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ISRAEL has drawn up secret plans to destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment
facilities with tactical nuclear weapons.
Two Israeli air force squadrons are training to blow up an Iranian facility
using low-yield nuclear “bunker-busters”, according to several Israeli
military sources.
The attack would be the first with nuclear weapons since 1945, when the United
States dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The Israeli weapons
would each have a force equivalent to one-fifteenth of the Hiroshima bomb.
Under the plans, conventional laser-guided bombs would open “tunnels” into the
targets. “Mini-nukes” would then immediately be fired into a plant at
Natanz, exploding deep underground to reduce the risk of radioactive
fallout.
“As soon as the green light is given, it will be one mission, one strike and
the Iranian nuclear project will be demolished,” said one of the sources.
The plans, disclosed to The Sunday Times last week, have been prompted in part
by the Israeli intelligence service Mossad’s assessment that Iran is on the
verge of producing enough enriched uranium to make nuclear weapons within
two years.
Israeli military commanders believe conventional strikes may no longer be
enough to annihilate increasingly well-defended enrichment facilities.
Several have been built beneath at least 70ft of concrete and rock. However,
the nuclear-tipped bunker-busters would be used only if a conventional
attack was ruled out and if the United States declined to intervene, senior
sources said.
Israeli and American officials have met several times to consider military
action. Military analysts said the disclosure of the plans could be intended
to put pressure on Tehran to halt enrichment, cajole America into action or
soften up world opinion in advance of an Israeli attack.
Some analysts warned that Iranian retaliation for such a strike could range
from disruption of oil supplies to the West to terrorist attacks against
Jewish targets around the world.
Israel has identified three prime targets south of Tehran which are believed
to be involved in Iran’s nuclear programme:
Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges are being installed for uranium enrichment
A uranium conversion facility near Isfahan where, according to a statement by
an Iranian vice-president last week, 250 tons of gas for the enrichment
process have been stored in tunnels
A heavy water reactor at Arak, which may in future produce enough plutonium
for a bomb Israeli officials believe that destroying all three sites would
delay Iran’s nuclear programme indefinitely and prevent them from having to
live in fear of a “second Holocaust”.
The Israeli government has warned repeatedly that it will never allow nuclear weapons to be made in Iran, whose president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has declared that “Israel must be wiped off the map”.
Robert Gates, the new US defence secretary, has described military action
against Iran as a “last resort”, leading Israeli officials to conclude that
it will be left to them to strike. Israeli pilots have flown to Gibraltar in
recent weeks to train for the 2,000-mile round trip to the Iranian targets.
Three possible routes have been mapped out, including one over Turkey. Air
force squadrons based at Hatzerim in the Negev desert and Tel Nof, south of
Tel Aviv, have trained to use Israel’s tactical nuclear weapons on the
mission. The preparations have been overseen by Major General Eliezer
Shkedi, commander of the Israeli air force.
Sources close to the Pentagon said the United States was highly unlikely to give approval for tactical nuclear weapons to be used. One source said Israel would have to seek approval “after the event”, as it did when it crippled Iraq’s nuclear reactor at Osirak with airstrikes in 1981. Scientists have calculated that although contamination from the bunker-busters could be limited, tons of radioactive uranium compounds would be released. The Israelis believe that Iran’s retaliation would be constrained by fear of a second strike if it were to launch its Shehab-3 ballistic missiles at Israel. However, American experts warned of repercussions, including widespread protests that could destabilise parts of the Islamic world friendly to the West. Colonel Sam Gardiner, a Pentagon adviser, said Iran could try to close the Strait of Hormuz, the route for 20% of the world’s oil.
Some sources in Washington said they doubted if Israel would have the nerve to
attack Iran. However, Dr Ephraim Sneh, the deputy Israeli defence
minister, said last month: “The time is approaching when Israel and the
international community will have to decide whether to take military action
against Iran.”
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