Mark Franchetti
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WHEN he strides proudly across a red carpet lined with guards in prerevolutionary uniforms to take his oath as president of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev may be tempted to look over his shoulder.
Standing only a few yards behind him in the gilded Kremlin hall will be Vladimir Putin, the outgoing president who was prevented by the constitution from standing for a third successive term and anointed Medvedev as his heir instead.
For all the ostentatious show of a transfer of power, few in the Kremlin believe the ceremony in May will truly mark the end of Putin’s presidency.
According to government sources, Medvedev has agreed to serve a single four-year term, allowing Putin to stand again in 2012 and reclaim his old job for a further eight years. The pact would keep Putin in power until 2020, when he will be 68.
Medvedev, 42, who is 13 years younger than his mentor, is expected to win a landslide 70% of the vote in today’s presidential election. It will be Russia’s second handover of power since the collapse of the Soviet Union 17 years ago but it may not be as smooth as the first.
In 2000 Boris Yeltsin backed Putin and disappeared from public life. This time Putin is to stay on - as prime minister. Will Russia’s baby-faced, 5ft 5in new president be a mere puppet or will he grow into a strong and independent leader?
“In the end only time will tell,” said a British diplomat. “Putin is such a strong president and Medvedev appears to be in such awe of him that it’s difficult to imagine him standing up to him. But that can change. The other question is whether Russia can be ruled by two men.”
Medvedev and Putin have known each other since 1991. Putin is said genuinely to trust his protégé, while Medvedev has dutifully provided unwavering support. Since being chosen as his successor, Medvedev has started to dress, speak and even swagger like his boss.
Both are from St Petersburg but the similarity in their backgrounds ends there. Whereas Putin, a factory worker’s son, grew up in a rundown communal flat where he used to club the rats for sport, Medvedev’s parents were academics. His father, who died in 2004, taught at a technical institute. His mother, whom Medvedev speaks to every day, is a retired Russian-language teacher. They lived in a Soviet apartment block on the city’s drab outskirts.
“It wasn’t much, to be honest, but I lived there for almost 30 years and even managed to write a PhD there and didn’t feel depressed or embarrassed,” he recalled. “Our means were average. We didn’t starve, though we had little money.”
Medvedev met Svetlana, his future wife, at school when he was just seven. The couple have a 12-year-old boy, Ilya. “I stopped caring about school. It was much more fun to walk with my future wife than to sit with my textbooks,” he said.
Both Medvedev and Svetlana went on to university, he to study law in the same department as Putin and she as an economist.
As a schoolboy, Medvedev worked as a car mechanic. He recalls spending his wages on ice cream and cinema tickets in contrast to Putin, who was a hooligan, often involved in fights with other youths.
“There were two things that I wanted very badly: jeans and LPs. And my parents couldn’t buy me either,” Medevedev said. “Real Wranglers or Levi’s were available on the black market for a couple of hundred roubles, and the average teacher’s salary was 120 roubles. Real LPs were very expensive. I remember dreaming about a double album that had just come out, Pink Floyd’s The Wall, but 200 roubles was an astronomical amount for me at the time.”
He later paid for his studies by working on building sites and shovelling snow. His ambition was to become a judge.
But his life was to take a different turn as the Soviet Union began to disintegrate. Medvedev, then in his early twenties, campaigned for Anatoly Sobchak, his former law professor, who won election as a reformist mayor of Leningrad, soon to revert to its traditional name of St Petersburg. Sobchak gave Medvedev a job as legal adviser to his deputy, Putin, who had left the KGB and was in charge of attracting foreign investment to the city.
Medvedev is said to have been mistaken for the receptionist by visitors to Putin’s office. Hard-working, thorough and reliable, however, he quickly became Putin’s closest adviser and friend. In one sensitive case, he successfully defended Putin from charges that he had handed lucrative export licences to cronies’ companies. An inquiry found no evidence that Putin had profited personally.
Putin went on to Moscow where he began his giddy rise up the political ladder. Medvedev, a workaholic like Putin, joined the private sector, just as Russia’s first oligarchs were building their fortunes.
He worked for Ilim Pulp, a paper industry giant, as its head of legal affairs and soon had the money to buy his first flat. “I remember the happiness I experienced at the time,” he recalled. “It was incredible.”
In 1999 Putin, who had briefly served as head of the FSB intelligence service - the former KGB - before his appointment as prime minister, brought Medvedev to Moscow. Shortly afterwards Putin became president.
“There’s this chemistry, a personal trust between us. Not once did he let me down,” Putin said recently. Medvedev, who swims twice a day and has banned ashtrays in the Kremlin, was soon promoted to deputy prime minister. Putin also appointed him to head Gazprom, the state oil and gas behemoth, which he proceeded to restructure.
Fuelled by soaring energy prices, Gazprom’s market value surged from £4.5 billion when Medvedev took over to £150 billion today. The company became an instrument of Kremlin dominance and was accused of bullying when it cut off gas supplies to Ukraine in a price dispute. Under Medvedev, 30% of Russia’s natural resources were restored to Kremlin control.
Life for Medvedev’s family also improved as they moved into a £3m apartment in a walled compound, although according to his income disclosure his salary has been just £35,000 a year for the past four years and the couple’s only car is his wife’s 1999 Golf.
