Tom Baldwin in Washington
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The Republican presidential race has been turned on its head with a new poll yesterday suggesting that the Baptist minister Mike Huckabee has opened up a five-point lead in Iowa, where the nominating process begins on January 3.
The same survey in the Des Moines Register, widely regarded as the most reliable guide to the notoriously difficult-to-poll Iowa caucuses, also indicated that Barack Obama had edged ahead of Hillary Clinton in the Democratic contest. Although national opinion polls suggest that Mrs Clinton retains a substantial lead among Democrats and that Rudy Giuliani remains the front-runner for Republicans, the fast-changing picture in Iowa has injected fresh uncertainty into the fluid battle for the White House in 2008.
The Register’s poll showed that Mr Huckabee had increased his support since the previous such survey in October by 17 points to 29 per cent, compared with 24 per cent for Mitt Romney and 13 per cent for Mr Giuliani – who is waging a more limited campaign in Iowa. Mr Huckabee compared his candidacy yesterday to a bumblebee, which, he said, should of physics. “I’m not supposed to be here,” he said. “It’s about all those Americans who have been told they could not be what they have become.”
He has spent just $327,000 in Iowa, compared with the $7million invested by Mr Romney, who has been running TV advertisements hoping to establish a lead in the early contests.
Mr Huckabee, an ordained Baptist minister, appears to have won over much of the Religious Right. The poll shows him leading Mr Romney by a margin of 38 per cent to 22 per cent among born-again Christians, who account for half the likely caucus 17% goers. Mr Romney’s Mormon faith is a not be able to fly according to the laws concern for some Evangelical voters who regard it as a sect. In an ABC News interview yesterday, Mr Huckabee pointedly refused to say if his rival was a Christian.
Mr Romney, who has spent most of the past month trading shots with Mr Giuliani, is now beginning to turn his sights on Mr Huckabee. The wealthy businessman has pointed out that his rival lacks private sector experience and claims there is “not a dime’s worth of difference” between them on social conservative issues such as opposing abortion and gay marriage.
In the ABC interview, Mr Huckabee emerged largely unscathed from a series of tough questions about his record as Governor of Arkansas on immigration, tax and crime.
The wide-open nature of the Republican contest was underlined yesterday by the endorsement by the New Hampshire Union Leader newspaper of John McCain, a candidate who was written off widely last summer but is staging a comeback in the state he won against George Bush in 2000.
Mrs Clinton continues to slide down the polls not just in Iowa – where a storm delayed her arrival at the weekend – but also in New Hampshire, where Mr Obama is now only seven points behind her, according to polls.
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I am a Christian, and I am voting for Ron Paul- the only person running with a Chrisitan philosophy of government: no unnecessary, aggressive wars, no sanctions on the children of foreign nations, no intrusive government which seeks to rule by compulsive force, no theft of our dollar's value via inflationary policy, no enslavement of our labors through oppressive taxation, a restoration of equal civil liberties for all individuals because all individuals are image bearers of God and created by Him. Huckabee can be as slick as he wants. This Christian will be using both his brain and his bible and voting for Ron Paul.
jeremiah black, new york, new york
I find it ironic that people are so concerned with Romney's beliefs. If anyone cares to read what is written in the Bible...parting of the Red Sea, walking on water, a talking donkey, and a man swallowed by a whale...some pretty unusual events that test convential thinking.
I think Gov. Romney is very smart, received his B.A., with Highest Honors, from Brigham Young University in 1971. In 1975, he was awarded an MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was named a Baker Scholar, and a J.D., cum laude, from Harvard Law School. He's had an extrordinary career in both business and government. He is the only candidate that could even begin to turn around our economy and get rid of our trade deficit.
Gov. Romney is far and away the best candidate.
Larry, Denver, Colorado
Romney will still win Iowa for sure.
I am confident of this because Iowa realizes that any vote for anyone other than Mitt Romney, is essentially a vote for Rudy, and a vote for Rudy is, in my eyes, not what this country needs. Iowa is smart, and they will choose the higher ground of Romney.
We can't risk voting for huckabee who does not have anywhere near the funds, fiscal responsibility, experience of turning things around, organization, or transformational leadership that Mitt posseses.
We need to rally around Mitt and carry him toward the nomination because he is the only one who in my eyes can win hillary, and bring America back on track.
Go Mitt!
