Jeremy Page Islamabad
Attend an evening with Andre Agassi
Welcome to Pakistan's “Street of Dreams” - your chance to buy into a future free of suicide bombers, power cuts, crumbling infrastructure and bad shopping.
So goes the sales pitch for Canyon Views, a 1,000-acre complex of 5,000 luxury homes in Tuscan, Portuguese and Moorish styles being built on the outskirts of the Pakistani capital. “It's a dream come true,” said a sales executive on a recent tour. “This is the new Islamabad.”
When a Dubai-based developer invested $2.4 billion (£1.6 billion) in this and two similar projects in Pakistan in 2006, the dream seemed almost real. The economy was booming, the consumer class spending, the stock market outperforming the world. The first 250 villas - costing as much as $400,000 each - sold in a flash.
How times have changed.
Pakistani officials are in Abu Dhabi today to ask for billions of dollars from Britain and 11 other “Friends of Democratic Pakistan” to help to save their nation from economic collapse and military defeat by Islamist insurgents.
The meeting comes just two days after Pakistan agreed to a loan of $7.6billion from the International Monetary Fund - a humiliating climbdown for Asif Ali Zardari, the country's new President.
Pakistani officials say they are over the worst of a crisis that has brought them within days of defaulting on foreign debt repayments and which has threatened to derail a military campaign against Taleban and alQaeda militants on the Afghan border. “We have fulfilled our commitment that Pakistan will never default,” said Shaukat Tareen, finance adviser to Pakistan's Prime Minister.
Yet the IMF bailout falls far short of what officials and economists estimate the country of 165 million people needs to stay afloat economically - and continue the costly fight against the militants.
Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves have now plummeted to less than $7 billion, enough to pay for just two months of imports. The rupee has slumped by one fifth this year, the stock market by more than a third. Inflation stands at 25 per cent.
“It's a nightmare,” said Khalil Afridi, 41, who fears he will have to close his small mobile telephone shop in the city of Lahore by January. “First, there were the terrorists - now this.”
Rich Pakistanis have exacerbated the crisis by illegally transferring an estimated $10 billion overseas in the past year.
Pakistani officials estimate that they may need $15 billion over the next two years to service foreign debt and pay for imports, especially oil, and the campaign against the militants. They expect the World Bank and other international agencies to add to the IMF's $7.6 billion. But Mr Zardari hopes that the rest will come from the “Friends”: Britain, the United States, China, Saudi Arabia, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Australia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, the United Nations and the European Union.
The informal group rebuffed his appeal for cash in September out of concern that it would be mishandled without an IMF programme to raise taxes and curb the amount of government spending.
Washington was particularly wary, having already given Pakistan $10billion since 2001 - of which American officials estimate 70 per cent was mis-spent. Only China, which is one of Pakistan's closest allies, agreed before Saturday to lend it $500 million.
Pakistani officials, who have emphasised the economic cost of supporting the War on Terror in recent days, say that they expect good news from today's meeting, now that the IMF loan has been agreed upon.
The Friends, however, are playing down expectations - not least because of their own pressing financial woes.
“Most people are pretty adamant it's not going to be another donors' conference,” one Western official said. “It's there to support the democratic process in Pakistan.”
The likely outcome of the meeting is that the Friends will agree to help Pakistan secure more funds from international agencies such as the Asian Development Bank. To do that, however, Pakistan will have to abide by unpopular IMF conditions, which could precipitate another political crisis. Already the Government is under fire for failing to curb its own profligacy or clarify what strings are attached to the IMF loan.
Ahsan Iqbal, a spokesman for the opposition Pakistan Muslim League, criticised Mr Zardari for expanding the Cabinet to 60 ministers and taking 200 people with him on a recent visit to Saudi Arabia.
Murtaza Mughal, of Pakistan Economy Watch, said he should have turned to Pakistani businessmen, rather than the IMF or the Friends. “I have never seen a developing country do well out of an IMF loan,” he said.
None of this appears to worry the sales team at Canyon Views - their customers are either overseas Pakistanis or from the wealthy elite. They say they are on schedule to complete the project, plus another complex of 5,000 homes outside Islamabad and a seafront development of 4,000 units in Karachi by 2011.
Beyond the Street of Dreams, however, the view is decidedly less rosy.
From crisis to crisis
2007
March President Musharraf dismisses Chief Justice, prompting widespread protests from lawyers
July Mr Musharraf proposes power-sharing deal with Benazir Bhutto, below, former Prime Minister
October Ms Bhutto returns from exile
November Nawaz Sharif, former Prime Minister, returns from exile. Mr Musharraf steps down as army chief and wins new term as President
December Ms Bhutto is assassinated during election rally
2008
February Ms Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) wins parliamentary elections
March PPP forms coalition Government with Mr Sharif’s Pakistan Muslim League
August Mr Musharraf resigns as President. Coalition Government collapses
September Asif Ali Zardari, Ms Bhutto’s widower and PPP leader, wins presidential election. US launches ground assault and escalated missile attacks on northern Pakistan. Mr Zardari asks “Friends of Democratic Pakistan” for billions of dollars in aid
November Pakistan agrees to borrow $7.6 billion from the International Monetary Fund
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
to £60K + bonus (OTE £90k)
Lord Search & Selection
Location Flexible
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes
and sizes work smarter and grow faster.
£85k
CPA
Highly Competitve
Specsavers
Whiteley, near Southampton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
7nts - Penang £499; Borneo £699; All Inclusive £799 including flights, taxes, accommodation and private transfers
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.