Richard Beeston, Diplomatic Editor
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In the murky world of Russian espionage, conspiracy theories are the commodities traded by figures like Andrei Lugovoy, the former KGB officer accused of murdering his colleague Alexander Litvinenko in London last year.
Today he made sensational revelations naming British intelligence, the exiled tycoon Boris Berezovsky and for good measure the Russian mafia as the main suspects for Litvinenko’s murder.
The allegations may help to deflect efforts by the Crown Prosecution Service to have Mr Lugovoy extradited to London and charged with murder.
But he failed to explain how it was that he left a trail of polonium-210, the deadly radioactive isotope used to poison Litvinenko, on the British Airways aircraft he used to fly in and out of London, and the Millenium Hotel room, where he stayed in Mayfair.
Nor did his rebuttal address the fact that on his death bed Litvinenko blamed President Putin for his murder.
Mr Lugovoy also asserted that Britain’s Secret Intelligence Service (MI6) recruited Mr Berezovsky and Litvinenko as agents and tried to recruit him to provide compromising information about President Putin and his family.
BRITISH INTELLIGENCE MURDERED LITVINENKO
“I cannot get away from the thought that Litvinenko was an agent who had gone out of control and they got rid of him,” said Mr Lugovoy.
While any fan of James Bond knows that British agents travel the world bumping off enemies at will, in reality MI6 is a far more mundane organisation focused almost entirely on intelligence gathering.
Agents, known as “Joes” in the “Firm” (MI6), are often unstable characters capable of switching allegiances and causing trouble for their handlers.
It seems reasonable to imagine that Litvinenko had some form of contact with British intelligence. But once he fled Russia and settled in London his value as a source would diminish by the day.
To suggest that MI6 connived to acquire polonium-210, used it to poison Litvinenko and then accidentally spread it across central London infecting dozens of innocent people is ludicrous. If it was MI6, why did Litvinenko not say so as he lay dying in University College Hospital with nothing to lose?
Mr Lugovoy claimed he had evidence of British “control or connivance” in the murder, but failed to produce it.
THE MAFIA MURDERED LITVINENKO
There have always been suspicions that Litvinenko was murdered by the Russian mafia because a business deal went wrong. It is known that he was looking for work when he was killed and may have been in touch with disreputable figures. But no hard evidence has emerged to stand up this theory and Mr Lugovoy did not offer any today. It still does not explain the use of polonium-210, traced to Mr Lugovoy’s movements, nor Litvinenko’s death bed accusations.
BORIS BEREZOVSKY MURDERED LITVINENKO
“The third theory looks the most likely to me. I am talking about Boris Berezovsky, who is well known as an outstanding master of political intrigue,” said Mr Lugovoy.
This has all along been the Kremlin’s explanation for the Litvinenko murder. In essence, Mr Berezovsky is accused of killing his own protege to blacken the reputation of Mr Putin. Mr Lugovoy added a new twist to the theory, suggesting that Litvinenko was trying to blackmail Mr Berezovsky, who was granted asylum in Britain to the Kremlin’s fury.
While the Russian tycoon and former Kremlin insider is indeed a master of intrigue, murdering his own colleague with a radioactive poison stretches the imagination.
Again it fails to explain how polonium-210, a substance manufactured under tight supervision in Russia and other nuclear states, found its way to London where it was used as a poison.
Mr Lugovoy also alleges that Mr Berezovsky was working for British Intelligence. It is possible and even likely that the tycoon has ties to British Intelligence. But he certainly does not need the money and his information will always be treated with suspicion because of his open opposition to the Kremlin.
MI6 TRIED TO RECRUIT LUGOVOY
“The English, in essence, offered me to collect any compromising material on President Putin and his family,” said Mr Lugovoy.
This is the only allegation that is plausible. In the chaotic world of post-Soviet Russia Moscow was flooded with former Russian intelligence officers breaking into the private sector and often prepared to trade their knowledge for money or contracts.
