Michael Parsons
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It’s well known that human beings aren’t that great at understanding big numbers. The computer technicians, mathematicians, and scientists who have an intuitive understanding of how numbers work are a breed apart. The rest of us fail to buy insurance and instead spend our money on lottery tickets, with a child’s understanding of probability, risk, and how numbers work.
As the parent of a four year old it’s fascinating to watch him try to get his head around big numbers. He’s pretty solid on the stately procession of one, two, three and four, and can rattle off one to ten with varying degrees of success. I note he has a sentimental affection for the number three, perhaps because for a third of his life it’s been the number he’s required to say when asked his age. However, once he leaves the familiar waters of one-to-ten, it all gets a bit abstract. He will reach for the biggest number he can imagine and come up with, perhaps, thirteen. Beyond ten, there be dragons.
I don’t think most educated adults are all that different. Watching David Cameron stick it to Gordon Brown at Prime Minister’s Questions over the current data scandal, you sensed a primitive, animal fear of big numbers. How could the Government, his outraged tones seemed to simply, LOSE 25 MILLION OF ANYTHING?
There is a sort of a terror about facing the reality of digital compression. How can two shiny CDs contain the pertinent financial data, the mother lode of our digital identities, in such abundant profusion? I think of this as digital vertigo, the confusing sense of falling into the abyss you get when contemplating the limitless worlds that digital culture contains. I pick up my iPod and it contains enough music to play continuously for two entire weeks. Amazon’s new electronic book, the oddly named Kindle, is no bigger than a paperback and has enough storage for two hundred books. My little Archos video player contains more films than I will be able to watch this month.
To give yourself real digital vertigo, however, all you need is an internet connection. It’s extraordinary how often our response to being entirely overwhelmed is to try to contain all that multiplicity within a simple, familiar frame. There are still people who are very happy being customers of AOL (AOL!), precisely because it provides a comfortable, limited experience. And the internet itself has effectively got a home page (a home page! In 2007!), run, of course by Google. These strategies tame our horror at the unbelievable vastness of digital space with a nice, simple uncluttered page, as familiar as the frontispiece to Dickens novel.
You see this instinct for the preservation of the familiar in virtual spaces at its most poignant when you dive into a virtual world. In the three-dimensional space of a world like Second Life, you can build anything, anywhere. You can make your house inside a bumble bee. You can defy gravity, and build at any height and, if you spend enough money, at any scale. Yet by and large people don’t: they build on the land, and reconstruct quaint cottages, or suburban tract homes, or high-rise buildings, creating roofs in a world with no rain, laying foundations in a world without gravity.
The cat’s out the bag, the genie’s out of the bottle, and there’s no going back, bar some Taliban-like repression, some Khmer Rouge horror that returns us from the binary years of nought and one to an analogue Year Zero. People in the developed and affluent world live digital lives. Yet given that most people can’t do basic multiplication or long division even with pen and paper, and that like my son, numbers bigger than the ones we can visualise on our ten fingers contain a kind of abstract mystery, it seems to me that we’re always going to struggle with being analogue creatures in digital worlds.
As for that data scandal, I feel sorry for Rymans. What’s the point in buying a paper shredder to destroy your banking records if some civil servant ensures that your details end up being sold in a pub to some Russian data criminal? Hold on firmly to the moving handrail and expect more digital vertigo.
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Michael Parsons, now editor of CNET.co.uk, spent five years working in Silicon Valley and worrying about technology. He can be reached at michael.parsons@cnet.com
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Having started as a computer engineer in 1967 its been staggering even for me to see the amount of memory and storage available to Joe public today. Back in the 60's there were no optical or hard disks and data was stored on large reels of tape and not much data at that. Main memory was 48k of magnetic core about the same as a basic SIM card on a mobile phone today. Those early computers also needed a room the size of a ware house just to run them. My modest 2 year old MP3 player with 20 Gb can store 20 times that of the data lost on two disks thanks to the civil service, and its a known but unpublicized fact that most fraud is committed by insiders something government ministers wont even admit to. Labour Ministers only understanding of computer systems seem to be from Hollywood movies and not the stark realities of the real world. If we are to be better protected from this governments careless use of our personal data, we should at least demand they learn the technology first.
Mike, Alicante, Spain
The Governement have decleared that there are the personal details of 25 million child benifits receivers on the discs. That clearly means that there are actuly the details of at least 22 milion families which is most of the population of the UK.
This breaks down into the details of; The main recipent, the spouse, the spouses family, and the child. The details of where they live their NI No; their bank account details, and other insignificent details which are required on the forms.
L Wadhams, Stoke on Trent, Staffs
So my Home PC has a couple of terrabytes of storage, but it's quite incapable of understanding the meaning of anything. Get worried when the Internet becomes self-aware :)
Colin Soames, London,
I see what your saying. Sometimes I think about the vastness of the digital age. (And I'm a teenager, so I'm essential part of the 'iPod generation' as we've been dubbed!)
I feel overwhelmed by it at times. Personally my MP3 player is 2GB. Why some have the need for these massive 80GB or 100GB iPods is beyond me! But these video games go on and on and wow the internet. Downloading off of the internet, be it music, tv shows, films, it is an endless resource and no wonder so many people get addicted! (I myself have been trying to curb my digital lust in the past few months)
It's not about being afriad of technology. It's about trying to comprehend just how massive the digital world is number terms. Thinking about how big the net is hurts my head. I wonder how much of the net the average person has surfed. 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% perhaps?
What an age we live in!
Murty, London, England
What's the big deal about digital compression?! It has been around for decades. If you watch TV over dish or cable, you're using digital compression. If you listen to an MP3, you're using digital compression. I completely disagree that there's any kind of "terror" associated with digital compression per se. That's a silly and unfortunate choice of words. Loosing records was a human error, not a technological one.
Of course at the fundamental level of semiconductor physics and information theory, everything is still analogue, even digital chips. "Digital" is only an abstraction for convenience of engineers wherein the inherent contiuum of possible electronic states are collapsed into (usually) just two. All in all, it's just an abstraction albeit one with big implications.
The real world is and will remain very much analogue.
And quit "worrying" about technology. That's a Chicken-Little approach to life. "Oh my! The sky is falling! The sky is falling!"
Good grief....
Scott, Durham, NC, USA