Graham Paterson
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THE highly respected former chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, launches a harshly critical attack on President George W Bush’s economic competence in his memoir published tomorrow.
While his declaration that America’s prime motive for the Iraq war was oil will set off one political storm, his onslaught against Republican fiscal mismanagement will cause another, just as the economy becomes a big issue in the primary election campaign.
Greenspan’s 531-page book will do little to restore faith in the Bush administration’s claims of economic proficiency at a time when the markets are deeply unsettled. He has harsh words for Bush, the vice-president, Dick Cheney, and the Republicans over their big spending and lack of financial discipline. They are contrasted with former president Bill Clinton, whom Greenspan clearly admires.
He writes that Bush’s failure to curb spending was “a major mistake” and that Republican congressmen were “feeding at the trough”. “The Republicans in Congress lost their way,” he says. “They swapped principle for power. They ended up with neither. They deserved to lose [the 2006 congressional election].”
He sums up his deep disappointment with Bush. “My biggest frustration remained the president’s unwillingness to wield his veto against out-of-control spending,” Greenspan writes. “Not exercising the veto power became a hallmark of the Bush presidency . . . To my mind, Bush’s collaborate-don’t-confront approach was a major mistake.”
In contrast Greenspan, an adviser to Gordon Brown who describes his own politics as “lifelong libertarian Republican”, called Clinton’s 1993 economic plan “an act of political courage”.
When Bush and Cheney won the 2000 election, Greenspan writes, “I thought we had a golden opportunity to advance the ideals of effective, fiscally conservative government and free markets . . . I was soon to see my old friends veer off in unexpected directions.”
He rejects the Republican mantra that “deficits don’t matter” and says that in the Bush-Cheney White House “little value was placed on rigorous economic policy debate or the weighing of long-term consequences”.
Greenspan, 81, who retired last year after serving six presidents either as chairman of the Fed or as an economic adviser, makes no secret of his admiration for Clinton but believes he was undermined by the scandal of his relationship with the intern Monica Lewinsky.
“President Clinton’s old-fashioned attitude towards debt might have had a more lasting effect on the nation’s priorities. Instead, his influence was diluted by the uproar about Monica Lewinsky.”
When the news first broke, Greenspan discloses, “I was incredulous. ‘There is no way these stories could be correct,’ I told my friends. ‘No way’.”
Later, when the affair was confirmed, Greenspan says, “I wondered how the president could take such a risk. It seemed so alien to the Bill Clinton I knew, and made me feel disappointed and sad.”
He has sharp views on other presidents he has known, judging that there is something abnormal about anyone willing to undergo what it takes to get the job. Gerald Ford, he writes, “was as close to normal as you get in a president, but he was never elected”.
The Watergate tapes, he says, show Richard Nixon as “an extremely smart man who is sadly paranoid, misanthropic and cynical”. He recalls telling a friend who had accused Nixon of anti-semitism that “he wasn’t exclusively anti-semitic. He was anti-semitic, anti-Italian, anti-Greek, anti-Slovak. I don’t know anybody he was pro”.
Ronald Reagan’s ability to joke and tell folksy anecdotes in support of a particular policy represented an “odd form of intelligence”.
The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World is likely to be pored over in Wall Street and the City for clues to Greenspan’s still hugely influential views on the economy.
He forecasts that inflation will be harder to contain in future and predicts that far higher interest rates will be needed to maintain price stability. At some point, he argues, the movement of people from farms to factories in countries such as China will slow, leading inevitably to higher wages and prices.
Economists have been critical of Greenspan’s 2003 decision to cut interest rates which, they argue, helped create the housing bubble, the collapse of which provoked this summer’s banking crisis.
Greenspan defends the policy. “We wanted to shut down the possibility of corrosive deflation,” he writes. “We were willing to chance that by cutting rates we might foster a bubble, an inflationary boom of some sort, which we would subsequently have to address . . . It was a decision done right.”
In the book, which has an initial print run of 1m copies, Greenspan includes details of his private life, including his relationship with the television journalist Andrea Mitchell, 60.
After their first date in 1985 he invited her back to his flat to read an economics paper he had written. They have been together ever since. “I’m not threatened by a powerful woman; in fact, I’m now married to one,” Greenspan says.
He started writing the memoir, for which he received a reported advance of £4m, on the day he retired from the Fed in January, 2006. Most of it was composed in the bath, a practice he began after he received a back injury in the 1960s.
