Paul Simons: Weather Eye
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According to a Department of Health report issued this week, the South of England may experience outbreaks of malaria during the next 50 to 100 years because of warmer weather.
Although such outbreaks are likely to be rare they will not be new. This country was plagued by malaria for centuries, when the climate was cooler. In the 1300s Geoffrey Chaucer wrote about ague, the old word for malaria, in The Nun’s Priest’s Tale, and Shakespeare mentions it in several plays. Samuel Pepys, Charles II and Oliver Cromwell were some of the famous victims of the disease.
The type of malaria was different from the tropical malaria most often seen these days. The malarial parasite tolerated cooler temperatures, and the mosquitos carrying the disease tended to live in marshes, so the drainage of marshes and the decline of rural populations through the 1800s led to the numbers of malaria cases fall.
The last serious outbreak struck during the First World War on the Isle of Sheppey, when soldiers returning from the Balkans brought the disease with them. British mosquitoes picked up the disease and went on to infect local people. The last known case of indigenous malaria occurred in 1953.
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"Bringing back malaria" sounds like a good scare story for the eco-mentalists - unfortunately for them there are a couple of awkward facts to consider.
Malaria was endemic in both the fens and the Isle of Thanet until AFTER the First World War.
My father managed to catch malaria in Campbridge during the Second World War,
Its not really much of a comeback is it - even if it deoes make good a scare headline!
Mike Bibbt, St ALbans, England -not EU
People like Mr Ken Hall, for all their rhetoric, are at the heart of this world's problems. What very few people seem to remember is that global warming takes place when averaged over (surprisingly enough) a GLOBAL scale. This does not preclude the occurrence of very cold winters such as that experienced this year in China and the U.S., nor does it imply that temperatures are unable to drop in some locations for what seem long periods (on the scale of an average human lifetime). This is because the earth's climate system is very complex, as I am sure Mr Hall knows, with feedbacks from the oceans, atmosphere and cryosphere all in operation.
The evidence, Mr Hall, is clear. Global warming is happening, and will continue to happen for the next century at least, no matter what governments or individuals do about it now. I know this not because I have been brainwashed by the IPCC, as I am sure you would to believe, but because I have the common sense to interpret the evidence for myself
James Palmer, Cambridge, U.K.
Malaria has nothing to do with Temperature as one of the scientists who's name is on the IPCC report (and who disagrees with the summary) stated. Malaria was rife in the freezing Siberian wastes. Global warming or cooling has no effect on the malaria carrying mosquitoes.
Anyway, there has been NO global warming for 10 years. Over Bthe past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years.
No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously. the highest temperature was in 1998 and temperatures have been FALLING since.
Ken Hall, Barrow in Furness, UK