Zahid Hussain, Times Correspondent in Islamabad
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The deaths of 16 soldiers in an ambush today and of more than 100 other people in extremist attacks in the last week can all be directly linked to the Government's raid on the Red Mosque.
The violence has erupted mainly in the tribal areas of North and South Waziristan in the northwest of the country, on the Afghan border.
The Government says that Abdul Rashid Ghazi, the leading cleric in the Red Mosque, had links with Baidullah Massud, the main military leader in North Waziristan who was a former commander under the Taleban in Afghanistan.
Baidullah Massud and Abdul Rashid Ghazi also had links with Mullah Faqir Muhammad, a military commander fighting government forces in his tribal area of Bajaur, and with other radical clerics in North West Frontier Province.
The impetus for the militants to end their ceasefire is partly the desire to take revenge for the deaths of clerics, militants and seminary students when government forces stormed the Red Mosque in Islamabad where they were holding out.
Their deaths caused a wave of public anger and great anti-Musharraf feeling in North West Frontier Province, from where most of the students came.
The militants are able to exploit that wave of anger against the Government to step up their activities. Yesterday's suicide bombing against civilian demonstrators in Islamabad was also connected. The victims of that attack were not soldiers, but government sources are saying that it was the aim of the militants to create terror and mayhem in cities.
At the weekend, tribal leaders in Waziristan abandoned their 10-month ceasefire, whereby they promised to control militant activity in return for a policy of non-interference by Islamabad. Now the ceasefire is broken we can expect much heavier fighting in that region.
The Americans are not sorry to see the ceasefire go. Yesterday's US intelligence report blames it for the fact that al-Qaeda activites have increased tremendously in the last two years in Waziristan, posing a threat to the US.
The Nato leader in Afghanistan has blamed the ceasefire for giving the al-Qaeda leaders space to regroup inside Pakistan, and says it has led to an increase in cross-border attacks inside Afghanistan.
The Pakistani Government has until now been defending its ceasefire, and talking of trying to revive it, saying that it has been effective in reducing the bloody clashes between the army and the extremists in which many soldiers died.
But there is no going back for Musharraf now. He is faced with this challenge and, particularly after the Red Mosque raid, he has no choice but to renew his fight against extremism.
He has already moved forces to North West Frontier Province, and more troops have been sent in particular to Waziristan, which is the centre of tribal support for extremism.
But there is huge difficulty for General Musharraf. The public anger in tribal areas against his raid on the Red Mosque, and the escalation of violence by the militants, have added to his long list of problems, including the political crisis which has developed over his sacking of the chief justice. It is fair to describe him as embattled.
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In response to Mr. Babcock. I would like to think that we did learn our lesson; in the sense that, US occupation is a far more responsible practice than funding proxies.
I think the biggest problem is that extremist groups have been successful at distorting reality; thus, convincing people that democracy is subservient only to western imperialistic interests; not Islam.
The Red Mosque and the Israel/Lebanon conflicts, are two examples in which the response of an established state was used to force unavoidable civilian casualties. The reality of each situation has clearly been convoluted by these militant groups to gain sympathizers and political power. It's a bit formulaic.
Michael, DC/Baltimore, US
Then.. I guess I know where the nukes will be targeted at. Half at the US and the remaining half at India.
Anil, Bangalore,
One can not expect to effective control a region of a country by military target killing our outright military intervention. Doing so will only create the hatred to more brothers and cousins, of the killed, to join the registans or terrorist as one may wish to call them. The only way forward is to persistently stick to the role of law and use the police to jail and trailed the ones involved in criminal activities, and invest in the development of the people of those areas, thatâs what a decent elected government should aim for.
Miguel Santos, Lisbon, Portugal
The North West Frontier provinces are rarely tamed for long.There is little enthusiasm amongst army commanders for a prolonged civil war in an area where its writ barely runs and where clan hostility determines who if anyone supports the government in distant Islamabad.
It is nearly six years since 9/11 when a prodigious bounty was placed on the head of Osama Bin Laden .Yet despite the recent doubling of it no one has come forward to claim a sum that is unimaginable even to the wealthiest regional warlords.
The fact remains that President Musharraff has little support at home for any military action that is favoured by the US invader.Yet without the latter's continuing generous economic and diplomatic support he would be unlikely to remain in office to oversee yet another attempt at democratic government in this greatly conflicted nation.
BILL JACKSON, NOTTINGHAM, UK
Much to India's credit and its security forces, it did not allow the jehadists to carve a base in Kashmir from which they could trouble India in over 20 years. The same jehadists however created a state in Pakistan, which is now throttling its creator, the military.
While Indians achive one economic success after another, Pakistanis are resigned to a failed social and political experiment, which started the day it came into being. I feel really sorry for the tragedy that has befallen us.
Khurshid Zaman, St. Petersburg, Florida
Ronald Reagan gets credit for bringing down the Soviet empire and ending the Cold War. This is how he did it. He created the Taliban in concert with Pakistan ISI. He "ended" the Cold War but started a hot war. Jihadi terrorism has been created intentionally by US foreign policy. It was, of course, never intended to backfire.
The CIA helped create madrassa's that inflamed muslim extremism. Prior to 1975, it was not an issue anywhere on the globe. Then our meddlings in Iran, Pakistan. Now in Iraq - we never learn.
Michael Babcock, Norwalk, CT, United States
Pakistan created the Taliban, with CIA's help, also created the Modern Jihadist movement to drive Russia out of Afghanistan. It is up to USA and Pakistan to put the beast back in it's cage. We can no longer afford a "lawless" region in Pakistan where Al Qaeda and the taliban can operate freely. This area is the center of global terrorism - NOT Iraq. Although Bush is doing an admirable job of creating a new terrorist center there. This is not a problem related to 9/11 or 7/7. It is history playing out for the past 30 years. . . .
Mukul Banbihari, San Francisco, CA, USA
Musharraf will succeed as his objective is prosperity for Pakistan. Bhutto doesn't care about Pakistan and is only interested in getting back in power. However, I agree with Musharraf's strategy of working with her to carve out an alliance so that moderate forces can be fortified to battle extremism. However, Mushrraf must not make too many concessions with Bhutto as she will destabilize him when given an opportunity, which will further the cause of extremism. We need a strong and sensible leader like Mushrraf over the coming years!
Arsalan, London, UK
The point is that if the militants win, they will get their hands on Musharaf's nukes. This is clearly one of their unstated objectives.
Nicholas Stevens, Clayton, California