Michael Evans, Defence Editor
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Afghanistan is facing an explosive growth in opium-yielding poppy crops this year that will fuel the Taleban insurgency, the American commander of Nato forces in Kabul predicted yesterday.
General Dan McNeill said he foresaw a rise in suicide attacks and roadside bombs, paid for by profits from the illicit drugs trade.
“When I see a poppy field, I see it turning into money and then into IEDs [improvised explosive devices] and Kalashnikovs,” General McNeill told a news conference in Kabul.
Senior British officials have indicated that more measures would be taken this year to reduce the opium trade in Afghanistan. But General McNeill appeared to suggest that there would be little change in the approach taken by the coalition to the poppy farmers and drugs barons.
“I expect to see another year of explosive growth in poppy and I think that will again complicate the security sector,” he said. “Does it concern me? Yes, greatly.”
Last year Afghanistan produced more than 8,200 tonnes of opium, much of it from poppy farms in the south, where about 7,000 British troops are deployed.
General McNeill said that he expected the Taleban to continue to use roadside bombs and suicide bombings. More than 140 such attacks were carried out last year, he said.
He revealed that last year was the worst 12 months of violence in Afghanistan since the Taleban regime was overthrown in 2001.
More than 6,000 people were killed, although many of them were Taleban insurgents. About 1,000 Afghan civilians and 1,000 members of the Afghan security forces died, and almost 220 troops from the 40,000-strong Nato International Security Force (Isaf) were also killed 41 of them British.
Yesterday an Isaf soldier and an Afghan interpreter were killed in a bomb explosion in the province of Khost on the border with Pakistan. Two other Isaf soldiers were wounded when their vehicle was hit by an IED.
General McNeill admitted that Isaf remained “underresourced” but he doubted that Nato would provide more troops this year. “I don’t expect the members of the alliance can offer up a great number more,” he said.
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The Taliban government was instrumental in implementing a successful drug eradication program, with UN help. The Taliban's drug eradication program in 2000 led to a 94 percent decline in opium cultivation. In 2001, according to UN figures, opium production fell to 185 tons. After the October 2001 US led invasion, production increased. The UN Office on Drugs and Crime estimates that the 2006 harvest was around 6,100 tonnes, 33 times its production levels in 2001 under the Taliban (3200 % increase in 5 years). Cultivation in 2006 reached a record 165,000 hectares compared with 104,000 in 2005 and 7,606 in 2001 under the Taliban. UN figures show Afghanistan supplied in 2006 92 percent of the world's supply of opium, which makes heroin. 3 billion USD in revenue, 95% of this goes to business syndicates,organized crime and banking and financial institution.
Perhaps General McNeill ask why the US forces have helped increase opuim production and why 92% of the world opium from Afghanistan.
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