Tom Baldwin in Washington and Tim Reid in Concord, New Hampshire
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At least eight viable candidates to be the next president of the United States were preparing yesterday for a frantic final fortnight before the first American voters deliver their verdict in the marathon contest for the White House.
For the first time in modern American politics the race in both the Democratic and Republican parties appears to be wide open with Hillary Clinton faltering in recent weeks in the face of a challenge from Barack Obama, while Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney — who once led the Republican field — have watched aghast as Mike Huckabee has surged to the front.
Yesterday a flurry of potentially important endorsements swirled through the frozen air of the two crucial early voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
John McCain, a Republican candidate widely written off after a disastrous summer, received the backing of the independent senator Joe Lieberman, the Democrat vice-presidential nominee in 2000, who said that he was best candidate to lead America “in the fight against terrorism”.
He is now running his presidential campaign on a shoestring budget and spoke inside the public library in Concord before two dozen supporters without the expensive trappings of his better-funded rivals.
On a blustery, sub-freezing day Mr McCain was in an upbeat mood, describing Mr Lieberman's support of him as an “act of courage” and pointing to newspaper endorsements that he hoped would win over New Hampshire's large bloc of independent voters. He still trails Mr Romney by 13 points in the latest poll of New Hampshire, where, among Democrats, Mrs Clinton is shown as edging back ahead of Mr Obama.
A poll yesterday in Iowa, where the state's caucus kicks off the nominating process on January 3, shows Mr Huckabee ahead of Mr Romney by nine points, with Mr Giuliani a further six points behind. Mr Obama leads for the Democrats, nine points ahead of Mrs Clinton and John Edwards.
Mr Romney was still drying his eyes yesterday from a tearful Sunday TV interview when he once again had to defend his Mormon faith. His campaign said yesterday that his claims in the same interview to have received the valuable endorsement of the powerful pro-gun lobby, the National Rifle Association, were false.
Mr Romney was still able to attack Mr Huckabee — who was trying to improve his poor finances by raising money in Beverly Hills yesterday — for fresh criticism of President Bush's foreign policy.
Mr Huckabee was also under fire over a bizarre episode dating back to his time as Arkansas Governor when his teenage son was dismissed as a holiday counsellor amid allegations about the hanging of a stray dog at a Boy Scout camp. The Huckabee campaign was yesterday discomfited by claims of a cover-up in Newsweek.
His fellow Republican Fred Thompson picked up the much sought-after endorsement of the Iowa Republican congressman Steve King yesterday, while Mr Giuliani's campaign was reported to be cancelling advertisements in New Hampshire so that it could focus efforts on later states such as Florida, where his poll lead was being eaten away by Mr Huckabee.
The Republicans, who by this stage are usually uniting around an establishment candidate, are in utter disarray this year with voters indicating strong doubts about almost every one of their five top-tier candidates.
Ron Paul, a sixth Republican candidate standing on a maverick libertarian ticket, is doing his best to make the field even wider and announced yesterday that he had smashed fundraising records for a second time by generating no less than $6million (£3million) on a single day, Sunday.
Mr Obama, on a bus tour of northern Iowan cities, won the backing of the Iowa Democrat congressman Dave Loebsack, giving him the backing of two out of three Iowan Democrats on Capitol Hill. Mr Edwards was expected to be endorsed by Mari Culver, the wife of the Iowa Governor, Chet Culver.
Mrs Clinton, who was endorsed on Sunday by the influential Des Moines Register newspaper, is flying around all 99 Iowan counties in what is inevitably being called a “hilli-copter”. She is now belatedly trying to reintroduce herself to an increasingly sceptical Iowan public with personal testimonials from friends and constituents “talking about the Hillary I know”.
This latest tactic from a campaign riven by internal dispute over recent days is designed to soften an image which is often seen as cold and calculating. On Sunday she stopped at a livestock auction to say: “I know you're going to inspect me. You can look inside my mouth if you want.”
Yesterday she professed to be unconcerned by the tightening of polls in Iowa and New Hampshire, saying: “I just don't pay attention to those snapshots. I've done this a very long time and I never believe that any election is at all predictable, let alone inevitable.”
Mrs Clinton indicated that even if she loses the early contests, the nomination would be decided later when the larger states get to vote and where she continues to have a substantial lead.
THE DEMOCRATS
Hillary Clinton No longer the inevitable or even probable winner. She has to stabilise a shaken campaign and pick up one or two of the early voting states before February 5 — but winning Iowa would make her seem unstoppable once more
Barack Obama His plan is to win Iowa, bounce his way into New Hampshire and then all the way to the White House. But he can still lose momentum as fast as he has gained it and faces a tough couple of weeks
John Edwards Has staked everything on Iowa where he has a formidable ground operation. But even if he wins there, does he have enough of an organisation in New Hampshire and elsewhere to sustain a challenge?
THE REPUBLICANS
Rudy Giuliani Struggling in the early states, he must do enough to stay alive in Iowa and New Hampshire if he is to capitalise on poll leads in Florida and Super Tuesday states. But no one has ever won with such a “big state” strategy
Mike Huckabee Has surged to the top of the polls in most early states. Now faces not only intense scrutiny of his record and weird-looking policy, but also a huge test in building a national organisation to match his new status
Mitt Romney Still leads in New Hampshire having slipped behind in Iowa, has deep pockets and good organisation. But he needs to catch fire with a message that overcomes doubts about his Mormon faith, policy flip-flops and a wooden, paint-by-numbers campaign
John McCain Down-and-out last summer, he could pull off a comeback win in New Hampshire. But, as his 2000 campaign proved, victory in New Hampshire is not enough to secure the nomination while his age, liberal immigration policies and lack of cash still count against him
Fred Thompson At last showing faint signs of life after a desperately disappointing late start to his campaign. He needs to squeeze into the top three in Iowa and hope to win big in his native south
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I hope you screenwriters are watching carefully how Ron Paul is surging in popularity despite the media blackout and the political pundits are downplaying his importance. Freedom is contagious.
