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Romano Prodi, waiting yesterday to see whether he would become Italy’s next prime minister, and having campaigned on an anti-Mafia ticket, could have taken startled pleasure in the arrest of Bernardo Provenzano, the “boss of bosses” of the Mafia, on the run for four decades.
It was a preposterous drama. Provenzano — revealed to be small, handsome, red-cheeked and smiling (a bit like an Italian prime minister, and nothing like the police photofits) — was found near Corleone, the town in the mountainous heartland of Sicily made famous by the Godfather films. Who’d have thought of looking there? They’ll be finding Osama bin Laden in Tora Bora next.
There is no stunt Prodi can hope to pull in the rest of his programme that will match that climax. Many of his plans are simply to undo the work of Silvio Berlusconi, particularly the legislation to extend his own powers as prime minister and media mogul.
That is a good thing. But his other plans, skimpy as they seem to be, unfortunately show his obligations to the communists and radicals who will make up part of his coalition. Others are wishful thinking, almost impossible to implement.
‘Anti-Berlusconi’ steps
The benefit of these is clear. Berlusconi’s new laws seemed designed to bolster his own position and protect himself from challenges by judges. They attracted huge criticism, in Italy and abroad.
As many pointed out, Berlusconi joined the US-led coalition in Iraq in the name of democracy and the rule of law but seemed to sidestep principles of accountability at home.
His move to scrap first-past-the-post voting, forced through parliament last year, did much to produce the tangled election result. But in trying to unpick these legislative strands, Prodi risks wasting as much time as Berlusconi, particularly if he is leading a fractious coalition.
Sop to the communists
These are regrettable. The few prudent economic reforms that Berlusconi made included an edging up of the retirement from 57 to 60, and steps to making pensions more affordable and labour more flexible. Prodi wants to reverse this.
Wishful thinking
Who wouldn’t want to? Gordon Brown said the same about tax evasion, hoping, like Prodi, to use a clampdown to pay for spending. But it isn’t that easy.
Popular but vacuous
These will not cure Italy’s problems, they will probably not even raise the birth rate.
Sounds good, but can he do it?
These are the core of his programme — the plans that might begin to address Italy’s alarming economic problems.
Unions and businesses will back the cuts in labour taxes; the question is whether people will back the cut in spending that must follow.
All of these steps are essential; none is popular. A coalition will not find them palatable.
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