Bronwen Maddox: World Briefing
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The ending of the siege of the Red Mosque has given more hope than any event for years about Pakistan’s potential for stability. It has also given good reason to think that President Musharraf has bounced back out of his recent engulfing troubles, although that is a mixed blessing.
Yesterday, as special forces stormed the white and turquoise walls of the mosque’s seminary, the lack of public protest was striking. There were a few demonstrations by religious groups — that was all. Compare that to the tens of thousands on the streets when Musharraf sacked Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry in March.
Better that a country’s most vocal demonstrators are barristers in black suits, protesting at threats to the Constitution, than that they are religious militants, rejecting its basic principles of organisation. This suggests that the essential moderation of Pakistani society, politics and religion is holding firm, the best possible hope for its future.
Religious parties regularly poll no more than about 7 per cent, and the week-long siege, putting many women and children inside the seminary at risk, has done nothing to boost their support. Instead, condemnation of the militants has been heard across the country.
Musharraf has done himself a great deal of good by the decisive action to end the siege — enough to wipe out the accusations of vacillation, since the Islamabad mosque started causing trouble in January. Benazir Bhutto, the leader of the opposition Pakistan People’s Party, said yesterday that she supported his decision not to appease the militants. If nothing else, that is a sign that the eternal talks between Musharraf and Bhutto, the former Prime Minister, still have some life.
The outline is clear: if Musharraf quashes corruption charges against Bhutto, her party will back him for another term, despite the constitutional murkiness of his claim. Or at least, it will agree not to vote against him, which amounts to the same thing. The US has been enthusiastic about a Musharraf-Bhutto alliance, given that its interests are now identical with his — that elections should be held to preserve the semblance of democracy, but that the outcome should safely deliver him another term. The US has been remarkably quiet over the sacking of the Chief Justice, a move designed to prevent Chaudhry from challenging Musharraf’s right to another term.
Britain has been more sceptical of Musharraf’s attempt to embed himself in the presidency, seeing this as an evasion of democratic discipline that could bolster support for extreme parties. That is surely right. There are worrying mutterings in Islamabad about the possibility that the elections, due later this year, may be put back by a year because of recent turmoil. This would be a serious mistake by Musharraf, and would refuel the protests.
This summer has shown that Pakistan retains a deep preference for moderate government with, at most, a muted religious tinge, and for the rule of law. If Musharraf does toy with delaying elections, he can expect trouble.
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Finally. A journalist at a major western newspaper who actually understands Pakistan. Well done.
Noor Anwar, Karachi, Pakistan
Pakistan is becoming a better example to Her neighbors of late. I am glad to hear the stand-off is ended, and Mr Musharraf stood firm. To hold "elections" that are fixed are not elections at all-and the People will not have been given a Voice through their ballots to speak. Ms Bhutto has long had the Care and Concern for her People first and foremost in all her wise and 'motherly' Leadership-during her actual time as President, and now as Leader of the People's Party...
If she chooses, through careful consideration , to align with Musharraf and to attain a place in his Cabinet, then so be it.
It would be very interesting indeed to see who would truly win (with G-D's Blessings) in a free and clear Election!!!
(I still remember how Ms Bhutto chose to give birth to her daughter at the regular public hospital-among the People!)
Cathy Summers, Denver, Colorado
"Democracy is a great ideal until it and 'social security' is being 'misused' for bad intentions." How sad that someone so erudite should be so blind to the necessity of democracy. In the long run, democracy is the only hope for countries like Pakistan where theocracy or the warlord are the only other choices. And this is important to The West right now, as Pakistan's tolerance of Al Qaeda has allowed them to regroup and grow since 9/11. Under Musharraf, or Bhutto, for that matter, democracy will be a hybrid and grow slowly but the alternatives are much worse. Interesting times.
J. Harris, Vancouver, Canada
Bronwen Maddox should realise that the siege of the mosque was stage managed drama by Musharraf to divert public opinion from opposition parties conference and supreme court hearings.
Bronwen sounds surprised at the lack of public protests. This should not be taken as support for Musharraf because vast majority of people do know that these clerics were blue eyed boys of former dictator Zia ul Haq whose son, until the death of the cleric, enjoyed close relationship with late Maulana Ghazi. It was Ejaz ul Haq who got Maulana Gazi off the hook when he was arrested by the police with illegal weapon.
As far as Benazir Bhutto is concerned I do not think she will align with a lame duck president. If she decides so then she is definitely going to lose respect in the masses and they may even turn agains her. In that even she will stand allied with MQM which is a known terrorist organisation.
B.A. Solangi, Ilford, UK
Don't forget that Musharraf's control was sanctioned by all at the time because Western Givernments realise that extremists thrive under "democratic discipline" as they milk the maximum protection under the law, pleading they are human rights victims and demanding justice while giving themselves time to plot against law abiding and reasonable people. Democratic discipline means nobody can act against extremists until a few hundred people have been brought to a room for a vote. In the meantime the ones who are breaking the law are being held up as great examples of what anyone can get away with under the system. which supports them. Democracy is a great ideal until it and 'social security' is being 'misused' for bad inentions. I for one am glad Musharraf has the power to do what needs to be done and this will be a mesage to the 'free' thinkers who want us all to think as they do.
Hanley, London, UK
Historically, Frankenstein monsters created by politicians come back to haunt them. Mrs. Gandhi, as astute a politician as any, got consumed by an unnecessary Sikh insurgency which was in some ways her creation. This led to the Golden Temple being stormed in India and Sikh alienation for many years. Similarly for the Americans and the Taliban.
The commies were way better at being adversaries as compared to the Islamists. The communist threat led to some very positive outcomes i.e. development of the internet, the space program etc. etc. Nothing positive will ever come out of the Islamist threat.
Kara Swart, Bangalore, India
when the indian army can let loose the jihadis in occupied kashmir to save the innocent in the besieged holy place, then what was wrong with the pakistani government?
it is shameful for all the local n like minded pakistanis, note am not mentioning slave minded westernize pakistanis.
mohabat khan, islamabad, pakistan
It is unfortunate that many lives lost in Lal Masjid action. But there was no other choice for the government of Pakistan. There is a big lesson for Pakistan. When in late 70's Russia installed a government, West found an opportunity to humiliate Russia by financing "Jehad" with the help of Pakistan and other Arab countries. They encouraged religious feeling to develop fighters against Russia and helped to creat Madrasas all over Pakistan. In these Madrassas fighters were triained to fight in Afghanistan. Later it resulted to "Talibanization" in Afghanistan. Now it is getting alarmingly active in Pakistan. Pakistan is being malighned in West for the problem which they created to tackle Russia. Though, the government installed by Russia was moderate and progressive. Hopefully, future Pakistan governments will be more far sighted to involve in any international adventure.
Farhat Jawed, Windsor, Canada
Well, I agree with the author that the majority of pakistani masses has moderate thinking rather than extremists but one element or one question still remains unanswered: why do such unpleasant incidents occure in a moderate society in the first place? I can assure you that Gen. Musharraf is also not serving the nation in true sense of a resposible leader as he also has not touched the root causes of our society. He will also come to a very bad end unless he does not wrongs in the entire system and which he has no intension to do so.
The above piece is true reflective of paki thought but not the true picture of paki future, in my view its going to be more of a grim.
Ahmad Raza, lahore, Pakistan