Sarah Baxter, Washington
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The presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton, the Democrat frontrunner, is facing a wave of defections by supporters to Barack Obama, as an aura of “inevitability” about her nomination fades.
With Oprah Winfrey, the talk show host and Obama enthusiast, challenging former president Bill Clinton for star power on the campaign trail, the coronation of Hillary has been put on hold.
A few days ago, Helen Quarles peeled off the Hillary for President bumper stickers from her car and replaced them with Obama ’08.
“I didn’t think anybody could turn me away from Hillary,” said Quarles, who worked as a volunteer for Clinton’s first Senate election campaign in New York. “I liked her and was very fond of Bill.”
Quarles now lives in South Carolina, which holds its primary election next month. “In the South, a lot of people don’t like Hillary, so I felt it was up to me to turn things around for her. I really wanted her to win, but there’s something about Obama,” she said. “To me, he is the one who is going to make a difference.”
Quarles, 69, has a “golden” centre row ticket to see Winfrey in action with Obama and his wife Michelle today at the University of South Carolina’s 80,000-seat football stadium.
“I think Oprah can change anybody’s mind. I really do. She can draw people in and get them to listen to him,” Quarles said.
The decisive factor for her was hearing Michelle Obama talk on television recently about her husband’s family background and values: “I didn’t really know who Obama was. She touched my heart.”
Former “Friends of Bill”, who served in the White House in 1990s but defected early on to Obama’s campaign, are not surprised by the drift away from Hillary.
Betsy Myers, a White House adviser on women’s issues - and sister of Dee-Dee Myers, Bill Clinton’s former press secretary - is now chief operating officer for Obama’s campaign and responsible for much of its organ-isational prowess.
Myers worked with Clinton when she was first lady. “Politics are about relationships, so it was not an easy choice, but I was really looking for a new generation of leadership skills, away from the old control and command model,” she said.
“For me, it wasn’t a vote against Hillary Clinton but a vote for Barack. He is very authentic and comfortable in his own skin and has a history of working across the aisles for the common good . . . He would never utter the words ‘right-wing conspiracy’ or even think like that,” Myers said, referring to Hillary Clinton’s swipe at her husband’s opponents during the Monica Lewinsky scandal.
William Daley, Bill Clinton’s former secretary of commerce, is another prominent Obama backer, with strong roots in Chicago, the candidate’s home town.
He is the son of the late Richard J Daley, Chicago’s one-time mayor, and the brother of its present mayor, Richard M Daley.
“He’s an extremely talented young fellow, who I have watched grow. He can strongly convey to the world that there is a different generation and a different style about America,” William Daley said.
“I’ve known the president and Mrs Clinton for a long time and have enormous respect for them, but we’re still fresh in a new century. Among the American people there is a bit of a Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton issue.”
Daley - in common with a discreet handful of “Friends of Bill” who are backing Hillary’s presidential bid - feels she would be better suited to the job of Senate majority leader. “It would be perfect for her,” he said. “She would be a great person defending the Democrats and doing the back and forth on talk shows.”
Clinton’s campaign staff - normally self-assured - began to wobble last week as the polls narrowed. A po-faced press release accusing Obama of wanting to be president since kindergarten was mocked and later explained away by Mark Penn, Clinton’s top strategist, as a joke.
Clinton herself came under fire for claiming that the “fun part” of the campaign had started - code for going negative on her rival. In South Carolina, the latest poll shows Obama moving into first place over Clinton by 26% to 24%. In the summer Clinton held a 15-point lead.
In Iowa, Obama moved into the lead in two polls last week, although the race remains too close to call. In New Hampshire, Clinton’s formerly substantial lead over Obama has dropped to single digits.
“In both Iowa and New Hampshire, people don’t like to be told who is going to win,” Myers said. “They take their job very seriously and like to make up their own mind.”
Myers is already spending half her week in New Hampshire, which holds its primary on January 8, five days after the Iowa caucus. Victory in those two states is essential to build momentum for Obama, who remains the underdog.
Judie Reever, a state representative in New Hampshire, believes Clinton is looking vulnerable for the first time.
“I was initially very excited that we were going to have a woman running for president. I met Hillary when Bill Clinton was running for office. She was wonderful and gracious – if people said nasty things about her, I’d say, ‘That’s not my experience’. It never occurred to me that I wouldn’t support her.
