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IRAN’S supreme leader is considering a change of policy on the country’s
nuclear programme in an effort to defuse growing tension with the West,
according to senior sources in Tehran.
Alarmed by mounting US pressure and United Nations sanctions, officials close
to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei favour the appointment of a more moderate team for
international negotiations on the supervision of its nuclear facilities.
The move would be a snub to the bellicose president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
whose threats to destroy Israel have left Iran increasingly isolated and
facing a serious economic downturn.
Tehran sources said the impetus for a policy switch was coming from Khamenei,
who has ultimate power over Iran’s foreign policy, security and armed
forces.
Khamenei is said to believe that Washington’s aim is not only to halt Iran’s
nuclear programme but to overthrow the regime.
He also considers the national interest is being undermined by an
inexperienced president whose rhetoric is unnecessarily inflammatory.
Under proposals now being debated, an international group made up of the
permanent five members of the UN security council, plus Germany or a nuclear
power such as India, would oversee and monitor Iran’s nuclear programme.
Washington may judge this too little, too late. But European negotiators would
be expected to regard such a move as a significant step towards reopening
talks about the programme. Tehran insists it is for civilian power but the
West believes it is aimed at creating nuclear weapons.
Last month the security council imposed sanctions on Iran. It set a 60-day
deadline for Tehran to suspend nuclear activity or face further sanctions.
Washington’s tough stance and claims that Israel has drawn up plans for a
nuclear strike against Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities have alarmed
Tehran’s conservative leadership.
Ahmadinejad tried to dismiss such fears on a trip to Central America last
week. Referring to a Sunday Times report about preparations for possible
Israeli airstrikes with nuclear-tipped “bunker busters”, he said: “I don’t
think they would ever dare to attack us, neither them nor their masters.
They won’t do such a stupid thing.”
He is due to appear before parliament today to present his annual budget. But
the poor showing of his allies in December’s local elections has also
emboldened his parliamentary critics.
In a sign that his power is waning, Iranian MPs have criticised Ahmadinejad
for his handling of the nuclear negotiations and the country’s mounting
economic crisis.
Sa’id Leylaz, a leading economist, said: “The future of the nation has never
been this dark, both economically and politically.”
Iranians face rocketing prices for food and housing and sharply increased
unemployment, estimated at 30%.
“Ahmadinejad is under extreme pressures from his own supporters to change
policies,” said Leylaz. Sources in Tehran say Ahmadinejad could be
vulnerable, as Khamenei has clearly signalled his displeasure and has the
power to dismiss him.
Khamenei rarely speaks in public, but the Islamic Republic, a newspaper he
owns, launched a strong attack on Ahmadinejad’s “personalisation” of the
nuclear issue. In an editorial, it stated: “Our advice to the president is
to speak about the nuclear issue only during important national occasions,
stop provoking aggressive powers like the United States and concentrate more
on the daily needs of the people, those who voted for you on your promises.”
Ahmadinejad’s weakness is being exploited by Ali Akhbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, a
conservative pragmatist and former president who was defeated by him in
elections in 2005.
According to the Tehran sources, one of the possible members of a new Iranian
negotiating team would be Mohammad Moussavian, a former senior nuclear
negotiator and an ally of Rafsanjani.
Last week Moussavian accused Ahmadinejad of misleading the country about the
dangers it faced as a result of UN penalties.
Additional reporting: Safa Haeri
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