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In its short history of coups, wars and heads of state being toppled by everything from execution to a mysterious air-crash, Pakistan has learnt to expect the unexpected. But among all the myriad scenarios discussed when Benazir Bhutto flew home last year after eight years in exile, nobody predicted the one where the inconvenient husband ends up running the country.
Under a deal hatched in Washington and Whitehall, Bhutto was supposed to become prime minister to General Pervez Musharraf’s president, as the best hope for stopping the flow of militants into Afghanistan. Less than 11 months on, neither Bhutto nor Musharraf is on the scene, one tragically killed and the other humiliated into resignation.
Instead yesterday’s presidential elections saw Asif Ali Zardari, Pakistan’s most controversial figure, overwhelmingly voted in as head of state.
Long reviled as Mr Ten Per Cent, the 53-year-old whose favourite film is The Godfather will now take centre stage as he is sworn in as the country’s most powerful president.
“Not even a novelist with the most fertile imagination could have come up with this one,” said Amir Mateen, one of Pakistan’s leading columnists.
“Nobody could have imagined this a year ago,” agreed Makhdoom Amin Fahim, who led the Pakistan People’s party (PPP) for Bhutto while she was in exile and is still its parliamentary leader. “It wasn’t even a nightmare.”
Zardari himself describes as “the joker in the pack” his wife’s will, which handed into his care the party that had for so long frozen him out. When the will was read out after Bhutto’s assassination last December, Zardari insisted to journalists that he was “not interested in any post”.
“I see myself as a Sonia Gandhi advisory figure, but without the seat in parliament,” he told me, referring to the role taken on by the widow of Rajiv Gandhi after his assassination. “The important thing is to focus on building up the party.”
When elections in February saw the PPP emerge as the largest party, Zardari named a prime minister of his choosing. However, last month he decided being the power behind the scenes was not enough. Within days of ousting Musharraf by threatening to impeach him, Zardari had torn up an agreement with his coalition partner, the former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, to support a nonpartisan candidate, and declared himself.
Those around Zardari say he was persuaded to stand because of security threats, not least from within Pakistan’s own military establishment, which he believes killed his wife. He has spent the past two weeks hiding in the basement of the prime minister’s house. “After Benazir he is the next target,” said one government minister. “Being president is the only way we can give him the protection he needs.”
Others point out that the presidency is the one post in the Pakistan administration that does not require the holder to disclose his assets. Swiss authorities have just released millions of dollars of Zardari’s assets that had been frozen in 1997 after the Pakistan authorities claimed it was from kickbacks on government contracts.
Zardari, who denies any wrongdoing, claims the amount is nowhere near the $60m cited by Swiss officials and that he would give $30m to anyone who could prove it was.
He himself describes his ascent to the presidency as “revenge for Benazir’s killing” and insists it was the only way to guarantee that the PPP government would be “in power, not just in office”. Under a notorious constitutional amendment introduced by military dictators, Pakistan’s president has the power to sack governments. This is how Bhutto’s own two governments met their early demise.
“Democracy means full democracy: either I’m a democracy or I’m not,” he told me on the eve of ousting Musharraf. “I’m not a democracy when Mush is still sitting there.”
Pakistanis from Karachi to the Khyber are fearful that Zardari might use his new-found power to seek revenge of another form. In Bhutto’s autobiography she described him as “a friend’s friend and an enemy’s enemy”.
He has already shown his ruthlessness by sidelining Amin Fahim, who led the negotiations to bring Bhutto back to Pakistan, was on the truck in Karachi which was bombed on the day of her return, and was sitting next to her in the car where she was killed. Promised by Zardari that he would be named prime minister, he now sits alone in his parliamentary lodgings, thinking of what might have been.
“I’ve given my life to the party,” he said. “The PPP’s first national convention was in my father’s house, my brothers were jailed, our people killed. Not a single minister has called me since being sworn in, and they won’t take my calls because they are afraid if they talk to me they will lose their jobs.”
He added: “Zardari is the luckiest man in the world. He got everything on a platter – the party, the government, a prime minister of his own choosing and now president. Let’s see what he does with it. The impression people have of him is not a happy one.”
Among the most apprehensive are Zardari’s own inlaws. Ghinwa Bhutto, the beautiful Palestinian widow of Bhutto’s estranged younger brother Murtaza, and their children Fatima, a writer, and Zulfikar Jr, an A-level student, live at Pakistan’s most famous address: 70 Clifton was the Karachi house of Bhutto’s father, Zulfikar, who founded the PPP and went on to become Pakistan’s first elected prime minister. It is where Bhutto and Zardari married in 1987.
Not far away is the street where Murtaza was killed in a bizarre gun-fight with police in 1996 while his sister was prime minister. He and Zardari had been rivals, and when Bhutto was removed from power, Zardari was charged with involvement in his killing, one of a range of charges for which he was jailed. He was never convicted and was formally acquitted in April this year.