“All of sudden, I got the sense that she was who the Republicans would like to be the candidate. There’s a love-hate relationship with her and when all is said and done, we’d be a divided nation even if she won - and I’m not sure she would. Every time I heard Obama speak, I kept saying, ‘Yes!’, and I suddenly realised he was the person I was going to support.”
Clinton still leads Obama by 18 points in a national poll of polls and is significantly ahead in big states such as Florida and California.
Dick Morris, Bill Clinton’s former adviser, maintains that she could lose the first primaries and still go on to win, once the focus shifts to her rival’s weakness.
“Democrats are going to be reluctant to nominate someone they know so little about as Obama and will wonder if the nation is ready for an African-American candidate (it is) or for a man who has been senator for 104 weeks before running for president (it’s not),” he wrote.
Too many defectors will leave Clinton’s campaign in tatters, but if the flow can be reversed, she could reemerge as the “comeback girl”.
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There is no need for Hillary bashing...like Obama just keep telling the world his message of hope for us all and the tipping point will be reached and he and all the world will be the winners.
tony bordonaro, eureka springs, arkansas
People are beginning to realize that they would like to see an end to the nepotism. Hillary's spouse was the President. That does not make her any more qualified than George W's wife or Margaret Thatcher's husband for that matter. America is not a monarchy... we are a representative democracy. It's time we started acting like one.
Being married to the boss...
failing at enacting health care initiatives...
carpet bagging into a weak senate race post...
and giving Bush the green light to invade IRAQ...
do not qualify one as experienced.
It's time to WAKE UP America...
- so Rise and Shine.
Obama 2008.
PulSamsara, Chicago, IL
I am overjoyed to hear that Obama, the unelectable, inexperienced, hapless {he wants to go to war with Pakistan ?} minority candidate-/Oprah's favourite is about to knock Hilary (the least popular woman in America) into touch.
Because that will guarantee the Republican Party (the rightful rulers of the world) yet another well deserved electoral victory. Wise up you people A) the US can not and will not be pulling out of Iraq any time soon, so you might as well buckle up and get ready for the ride. B) Having controlled congress for over a year they have achieved almost nothing except to demonstrate once again why they are unfit to hold office and C) Their ONLY vote winning strategy is to keep on repeating the fact that they're not Dubya. Sorry guys, but that's not enough.
John Birch, Orangestad, Aruba
Finally the American public is sensing the devious nature of Hillary Clinton and responding to the charisma of Obama, a man of great integrity and sincerity. He respects the voters intelligence in his nuanced answers, whereas Hillary panders and treats the voters like children. I believe this is at the heart of the shift in poll numbers.
Mr Nerdbird, New York, NY
Obama is the *only* candidate who offers real change in what Washington can look like. He doesn't owe favors to anyone--can you imagine all the people lining up at a HRC White House who will feel they are entitled to be part of her "team?"
I am a woman supporting Barack Obama. I never felt that I had to support HRC just because we are the same gender. It's her policies (and lack thereof) that showed me she isn't the candidate I want. Plus, Kindergate just reinforced my feelings that I am supporting the right person.
Hillary really shouldn't tout all this experience she claims to have. Any opportunities she had were because Bill *gave* them to her--she hardly earned anything herself! She was First Lady of Arkansas then First Lady of the W.H--I'll give it to her that she had lots of experience hosting state dinners and directing holiday decorations!
Remember folks: without Bill, there wouldn't be a Hill!
I'll be caucusing for Obama on January 3rd! Obama '08!
JNick, Des Moines, Iowa
I'm looking for a candidate that will promise to hold regular (at least once a month) sessions with either the press or the public via town hall meeting where anyone can ask the president a question. The current administration has been very restrictive toward the press. Political insiders say the President is too busy to a spend an hour a week taking questions from the media or the public but what's more important than hearing the concerns of the nation via reporters or the public. I think Obama would be much more willing to interact with the press/public at least once a month (once a week would be even better) than Hillary.
Harrison, San Francisco, California
Only about 30% of our country (and they are republicans) have a love-hate relationship with Hillary Clinton. I think it's time that that small percentage of our country sits down and shuts up.
Sunny, Tuscaloosa, AL/US
I can't believe the world ever expected Rodham Clinton to really stay on top based on popularity polls. Of course everyone cited Clinton for president more than some democratic rock star with a funny name, until the campaigns started rolling and people started to get to know these candidates.
