David Sharrock
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The Republic of Ireland is set to reject the Lisbon Treaty, destroying ambitions to salvage a draft European constitution.
Rejection by only one of the European Union’s 27 member states would mean that the treaty — ratified by five parliaments so far — would fall.
Ireland has been the only country to put the treaty to a referendum. According to an opinion poll published today in The Irish Times, 35 per cent of people surveyed intend to vote “No” in next Thursday’s ballot, more than double the 17 per cent figure in the newspaper’s last survey three weeks ago. Support for the treaty has fallen from 35 per cent to 30 per cent, with 28 per cent undecided and 7 per cent intending to abstain.
“It will take an unprecedented swing in the last week of the campaign for the treaty to be carried,” The Irish Times says.
Pollsters said that many voters had admitted that they did not understand the treaty, or what they were voting on.
A “No” vote by Ireland would upset plans to create an EU president and foreign minister.
The Lisbon Treaty is intended to streamline the workings of the EU now that it has expanded from 15 to 27 members, which means many more issues being decided by majority voting and the effective loss of national vetoes.
Many in the “Yes” camp fear that the referendum will be a repeat of the one held in 2001 for the Nice Treaty, when voters overwhelmingly said “No”, even though most of the country’s political parties were in favour of the treaty.
The rejection was a major headache for European leaders, but was overturned when the vote was held again a year later. This may also be a factor in the current campaign, with voters believing that they can take a “guilt-free poke” — as one potential “No” voter said this week — in the knowledge that it could be overturned later.
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dear editor,may I through yor colums heartily congratulate the the people of Ireland on their splendid NO vote on the EU Treaty and will they please think of us as and when the EU bosses try to bully Ireland into acceptingd this awful piece of legislation,we in UK won't even get a vote.
Peter Thornsby, STOWMARKET, ENGLAND
We support the Irish that they are so strong to say "no",
and reject this treaty. They have the real democracy.
Jolanta, Warsaw
Jolanta , Warsaw, Poland
It is a symbol of the lack of democracy when we in England have to rely on the Irish to save us from an unwanted constitution? However, I beleive the Irish are intelligent and strong enough to reject this treaty and send Europe packing.
Matt, Naples, IT
Or let's see if the EU finally gets the message that they have lost all contact with the public in the founder nations. Perhaps even that it needs to DO SOMETHING about that?
Just because various parliaments (Netherlands, UK, France) don't dare ask the public doesn't mean the treaty has improved
Nick, London,
There will be no break-away or two-tier Europe when this treaty is rejected next Thursday. Understandably there is a lot of hysteria right now and doomsday scenarios . What will happen in reality is that the EU will continue to function as it does today. Now let Britain vote on it.
John Asher, Dublin, Ireland
To the people of Ireland,
You have the freedom to chose, dont vote for this treaty. Please on behalf of the world, please dont let this elite power grab happen.
With respect and hope.
Phil, Ashburton, New Zealand
good luck to the irish people,l hope the no voters win by a
landslide our pm brown reneged on the promised referendum. he cant even admit its a copy of the rejected constitution by france and holland.
john cross, birmingham, warickshire
Cheers for all the support folks!
I for one do not want greater power to be surrendered to the Europeans. My only wish is to be ruled by my own elected native leaders.
In fact Ireland is psychologically closer to Boston than Berlin! So what are we doing! (Not suggesting joining the US!)
Murlough, Laois, Ireland
Maybe Ireland can save Europe from its suicidal obsession with being run by an bureaucratic nondemocratic oligarchy.
Go Ireland!
Let's have a referendum in the UK as well. Why is this being shoved down our throats? I thought this was a democracy. Are we too stupid to decide our future?
Lori, Brighton, UK
I don't for a moment presume to tell the Irish how to vote - I only wish I had the chance to vote on the treaty in my country. And perhaps if the ordinary people of Ireland makd the EU sit up and listen, then maybe the'll start listening to all of the rest of us, too. Good luck to you, Ireland!
Warwick Cairns, Windsor, UK
Those of you in Ireland who are undecided, think of the French and Dutch voters who rejected the constitution but now have no say in the regurgitated, 95% similar treaty. And the rest of us who don't get a vote because the powers tha be know they would lose - doesn't that just tell a story...
Tom, Milton Keynes, UK
If the amendment falls, then legally the Treaty is dead. We all still remain full members of the EU as it is, the sky does not fall in. Maybe they'll try an amended version of the amendment, the treaty, or something else, but any threats to the contrary are nonsense.
Oisín, Wexford, Ireland
Referendum are good when people know what they vote for and understand it. There seems to be a big problem there...
Jean-Michel, Brussels, Belgium
The assumption that the Brown would cease the ratification process in the UK may be misplaced. Would he put the UK in the dunce's corner with Ireland? I doubt it. The likelihood must be that all other Member States will ratify. The ball will then be back with a foolish and crestfallen Ireland.
Seosamh, Cathair,
To Richard:)
It's NOT my EU....since Ireland has become a member, how much money did WE ( the EU) pour in Poor Ireland to make it what it is today??? Think about it....:)) Have agreat weekend.
pascal-pierre, Brittany, EU (France)
That's not a threat is it, pascal-pierre? The whole treaty, like the EU itself these days, seems to recognise that in order to legitimise the behaviour of unelected people, who seek to impose a 'one size fits all' solution to a complex collection of peoples and cultures.
Bill Q, Derby,
Democracy western style, keep having a Referendum till the vote suits the politicians, then stop. We never have a vote to see if people have changed their minds, lets be really Democratic and let all the countries have a referendum to see if they want to stay in the E.U. or would like a change.
David, Helsinki, Finland
Like most europeans, I was denied the right o vote.
Europe and this treaty is anti-democratic.
They want a president and foreign minister? Give US ALL elections! The EU, as it is, is UNDEMOCRATIC and run against us by an élite of idiot burocrats in brussels: the bruxelliots.
P.S. I am pro-europe
Rui, Lisbon, Portugal
If my country was democratic I would have had a chance to vote on this matter. Unfortunately, being British ain't what it used to be. We might have our differences Irish cousins, but as a Yorkshireman of Irish blood, I implore you to SAY NO to this 'backdoor empire.'
Sam, Brussels, Belgium
Yes you can keep your EU of social laws, and we will stick to the EU of the 'Free Trade Zone'. I fully agree with the two-tier system Pascal-Pierre is proposing.
There are some aspects of the 'social model' that suit honest hard working French, but do not suit the same demographic in Ireland.
No
Richard, Ireland,
In Daniel's book God showed us the Old Roman Empire would return, it has in the form of the EU. The bottom line here is this, in the end the EU will not only have a treaty but they will have their 1st full time President. Ireland, you may be able to delay it, but you will not stop what is coming!
Frank DiMora, Lompoc, USA
Come on Ireland! Give a collective 'two fingers' to the treaty!!
Mike Marian, Gibraltar, Gibraltar
Let's see what happens on 12 june! If it were rejected....the other EU states would have to decide what to do next. leave Ireland to its fate and move forward and officialize a two-tier EU....or split between those who have (ratified) and the others, including the UK I assume...
pascal-pierre, Brittany, EU (France)