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The good times of the 90s were largely a dividend of the positive results from the Reagan administration and the end of the Soviet Union. The US balanced the budget, but there wasn't a "real" surplus because the money could've been used to pay on the national debt. That debt was enormous then and bigger now. Is the war about oil? Yes, but guess what? Oil drives the world economy and without it, this world would go into a global recession that would surely bring on World War III. It would be better to remove the fuel tax from every gallon of gas and create an energy tax instead (our infrastructure needs the revenue). Then REAL development of alternative energies would rapidly emerge.
William, Tulsa, OK
I am glad Geeenspan spoke up and said what he thought to be true, regardless if it wasn't so positive about our past presidents. It was the truth. Greenspan is an intelligent, wise man and always knew what was truly going on in the White House. Unfortunately, he didn't have a voice at the time and could not speak out due to the position he had. Now he can and I am glad he did. Doesn't matter if he is saying it in a book. The fact is, he is saying it now. He is speaking for millions of Americans. It's what we know to be true.
Thank you Mr. Greenspan.
Kathy, Binghamton, NY USA
Kathy, Binghamton, NY
How sad he had little good to say about our current presidents policies and or decisions. It seems to cement what we have known for a long time, Republicans ignore ,it appears, their horrendous amount we are in debt now, due to the war and out of the world spending...
With all the horrible things Clinton did, morally, we as a nation
we not in the red.....and better off than we are now for sure.
Greenspan saw this, but was helpless to advise a president who won't be advised.
As with the war, now it will be up to the next president to get us out of this horrendous, debt.
Greenspan was correct, when Clinton was president, we had a surplus, and a balanced budget.
KMCD Magnolia, Iowa
Kenna Marie, Mo. Valley, Iowa
I am glad Greenspan spoke.
One's loyalty must be to the nation first and party loyalty should be dependent on what the party is going to do the nation. The arrogance of republicans Bush Cheney will be paid for by a ton of good republicans - shamelessly good for nothing, the one's who did not speak when the bush cheney were set on doing evil things to our nation.
Mike Ghouse
www.Mikeghouse.net
Mike Ghouse, Carrollton/ Dallas, Texas
Greenspan is hiding from his decision, an error on his part to cut interest rates, and also is trying to sell his book,
The gimick of many a writer is to make the story a story of scandals.
Many are using their fame to destroy. If the economy would have abounded, he would have used other tricks to blame the president. I am not a president's man. I believe that the president is not a politician and therefore has failed. But he shoot right from the heart.
Indeed oil was the purpose to go to war and while this might be considered his greatest mistake, the last word has not been pronounced. What if the oil rich nations are able to dictate the west how to govern the globe in return for oil.
Johannes, Lake Mary,Florida, U>S>A
Greenspan did not cause the bubble. The bulk of the problem was created by greedy money people who offered high interest rates to unquallfied borrowers sold the loans and made the millions upon millions off of the spread.
greg h, Cranberry Township, PA
It seems like some of you want to blame Greenspan for President Bush's reckless policies, which are directly responsible for the present deficit. The war in Iraq , which has lasted at least 4 years too long and cost the taxpayers Hundreds of Billions which we really cannot afford. The policy that George Bush should heed to is "The buck stops here!"; Harry Truman had it right.
George, Elkridge,, Maryland
tse.... tse.... Iam sure they (Andrea and Green)didnt read the ecnomica paper that night...
Xbase, Whiteplains, NY
Highly respected? He did more to cause the economy to tank than any other individual. His indecipherable opinions weren't funny; they were disgusting. I have no respect for him, and I'm glad he retired.
David, Minooka,
interesting indeed !
jim snodgrass, porterville,, calif. USA
this is very interesting indeed !
joanne allen, los osos, ca., california,USA
And the TRUTH shall set you free...
What's amazing is that it took so long for someone the RHS respects to say it. Well, there goes the respect they had.
Nancy Naive, Norfolk, VA
Let the finger pointing begin. As far as I'm concerned, Bush, Clinton, Bush & Greenspan are equally culpable. Greenspan is the clown who said we needed the H-1b visa programs to keep IT wages down. Bush the Elder started up the NAFTA talks that were signed into law by Clinton. Clinton signed into law a massive increase in foreign work visas and Bush the younger decided not to enforce immigration laws. Greenspan kept lowering the interest rates. If Greenspan thought it was wrong to lower the rates he could have done the ethical thing and resigned.
