Win tickets to the ATP finals
The French head of state, who has held fire in the debate so far for tactical reasons, is to enter the campaign fray in a television debate with young people on Thursday evening. With his presidential legacy in jeopardy, he knows that he must deploy his formidable powers of persuasion to turn the tide and save a campaign that is taking on the flavour of a potential rout.
M Chirac will try to convey a solemn message: that history and the nation’s destiny call for a “yes” to a project that caps five decades of French leadership in Europe.
Rejecting the constitution would humiliate France and wound the EU, making it less able to stand up to the forces of “American-led globalisation”, he will say.
Dominique Perben, the Justice Minister, put the Government’s killer-argument more bluntly last week: “We have finally obtained this ‘Europe à la Française’ that we have awaited for so long,” he said. “This constitutional treaty is an enlarged France.”
Six opinion polls over the past month have shown the “no” supporters leading. The latest yesterday, by Ifop for le Journal du Dimanche, found that the “no” camp had risen to 55 per cent among certain voters, compared with 61 per cent for a “yes” in February. The undecided vote has shrunk from 45 to 37 per cent.
The highest “no” figures yet show that a week of energetic campaigning by the Government of Jean-Pierre Raffarin and the leadership of the pro-constitution Socialist Party had failed to dent the determination of voters to use the May 29 referendum to blow a Gallic raspberry at M Chirac, the political establishment and the EU.
Ministers are talking privately of their belief that the referendum is falling victim to anger over rising unemployment, economic stagnation and a broad sense of injustice over government policies. The vote could turn into one of those springtime revolts that punctuate French history.
Many centre-right voters who normally back M Chirac believe that voting “no” is a cost-free way of signalling their displeasure. A majority of the Socialists’ usual electorate has swung behind voting “no”, believing that François Hollande, the party’s leader, should not be consorting with the “enemy” — the Chirac camp.
Support for rejection is spreading into unlikely sectors, such as the business world and the professional classes. Farmers, who benefit hugely from the EU Common Agricultural Policy, which absorbs almost half the EU budget, have turned nearly unanimously against the constitution.
The poll yesterday found that support for the treaty was solid only among voters of the small centre-right Union for French Democracy party, a government ally that was founded in the early 1970s by Valéry Giscard d’Estaing, the former President who chaired the drafting of the constitution.
M Chirac’s team and M Hollande, leader of the Opposition, had been hoping to cool the mood of revolt by extolling the merits of a constitution that was proposed by M Chirac and drafted under French leadership. The latest poll showed that a majority of voters claim to be basing their decision on the contents of the constitution, with France’s economic situation as the close second factor.
The “yes” campaigners believe that voters have not focused on the reality of the complicated 240-page treaty. This is because the rejection front — an unholy alliance of rightwingers, National Front supporters, Trotskyites and traditional Socialists — are successfully avoiding the true contents while exploiting general unhappiness over the enlargement of the EU into what France sees as a British-dominated free market.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
The UK's leading alternative to showroom finance.
Finance packages tailored to your needs.
Minimum loan of £15,000
Car Insurance
£12,578 per annum
The Independent Housing Ombudsman
London
Competitive
Barclaycard
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£80-95,000
Clay McGuire Executive Selection
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.