Now the world knows what the rest of America is finding out; HRC is a consumate politician while Obama only got into politics because he couldn't find a better way to help his community.
Now he's trying to do that for America. Just imagine how these candidates will represent America to the world, especially countries that dislike us. Do we want another Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton misstep, or are we ready to take the leap forward?
I won't get to decide, I'm a republican. My Obama vote doesn't count yet. At least not until the democrats do something right, for a change...
Kirk, Seattle,
When it comes to carpet-bagging and rug-munching, Hillary is in a class of her own.
Simon R. Gladdish, Swansea , Wales
To Vicki Campbell
Wisdom that comes with age? In that case, Hillary has another 50 yrs to age before anybody who knows anything about her would proclaim her wise. You seem to be implying that because she spent time in the White House as wife of a former President, she has 'wisdom' and 'experience'. Please - you make me sick. She has been a Senator for about the same amount of time as Obama and it is quite clear she only became one so as to run for President. Hillary is about as wise as a hyena. Obama has already articulated the change and direction America needs, which is to steer away from old-style Washington politics (the kind Hillary loves, of lobbyists and special interest groups) and to bring the Iraq chapter to an end, amongst other things.
I am not American. But lets hope you guys elect a proper, capable, visionary President for once. Its most certainly not Hillary - IMO
Mambo, London,
This is just another article attempting to show that an Obama surge exists even if it really doesn't - it's so obvious.
The article presents these "defectors" as if it is any surprise that these people will vote for Obama. Puhleeze!
Most of these "defectors" have very strong ties in Chicago and there is no reason to believe that Obama is drawing from Hillary's support.
If you want the Democratic version of George W. Bush - vote for Obama - the Republican-lite.
Ralph, LA, CA
I am stunned. I really thought that Clinton had the nomination all but sewn up months ago but it really is looking as if Obama and Edwards can challenge.
Looks like an exciting race!
JJ, Cape Town, S Africa
What a great article. I think that her inevitability IS fading, and it's not just because people are making up their minds closer to the caucus-it's also because Hillary's supporters are turning. I am a caucasian female voter from Iowa, you'd think Hillary would be my candidate. When I first heard that a woman was running for president and may actually win, I was excited. I'd love a woman president; but I'd rather have an able president. A uniter, not a divider.
So, I must vote for Obama. He has risen above the rest in his views, and now i volunteer for his campaign. I saw Oprah, Michelle, and Obama today and was blown away yet again by him.
Casey, Cedar Rapids, Iowa
Obama says that this country needs a change and he will take this country in a new direction; but, he doesn't say what change or direction or how he will do that. Energy and optimism is what propels us as young people into the future. However, it is the wisdom that comes with age and experience that understands, builds and safeguards that future.
Hillary '08
Vicki Campbell, Petersburg, Virginia
"All of sudden, I got the sense that she (HRC) was who the Republicans would like to be the candidate. Thereâs a love-hate relationship with her and when all is said and done, weâd be a divided nation even if she won - and Iâm not sure she would. Every time I heard Obama speak, I kept saying, âYes!â,
Do you want a united or divided nation? You decide.
OBAMA '08
Mr. B, Chesterton, IN
I too am a former Hillary supporter who has defected to Senator Obama. Originally I was leaning to Obama but as I followed the early debates I became very impressed with Hillary. I subsequently read Carl Bernstein's book "A Woman In Charge" and Hillary's book "Living History." This, and Hillary's continued stellar debate performances led me to join the Hillary camp, donating money, placing a Hillary sign in my front yard, and a bumper sticker on my car.
Then I heard about her position on social security - no new payroll taxes, no increase in the retirement age, and not cut in benefits - and my disillusion began. When I attempted to express an adverse opinion about this on her campaign's blog, which invites people to join the conversation, my views were not published. That added to my disillusion along with her husband's parsing of words regarding the release of Hillary's White House papers, and other reminders of all the Clinton baggage from the Clinton White House years.
borgrav, Silver Spring, USA / Maryland
True! true!! true!!! I am very disappointed with myself. My heart goes to Hillary, a woman I have had so much admiration running for many years. Yes many years. But now my head tells me "America needs to move forward" After many months of reflection and, well, seeing the true image of Mrs Clinton, I think my head has won the battle and my mind is made up. It is change that America needs now and Obama is that change left, right or centre.
Mary Nnadi, Pittsurgh , Pennsylvania