Medvedev, who speaks fluent English and has a passion for French wines, well-cut Italian suits and Georgian food, also declared that he owned an acre of land outside Moscow and had savings of £55,000.
Svetlana, a socialite and fan of Russian fashion shows who is active in charities, claimed to have just £7 in her bank account. Medvedev has said she berates him for being too easy-going with their son. In preparation for her new role as Russia’s first lady, she has lost weight, ordered more stylish outfits and attended church more often.
Medvedev, who hired the British rock band Deep Purple to play at the Kremlin for Gazprom’s 15th birthday last month, has overseen ambitious plans to improve education, health, agriculture and housing since 2006.
He strikes a far more liberal pose than Putin, speaking of the importance of democracy and press freedom. He has vowed to fight Russia’s endemic corruption and has strongly criticised the country’s judiciary which, he said, must be reformed to put an end to “legal nihilism”.
He takes over a self-assertive Russia which was saved from virtual bankruptcy by soaring oil prices. After eight years of record growth, the country now holds £240 billion in foreign currency reserves, the world’s third largest after Japan and China. Millions still lead lives of grinding poverty but there is a growing middle class, more than 100,000 millionaires and 40 billionaires.
The consumer boom and political stability have come at a heavy price. Putin has crushed opposition to the Kremlin in the media, parliament and the regions.
Most opposition candidates have either refused to stand or, in the case of Garry Kasparov, the former chess grandmaster, are barred from doing so. Three other candidates have been allowed to stand but their backing is minimal. Polls put Vladimir Zhirinovsky, the extreme nationalist, on 10%; Gennady Zyuganov, the veteran communist, on 10%, and Andrei Bogdanov, leader of the Democratic party, on less than 1%.
State-controlled media have given blanket coverage to Medvedev, who has refused to campaign or take part in televised debates with the other candidates. The Kremlin is still not taking any chances: official posters claiming that Medvedev’s opponents failed to disclose their incomes are to be displayed inside polling booths.
Putin was adamant last month that he will answer to Medvedev. “I’ll never be a substitute for the head of the state,” he said. “Responsibility lies with the top man. I’m certain that Medvedev is capable of making decisions.I don’t rule out the possibility that there’ll be differences, but we’re used to listening to each other.”
Not to be outdone, Medvedev was adamant that he alone would rule Russia for the next four years: “The president runs Russia, and according to the constitution there can only be one.”
‘Havesome poloniumtea’, jokes Litvinenko suspect
THE prime suspect in the London murder of Alexander Litvinenko, the Russian dissident, cracked jokes about his poisoning with polonium210, according to a French film-maker, writes Matthew Campbell.
Manon Loizeau, whose documentary about the November 2006 murder was broadcast on French television last week, held several meetings with Andrei Lugovoi, a Russian MP and businessman who is wanted by Scotland Yard in connection with the killing.
At one meeting, she said, he gave her a cup of tea. When he noticed she was not drinking it, he suggested that she put honey in it.
“Polonium goes down a lot better with honey,” he joked. Commenting on reports that Johnny Depp would play Litvinenko in a Hollywood film, Lugovoi said: “I hope Brad Pitt plays my role.”
Lugovoi denied that he had killed Litvinenko, who suffered for three weeks in hospital before succumbing to the poison, a rare radioactive isotope.
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Why are so down on the Russian political system? They are still relatively new to democracy and it's not as if the Western democracies are not without issues - look at the American elections! It's all about who has the most money and can pay for TV time - so what's the difference?
Looking at the other candidates who are standing there's not much competition. Banning popular figures such as Kasparov is not a good thing though...
Neil Watkinson, Ipswich, UK
Yes! Medvedev very much nice manager!
sikosyko, Rostov-on-Don, Russia
The Year of the Mighty Dogs!
The new cold war is certainly alive and well. Anyone who believes differently is wrong! Tactics and secreacy is the chess game we have always played with Russia for as long as anyone can remember. It remains the nature and mission of the FSB as it does with our CIA. They both run by a different set of rules - ergo the shadow governments. Both countries are large and powerful and one never knows when we will have another standoff attempt like the bay of pigs. Hopefully all we have to remember now, to keep the peace amoungst ourselves, according to Sting, is , "I hope the Russians love their children too".
capolitics, oakland, ca
I think that a person cant really say too much at this time except it will most likely be a good thing for Russia, and a good thing for Medvedev as he will have Vladimir to back him up on decissions he must make. I beleive that Russia will be more balanced than ever, as it now has two very intelligent men and 2 leaders, one of which we know is very strong, Vladimir, and another, Medvedev, which I suspect will be a strong leader like Vladimir if he has hand picked him. Though as the article had said, i dont think that Putin's rule will be truly over either but this would just be a set back to his total power. Though it wont matter in my opinion, I dont think Medvedev or Putin will coral over this, and Medvedev will rule his 4 years, of course with lots of influence from Vladimir himself, then everything will be as it was with Vladimir Putin as president again, and when this happens, Putin will have an even stronger russia under his rule from Medvedev, and he will mak it much stronger
Dylan Lukey, Yorkton, Canada
Fuelled by soaring energy prices, Gazpromâs market value surged from £4.5 billion when Medvedev took over to £150 billion today.
any comments on this?
colin robertson, london,