Sitting in the office, surrounded by leather-bound albums of state visits, Ghinwa and Fatima were fearful of openly speaking against Zardari, but talked about their worries for the future.
“We remember the targeted killings, the corruption mixed with murder of their last government in the 1990s,” said Fatima. “It’s not that long ago.”
“I’m very worried about my children’s security,” said Ghinwa. “I have asked the government for protection but they have refused. My son is particularly vulnerable. He’s the real male Bhutto heir. There are very difficult, dark days ahead.”
Fatima points out that Shoaib Suddle, the most senior policeman present on the night of her father’s death, has been made head of the Intelligence Bureau by Zardari’s government. “It looks like a reward, so one has a right to feel threatened,” she says.
Zardari’s rivals within the Bhutto clan are not the only ones worried about the concentration of powers in his hands. “I fear a return to the politics of revenge of the 1980s and 1990s,” said Senator Mushahid Hussain, one of the two candidates who ran against him for president.
Already there are worrying signs. Shortly after Sharif announced he was quitting the coalition because of Zardari’s failure to fulfil pledges to restore judges sacked by Musharraf and agree a joint presidential candidate, the National Accountability Bureau was reported to be reopening a corruption case against him. The government denied the report, but it was interpreted as a warning sign.
Zardari spent 11 years in jail on charges of which he was never convicted and advisers claim he is a different man. “He’s changed,” said Sherry Rehman, the information minister. “He’s been through trial by fire both in terms of prison and his wife’s death.”
His media team are eager to portray him as what they call “a man of the federation”. In the wake of Bhutto’s murder, he halted protests that had seen banks and government offices burnt down across her home province of Sindh, leading some to fear that the country could break up.
Zardari might be known more for his polo-playing skills than political nous, but that was one of a series of shrewd moves he has made in recent months. Friends say he learnt from his wife and read widely in jail. Others are sceptical. “I think he read Machiavelli’s Prince,” said Mahmood Shaam, editor of Jang.
Waiting in the wings for Zardari to make a slip is Sharif, the former prime minister, whose Muslim League now forms the main opposition party. Although he says he feels “sad and betrayed” by Zardari, he vows: “We won’t destabilise the government. The country is too vulnerable.”
His fear is that if it all falls apart there will not be another election, but a return to the army, which has ruled the country for more than half its 61-year history. “It all depends on how the politicians behave,” said one general. “The Pakistan army is like a beautiful black stallion. Ride it and it will serve you well. Kick it and it will buck.”
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The New York Times reported that Zalmay Khalilzad, United States Ambassador to the United Nations, had been unofficially advising Asif Ali Zardari.[34] Khalilzad, an Afghan native, is rumored to be flirting with the possibility of returning home to challenge President Hamid Karzai whe
n his term ex
anna, Berkeley, USA
Zardari is a smart man, bad luck is that he is one of the bad guys. Since pakistan came up on world map, all the leaders (from specific families) did thier best to get the benifit out of it for themselves. They say that previous PM looted Pakistan in a manner that no one found out untill he got away
Bauer, LA,
I believe views from london doesnt justifies their clear observation of pakistan, written above.Zardari was a choise of the smaller provinces . Not of CLEVER panjabies,This time they are on the losing pitch.pakistan is in danger if things go wrong with panjab, like views of the past.
SAJJAD KHAN, PEKHAWAR, Pakistan
This is no less than a calamity of biblical proportions upon the people of Pakistan.Otherwise how and why ,Zardari of all people, would become president.Pakistanis are suckers for punishment and deserve all they get,Zardari,Sharif and all.This is just the begining people.
yuniskhan, Newport, UK
Pakistan people deserve Zardari. They chose PPP again in open ballot and should desreve all the ills coming their way.
Mr. Zulfiqat Ali Bhutto made the worst mistake (even though he was called an intelligent man) to nationalize all factories and banks. Zardari=Pak Doom
Khan, NY, USA
This time Zardari will be in real trouble if he fails or do corruption because he could sink, not only government but also party and family.His track record shows he is not a man of principles and actually a man of crisis both for his late wife as well her govt.Last few months proved his mishanlings
ali afzal, london,
Army have made a tactical retreat hope for the politicians sake the people of pak do not encourage the army to intervene like in the late 1990s. Seriously look at Thiland a democracy but people calling for military rule. This govt needs to win the trust of the business community, seems unlikely.
Ali, Manchester, England
Sad story for Pakistan. I expect a worse government than Mr. Musharraf's. The tragedy for Pakistan is that there is no noe qualified political force to unify the country and people together. After so many years of misgovernment I fear the people will give the extremists a try in future.
Li, Chengdu, China
"Mr Ten Pe rcent" is now Mr. 100 pe rcent. The central and all the provincial governments are now run by the politicians who are convicts, murderers, tried, fugitives from law and outright corrupt . God save pakistan now.
M.I.A. KHAN, London, U.K.