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General Eric Shinseki, chief of the US Army, and General James Jones, commandant of the US Marine Corps, fear that the present war plan dangerously underestimates the risks of attacking Iraq. The plan is based on the premise of a “rolling start”, with reinforcements flown into Iraq from outside the region after the first phase. The idea is to achieve tactical surprise by launching an attack without appearing to have sufficient forces in the region to do so.
The risks of such a strategy have provoked the latest rift between the Pentagon’s military wing, whose job it is to prosecute a potential war, and the more hawkish civilian leadership, notably Donald Rumsfeld, the Defence Secretary, and Paul Wolfowitz, his deputy.
General Shinseki and General Jones, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, are questioning the claims by Mr Rumsfeld and Mr Wolfowitz that Saddam’s regime will fall quickly in the event of an invasion. The greatest fear among military planners is that Saddam will withdraw his elite Republican Guard into the Iraqi capital, forcing US troops to engage in street-to-street fighting.
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