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After striding surefooted through the foothills of the Democratic presidential contest, Hillary Clinton’s frontrunning campaign has spent the past week tripping itself up.
The mis-steps began last Wednesday with one wobbly answer in a television debate – on whether to allow illegal immigrants drivers’ licences. Mrs Clinton’s response, in all its varied forms, has raised fresh questions about her candidacy.
Her opponents ask if she is honest. Her supporters suggest she is being attacked because she is a woman. Critics question a tactic of “playing the victim”.
Her campaign appears confused as to whether she is standing on a feminist platform or not.
Democrats, desperate to reclaim the White House, ask themselves: is she electable?
A clutch of opinion polls over the past two days suggest that her support nationally among Democratic voters has ebbed from a high of more than 50 per cent to the low to mid 40s.
And, while she maintains a strong – if reduced lead – over her rivals for the nomination, the aura of inevitability surrounding her candidacy has been significantly diminished.
One poll in New Hampshire, a key early primary contest which has always been seen as her firewall if she loses the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, shows her margin over Barack Obama falling from 16 points to ten.
The loss of support has been greatest among male voters, widening an existing gender gap. For instance, the New Hampshire survey found that while 40 per cent of Democratic women have a “very favourable” view of Mrs Clinton, only 22 per cent of the state’s Democratic male voters say the same. A national poll yesterday suggested that only 36 per cent of women would not vote for her, compared with 50 per cent of men.
Most worrying of all for Mrs Clinton is the seeming disarray over the past week in a campaign which had previously been so crisp and certain. Her evasive answer to the driver’s licence question in last week’s debate prompted rival candidates to denounce her for “double-speak”.
This prompted Mrs Clinton to issue a cleverly-edited video of the debate under the title: “The politics of piling on” and criticise the “boys’ club” world of presidential races.
There is also little doubt that some of the opposition to her is misogynist. A Facebook group called “Hillary Clinton: Stop Running For President And Make Me A Sandwich,” currently has 20,000 members.
But it is also apparent that her opponents have, until now, struggled to find the right pitch for attacking America’s first viable female presidential candidate. Eleanor Smeal, president of the Feminist Majority Foundation and a Clinton supporter, has spoken of a “visceral gut reaction” at the sight of her rivals rounding on her, adding: “That panel was all male.”
The trouble is that such a defence appears to undermine her rugged campaign message of “strength and experience” which she had previously deployed to win over male voters. This will be particularly important in a general election against a Republican opponent certain to emphasise national security issues.
By Friday she was backing away from playing the gender card. “I don’t think they’re piling on because I’m a woman,” she said. “I think they’re piling on because I’m winning.” But the debate has continued to rumble on. Mr Obama has pointed out that when attacked for his views on foreign policy there was no complaint that he was being “hit on” because he was black.
Feminist critics include Kate Michelman who has endorsed John Edwards. “Any serious candidate for president should be held to the same standard – whether man or woman. Have we come a long way? Well, far enough to know better than to use our gender as a shield when the questions get too hot.”
Bill Clinton has added to the confusion this week by rushing to her defence, comparing the criticism to Republican dirty tricks against the Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry in 2004. His wife’s aides hurriedly issued a statement saying that he had been speaking out of turn.
Then Rudy Giuliani, the leading Republican candidate, got involved by saying: “If you think a question about drivers’ licences is a tough question, a gotcha question, you’re not ready for [the Iranian leader Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad.” But he, like any frontrunner, has his own problems. Still glowing from the extraordinary endorsement from TV evangelist Pat Robertson, a man who has polar opposite views to his on social issues such as abortion, he faces seeing one of his closest friends being publicly shamed.
Last night it was reported that a grand jury had decided to charge the former New York City Police Commissioner Bernard Kerik with the federal crime of failing to pay taxes on free apartment renovations and rent.
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Dear Phil,
Who can you vote for?
Michael Gray, Pontotoc, Mississippi/USA
The questions about Hillary are generated by the media. We (voters) don't have these questions. I seriously believe that the corporations that own the news media in the US manipulate the news in whatever way they want. How else could we have had a moronic puppet president running the country for eight years. US media is organized to numb and dumb the populace so the "have mores" that are bush's base can manage the country to serve their needs. Personally I'd rather have Richardson I know him and to my knowledge he has not sold out. I can't say that about Clinton.
Steven Doyle, Danville,, CA
Sen. Clinton's answer to the question about driver's licenses for illegals may have seemed undecided because it is a matter that requires thoughtful consideration. The licenses wouldn't be given as just a benefit to the drivers. They would be required to purchase auto insurance for any damage they might do. As a victim of an unlicensed illegal driver, I see it as a way of having them or their insurers pay for the their damage, not their victims.
If we are going to continue allowing them to cross our border and work illegally, it might be a good idea to have them insure the cars they drive illegally. Some states don't have this problem. Others do. Since the Fed. govmt. can't control the border, maybe individual states can mitigate some of the problems caused by unchecked illegal immigration.
Dori, Fallbrook, CA
Goodness me! Has Tom Baldwin been chatting with Bill O'Reilly? The headline and tenor of his article certainly smacks of an editorial - or perhaps proprietorial - bias. Like all other candidates, there will be a hiccup or two, but the Senator remains the leader of the pack.
David Cunard, Los Angeles, United States
Phill,
This is what is referred to a âthe least common denominatorâ type of democracy. Those who are capable of doing the right thing do not want to have any part of the political shenanigans that go on inside The Beltway. What the world sees as U.S. politicians are those who could no get a decent job anywhere in the private sector, yet still have an ego the size of Mt. Everest.
Chris, Shanghai, PRC
True story is that Hillary and Bill would sit around the kitchen table when he was Governor trying to figure out solutions to problems that were of concern to this nation. A test for the reasoned judgment that is one of Hillary Clinton's greatest assets. That is what she was doing in response to the license question. She spoke of the problems New York faced and evaluated the options that might lead to a decision. No evasion at all --just publicly thinking it through. One might wish that her detractors would use a litte reasoned judgment as well.
I have to say it. Give it up boys --she is the greatest.
Thelma Goldstein, Falmouth, Ma
The thing is Americans don't realise they don't have a democracy, thats whats so ironic about them... Its all controlled by lobby groups, biz and the defense industry, oh and I forgot the most important of all MONEY!!..
Ian Hendry, Boston, MA
Hillary was a de facto cabinet (the first "co-presidency"). She should let her reputation stand on her record and quit fighting the release of documents held by the National Archives from her husbands' admimistration rather than continue hiding.
Jeigh , Fairfax, USA
if Hillary is running on Strength and Leadership then why do we see so much of her husband? he takes the blame for HER failed health care plan. He takes the blame on a lot of things. So is the Next President going to hide behind the new First Lady? or Laddy as some have said.
john halverson, sacramento, california
Hi,
The democrats seem to be in disarrayed why is a difficult question.
Terence Hale, zandvoort, Holland
Bush, Clinton, Bush, Clinton - pathetic. No wonder so few Americans vote. Is it democracy?
Phil, Hong Kong,