Jonathan Leake Environment Editor
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A WORLDWIDE programme to capture greenhouse gases from power stations and factories could be humanity’s best chance of saving itself from climate change, a report will say this week.
The study, from the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will also say that nuclear electricity generation could prove a powerful means of cutting carbon emissions.
The findings are included in the latest of three reports from the IPCC on climate change. The first collated the science confirming that climate change is happening and the second discussed how temperature increases might affect humanity.
The third, to be released in Thailand on Friday, will set out what can be done to minimise the impact of global warming. It is expected to set out stark choices.
“Humanity must face up to climate change in the next few years or it will be too late,” said an IPCC member.
Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are around 382 parts per million, compared with their preindustrial norm of 273ppm. They are rising by about 2ppm a year and that rate is accelerating.
The report will say that fossil fuels such as gas, oil and coal are still so plentiful and cheap that consumption and emissions are likely to increase for years to come.
It means that the best way of reducing emissions is to capture CO2 and dispose of it permanently, either by pumping it underground or by bubbling it into the deep ocean so that it can dissolve in seawater. A linked IPCC report estimates that around 40% of the world’s CO2 emissions could be captured in this way.
The problem is that capturing and storing CO2 emissions is an infant technology. There are only three industrial-scale storage projects in operation worldwide, off Norway and Algeria, and in Canada. All inject CO2 into underground rocks but all are on a relatively small scale.
Nuclear power, by contrast, is a relatively mature technology which, the report will say, is already being widely adopted around the world. However, its potential to cut CO2 is unclear because, rather than replacing fossil fuel generation, it normally only augments it to meet growing demand for power.
The report will say the greatest challenge is stabilising energy use so that nuclear and renewable technologies can start replacing fossil fuel generation.
The IPCC’s first report warned that the world faced potentially devastating rises in average global temperatures if society maintained its rapid economic growth and its burning of fossil fuels The second report warned that rising temperatures could leave billions of people facing hunger and water shortages. It said that even a rise of just 2-4C would make agriculture almost impossible over much of the Earth, potentially leading to billions of deaths and the extinction of wildlife.
Mars is warming up too...
Mars is being hit by rapid climate change and it is happening so fast that the red planet could lose its southern ice cap, writes Jonathan Leake.
Scientists from Nasa say that Mars has warmed by about 0.5C since the 1970s. This is similar to the warming experienced on Earth over approximately the same period.
Since there is no known life on Mars it suggests rapid changes in planetary climates could be natural phenomena.
The mechanism at work on Mars appears, however, to be different from that on Earth. One of the researchers, Lori Fenton, believes variations in radiation and temperature across the surface of the Red Planet are generating strong winds.
In a paper published in the journal Nature, she suggests that such winds can stir up giant dust storms, trapping heat and raising the planet’s temperature.
Fenton’s team unearthed heat maps of the Martian surface from Nasa’s Viking mission in the 1970s and compared them with maps gathered more than two decades later by Mars Global Surveyor. They found there had been widespread changes, with some areas becoming darker.
When a surface darkens it absorbs more heat, eventually radiating that heat back to warm the thin Martian atmosphere: lighter surfaces have the opposite effect. The temperature differences between the two are thought to be stirring up more winds, and dust, creating a cycle that is warming the planet.
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How can you people be in such denial of what scientists are telling us about our impact on the environment? Do you study the effect of your SUV yourself? Where do you get the idea that Greenhouse gasses aren't affecting our planet? Because you don't want to have to be bothered by changing your lifestyle? Sure, the warming is likely caused be a few things, such as natural climate cycles, but it's proven that CO2 has some effect, and that is one factor we can control. Why not do it?
Chris, MA,
John,
Mars has been studies quite extensively for many years now and you must remember that it has a very different atmospheric make-up and surface to the Earth; for a more scientific overview than can be provided in this news snippet, see -
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/10/global-warming-on-mars/#more-192
Lionel,
The Mediaeval Warm Period (MWP) is never hidden by any scientist who knows their subject. The MWP was a perfect example of the natural variation we know exists within the Earth's climate system. You are misguided in comparing it to today's predicament as the MWP was a regional warming event affecting Europe, not a global warming as we are now witnessing.
Ben Coombes, Essex,
Did they ever consider that Mars may be warming because of the increased activity in the Sun? No, of course not, because that would be contrary to their man made global warming predictions on Earth. The increase in temperature on the Earth is natural and has happened many times in the past. It has also been cooler. Where I live used to be under a huge ice sheet. There are many reasons why the Earth is warming, my SUV is not one of them.
John, Cornwall, Canada
As an environmentally conscious 27 year old, I cannot believe that the CO2 temperature nonsense has been allowed to falsely fool my generation so effectively. It's about time my generation knows the truth about the climate, and is told about the Mediaeval Warm Period, the insignificance of industrial carbon emissions, and Carbon budgets. How has this information been withheld from us ? I am so angry that I have sacrificed my own personal well being, my own health, sweat, tears and blood for this nonsense. This ethical fascism must be stopped now. However I fear it will get worse, and more liberties will become threatened. The private members bill currently in parliament must be rejected. This ngo lobbying is not democracy. The Kyoto protocol must be rescinded. However, alternative energies and fuels should be developed, as fossil fuels are finite. There are environmental issues from using fossil fuels, but they don't relate to CO2 emissions. False truths will lead to false solutions.
Lionel Tiger, Birmingham,
crazy
paul, ireland,
What ridiculous reductionism. Gases are only a fraction of what's
killing the planet. You have overconstrcution, overpopulation,
other types of waste form industrialism and consumerism, etc,
This is what comes out of mass production of scientists without
any background in philosophy and logic. They end up creating
midget Frankensteins and vegetarian Draculas.
Eugene, Heidelberg, germany