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Global warming can be halted by plumbing a gigantic array of pipes into the depths of the oceans, according to two of the world’s leading environ-mental scientists.
Pipes measuring up to 650ft (200m) long and 33ft in diameter should be installed and used to pump nutrient-rich water up to the surface to encourage plankton blooms, they say.
The plankton growth would then take carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and encourage cloud formation that together would, they believe, cool the world and save it from global warming.
James Lovelock, the originator of the Gaia theory, and Chris Rapley, director of the Science Museum and a former head of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS), put forward the proposal in a letter to the scientific journal Nature. The two professors hoped that their proposal would encourage other scientists to concentrate on establishing novel techniques to halt global warming instead of writing off geoengineering as an impossible solution. But the idea ran into controversy at once, with one scientist branding it “a waste of time” and others expressing doubts about its effectiveness.
Under the proposal, hundreds of thousands of pipes, placed strategically in the seas, would be fitted with a buoyant collar to keep one end at the surface, where they would rise and fall with the waves. Each time they bobbed downwards several tonnes of water from several hundred feet beneath the waves would spill out at surface level. A valve would prevent water flowing back in at the top and would ensure that all water in the pipe came from the deep.
Extra nutrients at the surface would encourage blooms of microscopic plantlife, the professors suggested. These plants would extract carbon from the water, which would cause the water to absorb more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
A proportion of the plantlife would, when it died, sink to the seabed, where the carbon would be trapped and be unable to cause climate change.
Simultaneously, the blooms would emit dimethyl sulphide into the atmosphere, where it would play a role in cloud formation. Increased cloud cover is thought to reflect more of the Sun’s heat away from the Earth’s surface. The system would mimic natural upwellings that bring essential nutrients to the surface for plankton to consume.
In their letter the scientists described the proposal as an “emergency treatment”. They accepted that it might fail but said that it needed to be considered because of the dangers of man-made global warming. “We need a fundamental cure for the pathology of global heating,” they said.
Putting hundreds of thousands of pipes in the seas would create the potential to remove 500 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, they suggested. Professor Lovelock said he feared that political Kyoto-type solutions were too late to solve global warming. Instead, he envisaged tens of thousands of pipes over a distance of about 100 miles (160km) in the Gulf of Mexico, where an added benefit would be to damp down hurricane activity because cooler water would be brought to the surface.
Other scientists welcomed the proposal as thought-provoking but doubted that it would work.Corinne Le Quéré, who led research this year which showed that oceans were losing the capacity to soak up carbon dioxide, was scathing and feared that if pipes were deployed around the world’s oceans they could exacerbate, rather than cure, the warming trend.
“This idea is a complete waste of time,” said Dr Le Quéré, a researcher at the University of East Anglia (UEA) and the BAS. “It doesn’t make sense. There is absolutely no evidence that geoengineering options work or even go in the right direction. I’m astonished that they published this. Before any geoengineering is put to work a massive amount of research is needed – research which will take 20 to 30 years.”
Sir Brian Hoskins, Professor of Meteorology at the University of Reading, said there was “a strong scientific basis” for the scheme and agreed that “the current global political inaction on the climate issue is very serious”. But he was convinced that too little of the planet’s climate system was understood to make the effects predictable.
Andrew Watson, a professor who used to work with Professor Lovelock and is now at UEA, said: “I agree with Lovelock and Rapley that the stakes are so high that we must think creatively and take action, but I’m not sure this particular idea is the one I would start with.”
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Techno-fixes were what got us into this mess in the first place, so I am very dubious about applying more to get us out of it.
On the other hand, runaway global warming would be a catastrophe too awful to contemplate, and the chances of our governments (or us!) doing enough, quickly enough to keep it within manageable limits are shrinking by the day. We may quite soon get to the point where we have to try something like this and hope the cure isn't as bad as the disease.
Bill Linton, London,
As someone living in a country critically dependent on the North Atlantic Conveyor system for its climate, it occurs to me that anything which disturbs the salt balance by deliberately mixing large quantities of water from different layers in the ocean is going to be hostage to the Law of Unintended Consequences.
HOWEVER - while watching the repeat of The Blue Planet on BBC Four this week, I noticed a segment about how life flourishes even in the mid-ocean deserts around any large floating debris which can form the basis of a floating reef. Artificial floating reefs would appear to have most of the benefits of this scheme with fewer uncertainties.