Dustin Hofheins, Orem , USA/UT
Anyone in the media seeking an up in the air outcome, and or an ultimate victory of the democrats, have all the incentive in the world to play up Huckabee gains while just throwing the man soft ball questions. Huckabee winning the nomination would virtually insure a democratic victory. Huckabee would have no cross over with either independents or democrats. Independents/libertarian leaning individuals will be turned of by his fiscal policies seeing his record of tax increases trumps Clinton's days in Arkansas and on either social, foreign, war or just about any other issue he'd be hard pressed to win all republican or ANY democratic or independent voters.
HiveRadical, Wasatch Front, Utah
After reading the commentary of how those who live on the "other side of the pond" view us and our candidates I can now say that I very much understand how much of a difference that there is between us. How very liberal "European" that you all have grown--thank whatever God that I don't live in Britain. Do we care one bit about whom you elect as your Prime Minister? Zero! I think that I am going to cancel my order for my new Triumph Bonneville and go buy a boring American Harley!
American Patriot, Tulsa, Ok
Jesus said love thy neighour and do good to those that hurt you.
He understood that violence begets violence and that there is not end to an eye for an eye,he loved in vendetta societies.
Therfe is not way God is tlking to Bush or any of the others only Ron Paul espouseche Christian message. the only way out of the is to fllow Jesus ethics even if you are an atheist.
How can you be a Christian and murder 500000 children with sanctions and over a million people in Iraq and pretend this is Christianity. It is not iot is naked greed and evil personified. No Christian should condone using nuclear weapons or killing many millions of innocent civilians.We teach our children not to use violence to solve problems but Nation states use violence and george Bush is an instrument of the Devil not God.
Jesus said suffer the children to come unto me not to be killed by fragmentation bombs\ supplied by the US arms industry.
Barrie Machin, Perth, Australia
I am sick of Ron Paul.
Antipaul, Des Moines, IA
A real Christian wouldn't be in favor of the death penalty and the undeclared War in Iraq. Ron Paul understands that the Christian way to lead the world and the USA is through example, not force. Jesus never killed anyone, yet almost a billion people try to emulate his behavior and live his message. It is time for the US to return to the Nation that represents the Shining City on a Hill. Leaders do not lead by punishing those who cannot follow, as we attempt to do with 'rogue nations'. Leaders blaze a new path that becomes worn by the trampling of their followers. America needs to lead. We are a Christian nation. We should be brave. We should walk through the valley of the shadow of death and fear no evil. Our purity must shine. The only candidate that has lived this message, and has proven that he can bring it to office is Ron Paul. Huckabee said Jesus was to smart to run for office. That may be so, but are we to stupid to elect a true Christian as Preisdent?
Vote Ron Paul.
rhys, Saint Petersburg, Florida
Anyone interested in a funny (but it really happened) column about what Huckabee is really like face-to-face should try:
http://goupstate.us/index.php/lanefiller/2007/11/02/title_14
lane, spartanburg, sc
It's about time the U.S. should have a true Christian president and not just Christian by mouth. So far, Mike Huchabee is the closest to the true definition of a Christian. It's also about time the world needs a true Christian to manage world affairs.
This world is going down the drain because too many fakes are running it -- people who claim to be godly but are really greedy by heart.
Joseph, Davao City, Philippines
Take a GOOD look at Huckabee and the FairTax - why is the FairTax studies only evaluate incomes up to $200,000? Because the effective tax rate for billionaires under the FairTax is less than 1%. You can buy things of great value all day long without ever buying a new one. Think mansions, land, yachts, valuable coins, stamps, bullion, stocks and bonds - all of which increase his wealth and none of which is taxed. The things that are NEW that the super rich require will be provided them as perquisites by the businesses they control. Think company car, company house, company jet - all of which use our infrastructure and none of which is paid for by the entity using them. Why should Walmart pay for roads and bridges when they can get you to pay for free? This is another attempt by the liberal media to face ANYONE but Dr. Ron Paul. Much as we'd like politics to be positive, it is in fact ruled almost entirely by negatives. For instance, what's the biggest negative the Republican Party is facing in 2008? Iraq - a staggering 70% of people favor IMMEDIATE withdrawl from Iraq. Who is the only candidate that doesn't have that negative? Dr. Paul, who advocates using those trillions of dollars to secure our border (perhaps against Saudis who were 20 of the 24 terrorists in 9/11) and rebuild our crumbling infrastructure which is far more worrying than the loss of Social Security. Hm, full employment, withdrawl from Iraq and a huge boost to our economy from rebuilding our infrastructure - what Democrat wants to run against that. Hence the behavior of known liberal biased network CNN, who wants us to nominate either Guiliani or Romney - both of whose negatives are so high the copy practically writes itself!
lnardozi, Chesapeake, VA