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THE credibility of President Bush’s multibillion-dollar missile defence plans
are being questioned by leading scientists after claims that the results of
key tests were falsified.
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) is considering an
investigation into accusations that fundamental flaws in the proposed “Son
of Star Wars” system have been covered up.
The criticism is led by Theodore Postol, a physicist and missile defence
critic at MIT, who has said that the institute is sitting on what is
potentially “the most serious fraud that we’ve seen at a great American
university”.
After months of demanding an inquiry into the affair, Ed Crawley, the chairman
of MIT’s aeronautics and astronautics department, has reversed previous
refusals and recommended an investigation.
The issue in question goes to the heart of missile defence technology, an
article of faith among right-wing Republicans and a key plank in Mr Bush’s
2000 presidential manifesto. The United States unilaterally withdrew last
year from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty with Russia in order to
pursue the controversial proposed system, which is designed to intercept
enemy warheads in flight, a feat likened to hitting a bullet with a bullet.
Dr Postol and fellow critics say the ability of an interceptor missile to
distinguish between an incoming warhead and the decoys likely to accompany
it is deeply suspect. Any such doubts would cripple the credibility of the
system.
Such questions date back to mid-1997 when the military contractor TWR Inc was
accused by one of its employees, Nira Schwartz, of faking test results on a
prototype anti-missile sensor meant to tell hostile warheads from decoys.
The company and its system was given the all-clear by the Lincoln Laboratory,
a federally funded research centre at MIT. But subsequently the General
Accounting Office, an investigative arm of Congress, accused TWR of
exaggerating the sensors’ performance, saying its conclusions had been
“highly misleading”.
Dr Postol has written to 20 members of Congress saying that MIT’s reluctance
to investigate the role of its own research centre “may indicate an attempt
to conceal evidence of criminal violations”.
Critics say that MIT’s independence is compromised by its interest in
maintaining hundreds of millions of dollars in annual government contracts.
The missile defence system, the first steps of which Mr Bush announced in
December with the aim of having ten missile interceptors in Alaska by 2004,
is being built by Raytheon, which beat TWR to the contract. But Dr Postol
said the TWR test, which offers a rare glimpse into the highly secretive
world of missile testing and is based on the same infra-red technology used
by Raytheon, suggests some flaws that challenge the overall feasibility of
the entire project.
Dr Postol, a persistent missile defence critic who is accusing MIT of a
“serious case of scientific fraud”, cannot be lightly dismissed. After the
Gulf War he challenged the Pentagon’s claims for the success of its
defensive Patriot missiles, saying they had intercepted few if any Iraqi
Scuds. Despite initial ridicule, his assertion is now accepted.
Since 1999 three of the eight tests of “hit to kill” interceptors have failed.
Critics say that wrapping a nuclear warhead in radar-absorbing rubber foam
or releasing thousands of small pieces of metal would be enough to fool an
interceptor.
Separately the State Department yesterday charged two US aerospace companies
with illegally supplying China with satellite and rocket technology that
could be used for intercontinental missiles.
Hughes Electronics Corp and its parent company, Boeing Satellite Systems,
stand accused of 123 arms control violations by helping China with technical
data after failed rocket launches in 1995 and 1996. Hughes said that it had
done nothing wrong.
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