Richard Morrow, Woodland Hills, California
I think Greenspan should change his name to Redspan. Every time he play yoyo with the interest rates, stock market indices went red. It's laughable to read that Greenspan blamed Bush. He must be kidding. It was Greenspan who's inflated the real estate market bubble by cutting interest rates a dozen times. It was he who pricked the bubble by raising interest rates a dozen times. Talk about exuberance.
larry, los angeles, ca
"Lambasts"? "Harshly critical attack"? "Onslaught"? So much for delivering on that ridiculous hyperbole. What a poor attempt to use a credible individual such as Greenspan to pile on Bush. So Greenspan disagrees with Bush's policies and decisions. For every one of those individuals there are three who believe that Clinton's prowess as a politician in no way makes up for his utter lack of character and integrity.
This book will have no effect on elections.
Jeff, Lakeland, FL
It is good to see the higly admired retired chairman of rhe Fed come out and say publicly what he thinks. One could argue that Greenspan made several serious mistakes. Even if doesnt admit to those mistakes, it is clearly a combination of White house policiews and the Fed's policy under Greenspan that created the current economic and geo political crisis. For him to finally say that the Iraq war was all about oil should help people understand that the Iraq war will go on for a long long time with American involvement.
The issue that is highlighted in his book about the Bush administration squandering the repect of the world that we had and fiscally irresponsible actions will create a better understanding of the crisis we face and our children will face. It may take 50 or more years to fix what the Bush administration has done to our country. Is it even conceivable that the chairman of the Fed would come out and make these critical statements if he was not really upset.
Shekar Swamy, Media, PA
The truth hurts... doesn't it....
Are there going to be any great presidents in our future... like Washington or Jefferson?
T C R, Richmond, VA, USA
Anyone who can admire Clinton on any level can' t be right about much of anything else...sounds like his liberal wife has had tremendous influence helping him to trash the Republicans...My, my..... could it be that there is an upcoming election to influence Mr. Greenspan? Oh, the power of a tell all book . As they say, timing is everything and the Clinton's have a way with Andrea. Shame, shame....age does not always bring wisdom.
C.E. Nelson, Jonesboro, AR USA
And the truth begins to come out
Henry Koch, blythewood, sc
It is good AlanGreenspan speaks upnow, even if late, against the Bush-Cheney economic policies. But in 2000, it was Mr.Greenspan who facilitated Bush's policies by repeated, successive, unjustified interest rate cuts......even as Bush was cutting taxes for the very rich and pouring money into the Iraq war, without restraint. With both Houses in total Republican control, the insufferable arrogance of the administration has led today's deficits of enormous proportions and unlimited Corporate Gains at the expense of the traditional labour force.That is sad not only economically but socially and culturally for the entire population as a whole..
Dr.B.Thyagarajan, San Antonio, Texas, USA
Since the attacks of 911 The United States is at War on Terrorism. In war you have to spend to defend yourself, Mr Greenspan wants to win a war within a budget, thats an accountants point of view.
The voters have last say
mo, malaga, spain
Level-headed reasoning; wow, don't you miss that in and about Washington. Right about now, I bet we are all wishing that people who think along those reasoned lines were in positions of power. It's scarey to think that they are not. Too bad President Clinton goofed up; the economy has suffered for that since then. Where does one go post-Greenspan? All we can hope for is that people in positions of political and economical power try thinking with their heads and not with popularity polls blurring their vision. This rollercoaster ride is probably going to get worse with fewer principled politicians who hide the reasons for their actions. Greenspan's reasoned thoughts represent a shining light during this age of darkness.
C. Johnson, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
The Maestro of American Economics has spoken.......
Just another aspect of how this Bush/Cheney co-presidency has drug this country down in more ways than one....
B. J. Anderson, Jamestown, Pennsylvania
Hey babe - why don't you come up to my place and read my new economics paper???
I'll have to remember that one.
Serioulsy though, looks like he is coming clean before he dies, I'm sure there will be a lot more to tell about the evils of George Bush and the Republicans. This also confirms what I have long thought - the Democrats are now the fiscal conservatives, the Republicans are wild eyed radicals on the far far right. Now if only there were more liberals around...
Simon, North Saanich, BC, Canada
I am glad the Greenspan is expressing his views even though it not politically correct for him. I am glad he is speaking his mind that this Bush administration has spent our budget deficit from Clintons surplus. Bush is the worse president the USA has ever had.
:(
Name Withheld, IRVINE, CA, USA