Mark Henderson, Science Editor, in Geneva
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When the world’s largest atom-smasher begins colliding particles in a few months time, there is just a chance that it might create a miniature black hole.
It would not destroy the Earth, as some alarmists would have it - but it would guarantee a Nobel prize for Professor Stephen Hawking, according to no less an authority than the great man himself.
As scientists make their final preparations to switch on the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) tomorrow morning at the CERN particle physics laboratory near Geneva, the world’s best-known living physicist said there would be “no doubt” he would win a Nobel if it produces a black hole that confirms his theories.
The Lucasian Professor of Mathematics at the University of Cambridge, however, is not expecting such a triumph. He calculates the chances of a black hole emerging from the LHC at less than one per cent. “If the LHC were to produce little black holes, I don’t think there’s any doubt I would get a Nobel prize, if they showed the properties I predict,” Professor Hawking told the Today programme. “However, I think the probability that the LHC has enough energy to create black holes is less than one per cent, so I’m not holding my breath.”
It is far more likely, indeed, that the LHC will cause him to lose a long-standing bet with Professor Gordy Kane, of the Michigan University, over the existence of the Higgs boson. Professor Hawking is not convinced that the so-called “God particle”, which theory suggests gives matter its mass, actually exists, and in 2000 he backed his judgement by making a $100 (£50) wager with Professor Kane, who thinks it will soon be found.
Should the Higgs bosun exist, it is almost certain that the LHC will identify it. “The LHC will increase the energy at which we can study particle interactions, by a factor of four,” Professor Hawking said. “According to present thinking, this should be enough to discover the Higgs particle, the particle that gives mass to all the other particles.
“I think it will be much more exciting if we don’t find the Higgs. That will show something is wrong, and we need to think again. I have a bet of $100 that we won’t find the Higgs.”
The discovery of the Higgs boson would almost certainly win a Nobel prize for its proposers – Professor Peter Higgs, of the University of Edinburgh, and two lesser-known Belgian physicists, Francois Englert and Robert Brout.
Professor Hawking’s claim to a Nobel prize rests on a different piece of theoretical physics: his 1974 proposition that black holes can emit radiation, despite their overwhelming gravitational pull. Though the idea was initially greeted with widespread scepticism, the concept of “Hawking radiation” is now generally accepted, though as with the Higgs boson, there is no direct evidence that it exists.
The LHC, which has cost upwards of £3.5 billion to build, might create miniature black holes that decay into Hawking radiation, as the professor proposed. It is uncertain, however, whether the accelerator will generate the vast energy that would be required.
Should a black hole arise, however, it would present no threat, as the same mathematics that suggests their creation is possible also requires that they would immediately decay.
“If the collisions in the LHC produced a micro black hole, and this is unlikely, it would just evaporate away again, producing a characteristic pattern of particles,” Professor Hawking said. “Collisions at these and greater energies occur millions of times a day in the Earth’s atmosphere, and nothing terrible happens.”

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You know that the Web you use so heavily was a result of a CERN project? Check this: http://info.cern.ch/. So be patient and enjoy. The doom day will come for sure in the next 10^12 years!
R2D2, Montreal, Canada
Funny, Susan, to suggest God would be weary of man trying to understand. Like an authoritarian parent hitting a child for curiosity about the world, and then hypocritically saying, "I love you". Do you want such a God? Is that behavior divine or noble in any shape or form? I say, science live on!!
K G, Arlington, MA
Having my fingers crossed. Even if they do not find the Higgs Boson ('God Particle'), this experiment is sure to throw new light and even may be some new sub atomic particles.......not predicted by the Standard Model of particle physics.
In lay man terms.... its means huge leaps for science.
Siva Shankar Rudraraju, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
A fruitless endeavor in the end.God is God and men are not. I wait and watch for Him to grow weary with mans feeble attempts to disprove God in any way possible. Scientists -the ones who they let talk?- brains are nothing compared with the Creator . IF there were a Big Bang-God created it this way!
Susan, Danville, United States
Why should this machine "rule out" God as the Creator of the universe? For me, the scientists' findings will further confirm His magnificence, and His glorious Wisdom in all that He has created; human discovery of the great, intricate laws of the universe is affirmation of His existence.
R., D.C.,
It's the University of Michigan, not Michigan University.
Tom, Denver, USA
Poor parts of the world are a permanent state and fact of life, have been, and will continue to be until many external influences are fixed. Scientific progress has improved the average quality of life consistently since it began in earnest. To not study science is to promote humanity's stagnation.
Richard Belleville, British Columbia, Canada
Its really ashame to spend 8 billon dollars on the LHC, that's enough money to fund the US Iraq war for an additional 20 days....
george, chicago,
this experiment has the potential to rule out God as the creator of the universe in catagoric terms.Thats a tough realisation and these are some of the worlds best brains spelling that out.
Kevin, london, England
Actually in economic terms, ceteris paribus - 10% of the GWP spread evenly would be more than enough to feed the entire planets population. Not that 10% is mentioned in the article. Therefore youre off on 2 counts Joshua.
Tom, London, UK
As for 'a.k.upadhyay' it's thinking like that which led to the dark ages. You can't have a view like yours then use the internet without being a hypocrite, it too would of once been considered witchcraft or 'beyond our capacity'. Also your final fact is wrong in so many ways Im not going to start.
Tom, London, UK
it's bad to know too much. it's enough that there is Great God to take care of us. it's beyond our capacity to find out how something can come out of nothing.Let's take comfort by leaving it to Him and let a mystery be a mystery.
The money spent could feed the world's hungry children for
ten days
a.k.upadhyay, Lucknow, India
I believe providing food for humanity is assumed in the other 99.9% of the GDP
Mark, Port Jefferson Station,
er.. joshua... one tenth of a per cent, not one tenth.
and there's no point in feeding a few people if it means the whole human race dies out.
jem, london, uk
Joshua - it says "one tenth of a percent" i.e. 0.1% of GDP, not 10%.
Giles, Manchester,
NOT one tenth! He said One tenth of 1 percent. Ack! How can you presume to weigh-in on the importance of such a scientific endeavor if you can't understand simple mathematics?
Sebastian, Tucson, USA
It's one tenth of one percent. Whilst that would still feed a lot of starving people, in reality other uses would be found for the taxes and the hungry would only temporarily be better off.
Malcolm McLean, Bradford, UK
To not do any research on the basis that the money could provide food, water or medical care for the poor would mean that we never did anything. And yet, one might make a case for poverty being self-inflicted through bad government, as an article in The Times about Africa, recently identified.
Lewis Blight, Nottingham, UK
one tenth of the world's GDP could feed alot of starving people... and while physics is interesting, can't we live without it? i know that's not what Hawking meant, but really one tenth of the entire world's GDP is not a small proportion
Joshua, Norwich,
Exactly what i was finking. amazing how we came too the same conclusion?
Fanny Adams, cardiff, uk