Ian Kemmish, Biggleswade, UK
Have these people ever heard of eutrophication? I suggest they familiarise themselves with the concept, how it works and what its wider effects are before this particular idea proceeds any further.
Mark Johns [M.App.Sc.(Aquaculture)]), Katoomba, NSW, Australia
I remember this from the early seventies when we were then trying to stave off the next ice age. The idea was you went to the Benguela Current pumped cold water up to the surface where it would warm up. However this was supposed to stop the world cooling down not stop the world heating up.
Frank Brookes, Taunton, UK
How much carbon is released into the atmosphere by production, deployment and maintenance of one such pipe?
Cees de Valk, Zwolle, the Netherlands
When hydrogen powered cars are discussed, scientists often point out that their emissions (water vapour) are worse than CO2 as a greenhouse gas - so how does encouraging more cloud (water vapour) formation prevent global warming ?
tony, birmingham, uk
First scientists tell us that research for the last 20 years shows the rate of global warming is increasing and in 20 or 30 years more it will be to late to do anything. Then Dr LeQuere scientists deride any plan to do something before its too late by saying we need 20 to 30 years of research first. Dr LeQuere is 100% certain so who does he work for?
The Sea Pipe idea is not new it is contained in Jerry Pournelle's "A Step Farther Out" (1981) a collection of interesting and alternative solutions. Jerry is not an idiot with no practical experience, he actually has "advanced degrees in psychology, statistics, engineering, and political science, including two PhDs....worked in operations research at Boeing, The Aerospace Corporation, and North American Rockwell Space Division...(with) Stefan T. Possony he wrote numerous publications including The Strategy of Technology,... textbook at US Miltiary Academy (West Point) and the US Air Force Academy (Wikipedia)" What has LeQuere done?
Nicholas Kulkarni, Kings Lynn, Norfolk
Conspiracy theorists who contend that the eco-scientists are simply self-seekers are, themselves, simply wishful thinkers. Lovelock has been working in this field for years and years;long before it was fashionable.
No genuine effort must be discounted. To simply rely on man's collective will and effort to reduce or nullify emissions is madness; we must seek other solutions without being lulled into a false sense of security that there is a quick fix.
That said, we still need major and deep cuts in emissions from the big producers to have any chance of regaining some balance in the atmosphere.
John Pownall, Bridport,
Would someone please explain the physics of 'Global warming'. I have an 'A' level in physics but cannot understand whether 'green house' gasses allow more radiation to reach the earth or prevent radiation from leaving the earth?
No explanation has been given the lay public.
I do know my walking barefoot or sorting rubbish will not save the planet.
Robert, London, UK
Maybe we could combine the iron enrichment idea with this one to get the best of both worlds.
Pass it to an engineer!!!
David, Dubai, UAE
Good.
Sally Saltash, Nottingham,
I am a student of Environmental Science at the University of Kansas and have noted a disconcerting trend for repetitive thinking. Reducing emissions and the usual batch of rhetoric are important goals, but unless more researchers are willing to tackle new ideas and approaches then this field will stagnate. I commend Lovelock and Rapley for their novel idea. I commend Lovelock and Rapley for their novel idea. BRAVO!
Joshua Burns, Leavenworth, Kansas
How cost effective would this be?
By how much is it supposed to reduce the global temperature, and over what period of time?
We haven't even had the figures for Kyoto yet.
Dave, Southampton, UK
It is crazy to talk about further interfering with nature - I think man is doing enough already. There is still great doubt about the magnitude that man is affecting the climate, and a number of scientists doubt that there is any affect at all. All that we do know is that the world is heating up, and that this heating is within the precedent of geological records. For those who say we have no time to waste, man has been modifying the climate for thousands of years - just consider the de-forestation of europe.
It seams that the only people 100% certain either way are those whose careers depend on global warming being an 'inconvenient truth', and those who are in the pay of oil companies.
Jeff Whiten, Cambridge,
I am skeptical about this idea for two reasons. First, it would only be a temporary fix as the Phytoplankton would eventually return to the surface through upwelling. These carbon rich phytoplankton would then release the carbon they are storing thereby putting us back to square one. Secondly, has anyone considered the possible adverse reactions having a massive Phytoplankton bloom would cause?
Caryn, Fairbanks, Ak