Paul Ham
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THE Australian people rejected a leader they had elected on four previous occasions and who had once seemed so invincible that he could call himself “Lazarus with a triple bypass”.
This morning, John Winston Howard could be forgiven for wondering how it all went so wrong. The prime minister who lost his seat had presided over a booming economy, low inflation and near full employment.
“This result has defied every piece of electoral arithmetic I have known,” said Alan Milburn, Tony Blair’s former health secretary, who is in Australia to advise Kevin Rudd, the Labor leader.
Howard’s north Sydney seat of Bennelong fell to Maxine McKew, a former television newsreader who worked as a BBC secretary during a gap year in London in the early 1970s.
The press ditched Howard too: three out of four newspapers in the big cities backed Labor. Even Sydney’s Daily Telegraph, Howard’s favourite newspaper, abandoned him.
Swing voters embraced Labor partly because they were drawn to Rudd’s youthful appeal and avowed economic conservatism. But Howard also drove many voters into the Rudd camp, said political analysts.
Miriam Lyons, director of the Centre for Policy Development, suggested that he had failed to meet voters’ deeper aspirations, such as curbing climate change and introducing greater fairness in the workplace, Rudd’s determination to ratify the Kyoto climate treaty meant Labor won support from Green party voters, which pushed many of its candidates to victory.
Howard’s age – 68 – was used by his opponents to strengthen the impression that he was out of touch with younger voters and families.
Interest rates rose six times in Howard’s last term, losing him the support of the conservative working class who bore the brunt of the higher mortgage payments.
Another factor in Howard’s loss was his announcement that he intended to retire “well into” his next term, if elected. That did little to reassure voters. Were they voting for Howard or his likely successor Peter Costello, the unpopular treasurer? Rudd asked the question to lethal effect.
Rudd ran a smooth and persuasive campaign, as Milburn observed. But he played down comparisons with Blair’s first triumph.
“Rudd captured the mood of the nation,” said Milburn. “It was different from Blair in 1997, in that people were deeply angered at the Tories. I didn’t detect anger at Howard. I detected weariness and a sense that the government had lost its way.”
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I just hope the Aussies keep a very close eye on PM Rudd because if he has a former Blair advisor on his staff God help them. T^axes up and signing up to illegal wars - be careful!
Roy Race, Bratislava,
I hope the australian people have made a good choice. I admired PM Howard, and home that PM Rudd will serve the country, not just the people, as well as Howard did. As for fighting an "unjust" war...when as the last "just" war in your eyes? War is the full extension of politics. No one likes war. Sometimes you gotta do it folks. Get a history book and read.
jerry adams, keller, usa/ texas
Thank you JudyS, you've said it all, very eloquently. Maxine McKew was a highly professional journalist, with a profound grasp of politics, never a newsreader, and certainly no political lightweight, as this newspaper's reporter implies by his remarks. If John Howard can take any comfort at all from last weekend's double defeat - of his government and in his long held seat of Bennelong - it is that he lost his seat to a very able opponent, who has demonstrated over 30 years in the media spotlight that she has an astute grasp of politics and will be an asset as the next representative of the people of Bennelong.
Avril, Toowoomba, Q'land, Australia
I'm with you Bec. Like Howard, Milburn misread silence as acceptance. It was controlled anger. One of the worst legacies of the Howard years and his 'police state' was the ruthless suppression of dissent.
Rain, Sydney, Australia
Please don't publish 'put-downs' such as writing that Maxine McKew (the probable winner of John Howard's seat of Bennelong) was a "former television newsreader who worked as a BBC secretary". A newsreader?! Ms McKew was, and is, much much more than the 'bimbo' image you seek to project.
Even the most biased Australians would surely not deny - in the basic Australian tradition of a 'fair go' - that Maxine McKew, until she resigned to contest the election, was a respected, extremely able, articulate, vastly experienced and formidable professional television journalist (30 years as a journalist - she's 54 years old) and a probing interviewer on the small screen of people from both sides of politics. Not to mention that Ms McKew - as she probed - was invariably courteous, polite, pleasant, knowledgeable and entirely without any discernible bias. Until she went into politics, I would not have been able to hazard a guess at her political, religious or other views.
JudyS, Adelaide, Australia
Let's just hope that Rudd keeps his word and really does prove himself an economic conservative... I still find it very difficult to see that particular phrase and "Labor" in the same book, let alone on the same page.
Kelli Brough, Perth, Australia
I agree Bec
The reality is that we are a nation not just an economy. And the nation consists of hard working men and women who do not like to see our hard earned working conditions taken away by mean spirited politicians. We don't like to see our young men and women sent off to fight in an unjust war with no end. And we don't like watching our leaders ignore the world experts who say climate change is a real problem.
As for age...I didn't give it a thought.
John Bullen, Victoria, Australia
hear hear Bec
benja, sydney,
The Aussies just got sick of the lies, the meaningless spin, the refusal to accept responsibility and the P.M. always blaming others. They ripped billions out of Public Hospitals and Public Education but blamed the states for the demise of these institutions. It wasn't that the voters wanted Labor it was the Liberals were so out of touch with the voters they drove them to Labor.
Ian Davis
Wanneroo
Western Australia
Ian DAVIS, Wanneroo, Western Australia, Australia
I agree. Milburn must've neglected to ask the opinions of many Australians who were appalled, angered and saddened by some of Howard's during his tenure.
Howard's skill in detecting soft targets and using wedge politics generated much anger in Australian society. In particular, his failure to condemn the racism of Pauline Hanson introduced a level of moral ambiguity that accompanied Howard's government until the end. Just five days before the election, persons associated with the Liberal party were caught distributing fake pamphlets associating Labor with a non-existent muslim extremist group.
John, Sydney, Australia
Milburn didn't detect anger at Howard? Milburn isn't very perceptive, then. The major factor in many people's decision to oust the Liberals was their exploitive and unfair industrial relations reforms. The ages of the two leaders didn't come into the decision at all for most voters. Statements like these are offensive in that they trivialise and denigrate the intellect and motivations of voters in Australia. Climate change, Afghanistan, Iraq and Workchoices were far more prominent in the public consciousness than the age of the candidates.
Bec, Adelaide,