Robin Dicken, Springfield, USA/Illinois
Jasper from Boston:
As you say, numbers don't lie! Dr. Ron Paul's fourth quarter campaign donations are closing in on $20 million (mostly from first time political donators.)
Please remind me. How many Republican congressmen voted against the Iraq War as Dr. Paul did? For that matter, how many of the Democratic candidates voted against the Iraq War?
I have heard many slurs against this physician, and I have never been any basis in fact for the slurs. Open your eyes and your mind a little.
Keep telling yourself that Ron Paul and his ilk will just disappear -- you might convince yourself of it one day.
PS. I am not affiliated with Ron Paul in any way, and do not vote in your elections.
Robert Miller, Halifax, NS, Canada
Sarah in London: the reason newspapers are âburyingâ mention of Ron Paul at the end of stories is that he has no chance whatsoever of becoming the next president of the United States. Why does a fringe candidate polling in the low single digits merit front page coverage? Sorry, this is the real world, not the fantasies of Ayn Rand. Americans, like the vast majority of voters in rich countries, sensibly value the economic stability afforded by government-provided social insurance, consumer protection laws, and prudent regulation of the economy. And thereâs a reason such things are popular, by the way, and that reason is that, for millions of people, life was brutish, nasty and short before the advent of the evil welfare state.
Ron Paulâs radical libertarianism is thankfully a fringe movement. The numbers donât lie.
Jasper, Boston, USA
Leoni:
Ron Paul is the anti-Iraq War, anti-corporatist Libertarian candidate who has shattered the single day campaign donation record in America twice. He raised over $6 million in donations yesterday alone.
What's more. This money is coming mostly from real people and not the corporations and media moguls who run the world.
Robert Miller, Halifax, NS, Canada
Who's Ron Paul?
Leoni, Brisbane, Australia
Joshua:
What's that you say? Ron Paul is a "whack job." Well, then he won't be too much different from what America currently has as President.
I am sold then! For a minute there, I thought Paul would be too radical a departure from Bush.
Robert Miller, Halifax, NS, Canada
Gary Seattle:
I am sure that the editors of the London Times could answer that for you.
Do you need to ask?
Robert Miller, Halifax, NS, Canada
Unfortunately, Ron Paul has no viability as a candidate for the Republican nomination. His brand of libertarian conservatism has been cast aside by the party in favor of the Christianist, Southern-Fried quasi-conservatism of Rove and Bush. The rise of Mike Huckabee, a liberal who just so happens to be pro-life, pro-gun, and anti-gay shows just how far the party has come from the days of Goldwater. I'd love to see Dr Paul enter the race as an independent. I think he could easily garner the 5-10% of the electorate he'd need to get a place in the debates. The public desperately needs to hear his message of a smaller, secular government and personal liberty. Compared to Dr Paul, there will be very little substantive differences between the Republican and Democratic nominees. Hearing Paul's ideas may very well garner a debate which we desperately need about the role of an overbearing government in our personal lives and as America's role as the world's policeman.
Ben, Denver, CO
Internet workers, for some reason, are often libertarians and/or anti-taxation advocates. Ron Paul seems like a wonderful candidate to them; however, the number of Web postings they create is a poor indicator of their actual voting strength.
By the way, are there any _female_ Ron Paul supporters? My guess is they're a really, really tiny demographic.
Alan Unsworth, Rochester, New York
There's a website called www.2008ElectionProCon.org that shows all the candidates and their positions on the major policy issues. It also features several resources related to the election.
tracey, venice, CA
I see that Paul's internet supporter's have been here already. The Congressman is a whack job. I'm a conservative(NOT a religious rightist, or neo-con), and I have some Libertarian instinct's as all true conservatives do...but Paul is so far into the Libertarian Party manifesto to make him totally unelectable.
While I admire his stance on the war, and agree somewhat with his tax and entitlement policy's, after that he just goes over the edge and 90% of American voter's know that.
What the pundit's forget is that after Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, there is a primary in Michigan than we hit Febuary 5th, where 22 states with 55% of the delegates needed to win nomination in either party will be voting. Clinton is so far ahead in New York and California, and 16 other of these states she will have no problem winning. The Republican's though are all over the place on Feb. 5th, and it's possible no one will go to the convention with enough votes to win.
Joshua, Buckeye, Az/USA
So McCain gets Lieberman, another hawk, and Dr. Paul gets tens of thousands of endorsements from...everyday Americans.
Seems to me that Dr. Paul is going to win...
Tannim, Cyberspace,
Well, clearly Ron Paul supporters are the only ones who know how to use a keyboard. How come we are everywhere and yet the media keeps pretending we barely exist and keeps pushing us to the bottom of their lists?
garyseattle, Seattle, WA
Why is this weekend's major political story - Ron Paul's incredible world record fundraising day - being virtually ignored by the media? What was a tiny mention in your article should have been the headline.
Oh, but wait. Ron Paul is America's anti-war, pro-liberty candidate with integrity and a coherent political philosophy. No wonder the powers that be are trying to bury him at the end of news stories.
Sarah Collins, London, England
I know you are not Americans so I am reluctantto tell you what you should do, but youcould have at least mentioned Dr. Ron Paul.
Matt Karnes, San Francisco, California
Oh! You did mention Ron Paul. I should have read more carefully.
Matt Karnes, San Francisco, California
Don't count out Ron Paul yet. He is the man to watch as the race heats up.
Saul Pomphret, Island Lake, Illinois