David Sharrock, Ireland Correspondent of The Times
Win a trip to the Ice Hotel in Lapland
Tony Blair is the right person for the role of Middle East envoy, his long-term Irish peace process partner Bertie Ahern said this morning, as he paid tribute to the outgoing prime minister’s qualities of persistence and determination.
And Mr Ahern is absolutely right. The prospect of forging a durable new dispensation for Israel/Palestine may seem to have receded further towards the horizon than ever before, but Mr Blair is bringing a highly individual set of skills to a problem which is fundamentally about negotiation.
His experience in Ulster will ensure that his instincts on the two core issues will be right. These are, in essence, that there is only one viable solution - the two states envisaged by the Oslo Accords - and a renewed realisation by all the protagonists that this is the case.
While it is a bad idea to assume that the success of a particular peace process model is transferable to another region, nevertheless, there are at least the outlines of old arguments which apply both to Northern Ireland and Israel/Palestine.
Both pit a community which regards itself as dispossessed victims against another which views itself as under siege.
When Mr Blair arrived in Ireland in 1997 crucial spadework had been completed by his predecessors - the 1985 Anglo-Irish Agreement of Lady Thatcher and the 1993 Downing Street Declaration of Sir John Major.
The Republican movement led by Gerry Adams and Martin McGuinness - both members of the Provisional IRA’s ruling ’Army Council’ - was ready to deal seriously so long as it received a genuine commitment to bring all the parties to the negotiating table. In the end, the Republicans settled for far less than the stated aim for which they had been fighting for three decades.
The Unionists were reluctant and divided over the wisdom of treating with "men of violence" but their then principal leader Lord Trimble was realistic about the need to corral the Republican foe into a binding accord which would necessarily mean painful choices in return for lasting constitutional rewards.
In the back of Unionists’ minds was the fear that if they did not seize the opportunity then events might relegate them to the sidelines as the British and Irish governments imposed their own version of Joint Authority for Northern Ireland.
Mr Blair’s great skill lay in finding and applying the right balance between these conflicting agenda, in turn using his alchemist’s gifts of cajoling, threatening and charming implacable enemies into seeing the merit of finally working together in a spirit of mutual respect, if not regard.
Like a satisfying Hollywood movie, Mr Blair managed to roll music and credits just last month with the previously unimaginable images of Ian Paisley and Martin McGuinness wreathed in smiles as, together, they descended the marble staircase of the Stormont Parliament.
It was Mr Blair’s version of the moment in 1993 when President Clinton shepherded Yasser Arafat and Yitzak Rabin into photogenic peace.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Read our exclusive 100 Years of Fleming and Bond interactive timeline, packed with original Times articles and reviews
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
05/2005
£13,500
08/2008
£109,950
2005 / 55
£59,500
Great car insurance deals online
£Excellent+ executive benefits
Torres and Partners
London
£49,229 - £62,035 pro rata
Charity Commission
London/Liverpool/Taunton
Alstom Power
Europe
Six Figure
Rolls Royce
Midlands/Europe
From £89,950
Special Offers now available
At the new sophisticated
Encore Las Vegas Resort!
Cruise the Islands of Hawaii - Pride of America
List your property with two leading travel websites
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths
News International associated websites: Globrix | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
I wish him all the best but really can't see it happening. Someone already said he the second most despised man to the Arab community behind George W. He's seen as Bush's pet and the Israelies pawn (both true?). Hell most my friends in England don't even trust most politicians anyway.
May as well send Pat Buchanan ("anti-semetic" due to his critism of US-Israel policy) Charles Lindbergh or Henry Ford over and see how warm a reception the Jews would give them since that's probably how the Arabs feel about Blair.
Still I hope I'm wrong.
Justin, London,
Tony Blair has the best chance of succeeding, he is known to all sides ,has pull(friends with Bush and I hope with the British government) knows the issues , has prior involvement The Hamas,Fatah clash has created an opportunity to seperate moderates and fanatics ,IM sure Isreal will be keen to make it work,Tony is very intellegent ,(was ultimatly successful in N Irland) he is also one of the authors of the peace plan. Last but not least he is chasing his legacy
Tom Rabie, Pietersburg, South Africa
If there has every been a really bad idear. Blair as envoy is thé one. It shows total lack of will and insight to how to solve the conflict. The US has shown total lack of interest in bringing a lasting peace and a decent lift to the people in the region, since Clinton left office. If anything this is another mockery of the common Arab.
