the human body and brain.
Mr Kurzweil, a member of a panel that published a report yesterday detailing the great engineering challenges of the 21st century, said that the rate at which science and technology moved forward was doubling every two decades. This suggested that there would be 32 times more technical progress over the next half-century than in the last.
The rapid rate of progress would lead to artificial intelligence (AI) surpassing the power of the human mind and to nanotechnology allowing this to be incorporated in machines that could fight disease and reverse the ageing process, he told the American Association for the Advancement of Science conference in Boston.
Set to work in the brain, these nano-robots would produce virtual realities so compelling that they would match the real thing and enhance human intelligence.
“Intelligent nano-robots will be deeply integrated in the environment, our bodies and our brains, providing vastly extended longevity, full-immersion virtual reality incorporating all the senses, experience ‘beaming’, and enhanced human intelligence,” he said.
The ideas of Mr Kurzweil, who in the 1970s developed the first optical text-recognition software for computers, are controversial among scientists and engineers. Many consider that he overstates the potential of technology to solve problems and to enhance life, while underplaying the threats of issues such as global warming, emerging infectious diseases and overpopulation.
He is taken sufficiently seriously by his peers to have been included on the panel of 18 leading engineers convened by the US National Academy of Engineering. The group, which published its report at the Boston meeting, included Larry Page, the co-founder of Google, Craig Venter, the geneticist, who is seeking to create synthetic life, and Lord Broers, a former president of the Royal Academy of Engineering.
It stopped well short of endorsing Mr Kurzweil’s visions, which will be set out this year in a film entitled The Singularity is Near: A True Story About the Future, focusing on the need for technology to address threats to humanity and the environment.
The priority for engineering, the report said, was to solve the energy crisis by harnessing the power of the Sun. “Sunshine has long offered a tantalising source of environmentally friendly power, bathing the Earth with more energy each hour than the planet’s population consumes in a year,” it said. “But capturing that power, converting it into useful forms, and especially storing it, poses provocative engineering challenges.
“Another popular proposal for long-term energy supplies is nuclear fusion, the artificial recreation of the Sun’s source of power on Earth. The quest for fusion has stretched the limits of engineering ingenuity, but hopeful developments suggest the goal of practical fusion power may yet be attainable.”
Mr Kurzweil believes that the solar energy challenge will be solved through nanotechnology. “We only need to capture one part in 10,000 of the sunlight that falls on the Earth to meet 100 per cent of our energy needs,” he said.
The report highlighted the importance of developing carbon sequestration and storage systems to halt and even undo the climate damage caused by burning fossil fuels. Another key goal was improving access to clean water. Biomedical engineering should seek to develop technologies that enable personalised medicine.
Mr Kurzweil highlighted the importance of technologies such as gene therapy and ribonucleic acid (RNA) interference, which can correct genes and turn them on and off.
“Within one to two decades we will be in a position to stop and reverse the progression of ageing, resulting in dramatic gains in health and longevity,” he said.
Although the panel acknowledged the potential of medical technology, it said that it was matched by threats such as pandemic flu. Another challenge would be to “reverse-engineer” the brain, which could lead to improvements in artificial intelligence of the sort that Mr Kurzweil predicted.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
2004
£56,950
Essex
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
c. £70,000
The Duke of Edinburgh’s Award
Windsor
£123,460 pa
The Law Commission
London
Southwark County Council
£100,000
Home Office
Liverpool
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Includes flights, accommodation with room upgrades, transfers city tours in Hong Kong and Bangkok.
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
Choose from the beautiful landscape and tranquil beaches of Oahu, Kauai, Maui & Big Island.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.