Mr Lugovoy is a typical product of this generation. He worked in the former KGB in the elite directorate responsible for guarding the Kremlin leadership. He would have had access to many state secrets. He then worked for Mr Berezovsky, before being sent to jail, where it is assumed he was persuaded to work for his old masters at Lubyanka (the Russian intelligence headquarters in Moscow).
As the head of a private security company with contacts in and outside the Kremlin, he is precisely the sort of figure that British or other foreign intelligence services might want to recruit as an agent.
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Why people take for granted the fact that Polonium might be only manufactured "under tight supervision" in a nuclear lab?
Polonium was extracted first time from uranium ores using a primitive technology known in the end of XIX century...
Why the police rejected the version of "natural" origin of the isotope (i.e. from uranium tailings' emanation) ?
That way of getting moderate quantities 210-Po might theoreticaly be simplier, cheaper and out of any governmental control....
artem, Exeter,
ok. A multimillioner in the role of a jackeg killer? He definitively tried to earn some pocket money behind mrs A.Lugovoy back.(wink & nudge).
Apart from the joke, it appears the key things are:
who had the motive?
who originated idea of Litvinenko conversion in Islam which wittingly prevented any further post mortem examination (for the faith reason)? (BTW please save me from reading fairy tales on a deep- rooted cynical ex-prison guard feeling the light of the true faith.)
did the initial examination indeed find an alien object in the victim' rectum as reported?
were the trails of polonium found in the apartment in which Mi 6 had a meeting with Lugovoy?
I'd like to get the answers. What i have been reading till now is a sort of a shaggy dog story (bla-bla we poor ewes/brave cold war winners... Putins is bad, eeevil russkies etc.
Andrey, Krasnodar, Russi
Don't you think HMG is cynically exploiting the murder of one petty blackmailer by an independent group of thugs who happen to be Russian and who would have been the object of this blackmailer in order to negotiate a better natural gas supply deal?
Or has the UK handed over for extradition to the CIS any wanted Russian criminals lately?
I love spy fiction too, and Britain writes the best of it, hands down. Problems commence when you try to live these fictions. Another non-starter initiated by another blackmailer, this time the British government. The lately deceased would not even have made it to the Moscow airport if he had half the credentials he'd stated he had (or to Gastwick if he were MI6 heading in the other direction).
rashid, London, UK
I wonder why everybody is speaking about murder. To my mind most possible explanation is that both Litivinenko and Lugovoy were involved in a sort of nuclear substance smuggling. By accident Litvinenko was poisoned to death. And because of the same accident Lugovoy had some of this substance on his stuff.
As to Litvinenko's bed accusations, I can present a number explanations thereof. For instance, Litvinenko was paid by Berezovky (notwithstanding the impending death Litvinenko still had some some time on his hands to enjoy money. For example, expensive drugs, relatives, sensual pleasures etc.) And also it's always difficult to probe into dying person's mind. I don't believe that nuclear substance usage in murder of a minor unemployed hohol may sound reasonable to anybody.
Oleg, Moscow, Russia
I agree with the analysis here, but it's worth noticing that Lugovoy is still being very clever. The West is awash in people who live to construct conspiracy theories, no matter how outlandish, and it is also awash in people who live to read such theories and pass them on.
We have recently emerged from a very well orchestrated attempt to convince the public that the US Government was responsible for 9/11, complete with bogus "unanswerable" arguments, radio and TV appearances, planted news stories and web comments, and even Youtube clips.
No matter how more rational people react to Lugovoy's allegations, we'll likely have to go through some of the same stuff. And what many people will retain is not that Lugovoy's allegations were debunked, but that they were made at all.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/US
Putin, if he is a true democrat, and one hopes so, is shortly gone. There is no point in discrediting him, it might be instead useful to have an unscathed businesman.
John Van Egmond, ,
How many 'nuclear states' are there, and which of them would gain by discrediting Putin (who, incidentally, does the job very well himself)?
Regina Akel, Coventry, UK