Surely everybody except Bush and the Northern-Irish must now that this a very bad idear, which only serves the Israelis, Bush and Blair's ego.
F.lemche, copenhagen, Denmark
This is supposed to be the Times, the pinnacle of British journalism and we get some pie-in-the-sky fantasist who thinks that Northern Ireland and the Iraq situation have anything in common apart from the superficial appearance of being a religious civil war. The circumstances and backgrounds are utterly different. This is naivety of the highest order.
phil, london, uk
Tony's the man for the job! A grinning fool on a fool's errand.
Jay Gelman, Baltimore, MD
Was it a good idea to ask the Ireland correspondent to write about Tony Blair in the Middle East? Tony Blair will never succeed as Bush's envoy (and I say Bush's envoy, rather than that of the "Quartet", because that is what he will be) in the Middle East. He is hopelessly discredited among Arabs. In fact he is so discredited, that even Bush must be aware of it. I conclude therefore that some other plan is afoot. My guess is that what is wanted is "continue the war", until Israel arrives at a better chance of subduing the Palestinians, and the US arrives at the supposed "victory" in Iraq. That is, the Iraqis accepting a continuing occupation for 50 years on the South Korean model. It is pie-in-the-sky stuff. I would think Blair will come out of the envoy role with his reputation much diminished. Either he is completely blind to what is coming (a possibility - he is a complete egotist), or as one has always wondered: do the US have something on him, with which they can blackmail him.
Alex, Paris, France
Yes, I agree, Blair has the core skills and attributes for the job. What Mr. Blair does NOT have, though, is any credibility in the middle east. Here stands a man with much blood on his hands, and one that cannot be seen to be an impartial player in the region. He is beholden to Israeli and US/Euro oil interests, and has been involved in war crimes against humanity. This is a terrible resume for a peace envoy.
Yes, he was useful on the Irish agreement, but his relative position to Bush (good buddies) leaves him wanting severely in regard to being of any use to peace in the middle east. My guess is that he will create more division in the region, and waste more time as his allies seek to get even more advantage from the situation.
Mark Braun, Sarnia, Ontario, Canada
Having no way to leave this comment for PM Blair, I leave it here, in hopes that he may see it.
I have been thankful for a good friend for my country during the years of PM Blair's term of office, whether in times of liberal control of my country or in the recent time of conservative control. I thank him and the people of England for that, wish both well, and ask GOD to bless you all.
Fred Harwell,II, Houston, Texas, USA
I fail to see how anyone can think Bush's poodle is going to bring peace to the Middle East. The only person hated more is Bush. Assigning Blair as MidEast envoy is a farce.
Tai von Ble, Herndon,
Mr Blair's credentials as middle east peace maker are absolutely ZERO He commands no respect but rather is held in contempt in the Arab street
This peace maker role should be assigned to some one held in highest regard by both the sides I think the ideal person for that would be the former Irish President Mrs Mary Robinson
Jaseem Siddiqui, Castlebar, Ireland
An optimistic but startling naive analysis. Any comparison with Northern Ireland is ridiculous. In the mideast conflict, you have two peoples that have never lived together, speak different languages, do not want to live together but apart from each other, have different religions (neither of which is "forgive-and-forget" christianity), different value systems and whose central conflict is the Temple Mount itself where Jewish aspirations of rebuilding the temple are in direct and mutually exclusive with Islamic aspirations to hold sway over the existing precise same area of land.
Ian, London, UK
I would like to see Blair put these good 'skills' to use in the Middle East but I fear that if he doesn't manage to pull this off (which, even if he does, it will undoubtedly take a fairly long time) he will be condemned further by his critics. Blair is out of favour; whatever he does at this point will do little more than redeem himself.
That said, it seems ironic to send over Blair to the Middle East when it was he who decided to go to war with Iraq.
I know my parents thought they'd never see the day where the Irish dispute was dissolved, and they were shaking hands, but Blair did it. Can he do this too? That remains to be seen. I wish him the best of luck, for this can only make things better, surely?
Amber, Stevenage,