Gerard Baker, US Editor
Take a trip to New York and see the city from the air
Something quite strange happened in Washington today. Three US Senators took a day off from their usual working routine and showed up in the US Senate.
John McCain, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama swapped for a day the life of campaign flights across the country, adoring crowds in airport hangars and soft-focus interviews with television chat show hosts for a brief trip back to their regular place of work.
The man who forced the remaining US presidential candidates to make this sacrifice was General David Petraeus, the commander of US forces in Iraq, who was giving his long-awaited progress report on the war to two legislative committees.
General Petraeus, along with Ryan Crocker, the US Ambassador to Iraq, spoke to the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees. While television coverage dutifully recorded the exchanges between the general and all the lawmakers on the dais, the main focus was on the interaction with the presidential hopefuls.
For the candidates it was a rare opportunity to listen to and ask questions of the man whose military operations provide the backdrop to the presidential election campaign.
For General Petraeus it was a rare opportunity to make his case to the next president of the United States – even though he could not be sure which one of the three senators would be facing him in the Oval Office from next January.
The curious paradox behind yesterday’s made-for-television show is that the general is probably pivotal to the outcome of the presidential election in November; yet nothing that is said in the heat of the campaign is likely to be very relevant to what actually happens after President Bush leaves office early next year.
Mr McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, has made his support for the general’s leadership of the surge in US troops in Iraq over the last year the cornerstone of his presidential hopes. He insists that, whatever errors had been made previously, the US is now finally succeeding in Iraq and that any premature retreat from Iraq will leave the country and US foreign policy in ruins.
Both Democrats – who confine their serious political differences to such issues as the frailty of Mrs Clinton’s memory and Mr Obama’s relationship with fiery preachers – essentially do not differ on Iraq. They both argue that the surge was another error, that the US is not truly achieving greater security and that American forces should be rapidly withdrawn.
The general was careful yesterday not to be seen to be over-selling the surge. There was not a hint of triumphalism or claims of Mission Accomplished. Instead he said the gains so far were “fragile and reversible”. Though he outlined political advances as well as security improvements in Iraq in the last six months he was especially wary of overstating progress in the light of the somewhat unexpected events in Basra in the last month.
But the essence of his message was that the US should not pull the plug any time soon. Not only was Iraq still too vulnerable to sectarian and intra-sectarian violence, but Iran’s growing role in the country was also a direct threat to the US.
Mr McCain echoed the general’s caution, expressing his support for continuing the US role, while Mrs Clinton repeated Democratic scepticism about the value of keeping US forces in Iraq indefinitely.
But the hallmark of this entire debate is its continuing unreality.
Republicans seem to suggest that the war is going so well that the US should simply stay indefinitely. But senior strategists close to Mr McCain acknowledge what many in the Pentagon are saying with increasing alarm - that the strains the war is placing on US military capabilities are so great that some significant reduction in the American role is essential some time soon.
At the same time, Democratic foreign policy advisers also admit that the chances that their candidate will be able to meet campaign promises and pull US forces out quickly next year – whatever the situation on the ground in Iraq – is equally absurd.
The reality is that, once the posturing is done and the election is over, whoever wins is going to have to sit down with General Petraeus or his successor – without the television cameras - and figure out a pragmatic resolution to this messy and prolonged American engagement.
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I take exception to what Corriveau of Montreal and his pal, Socrates, have had to say about those of us banged up..
During the Viet-Nam War more than 303,000 American G.I.s were wounded in action. Roughly half of the WIAs required some hospitalization.
Approximately 7 3/4%, or 23,214 of us to be precise, were determined to be 100% disabled due to our wounds incurred.
Not wanting to be insensitive toward the sensibilities of quality of life fanatics offended by my war inflicted deformities, I thrice told to my face, "You'd be better off dead than alive," I'll refrain from visiting Montreal or Athens for the nonce.
Every day I thank our Lord for having preserved my life, when I was hit in 'Nam. I'm convinced that without His direct intervention, I was a goner. Regardless a mite battered, I prefer to be above ground. I frequently go to weekday Mass to thank Him for this amazing gift of an extended lease on life.
-
Dave Livingston, El Paso County, Colorado, USA
Defense and foreign policy are made by the lobbyists on K street, not in some high-toned, sharp minded meeting of the best and brightest. If political favorites want a fat government contract, then trouble is simply provoked in some part of the world, where we already have or will arm both sides. Hence, the unending taxpayer funded gravy train to political favorites.
McCain's "in Iraq for a hundred years" comment is nothing more than a signal to munitions makers and ancillary industries that the public money flowing to them will continue.
This administration, and McCain (and maybe Clinton) are beholden to war profiteers who want this war and others like it to continue. This war was pursued to get the price of a barrel of oil over $100, and it has succeeded.
Kurt, Berlin, Germany
If you want to criticize Bush for something, criticize him for failing to rebuild our military strenght to the level it was before the Clinton administration drew it down so badly. Remember that in 1991, at the time of Desert Storm, we were able to field an army of 550,000 troops to eject Hussein from Kuwait -- and still had over 500,000 to spare. Today, we are struggling to keep 130,000 - 150,000 in Iraq.
Oh, and despite what another commenter said, we were able to put that big of an army in the field WITHOUT a draft.
By the way, the way to win in Iraq is to target Iran.
Michael Smith, Sharpsburg, GA, USA
Mission Accomplished. How's that going?
Brian, Edinburgh, Scotland
I expect the General to tell the truth when "his job is on the line". Isn't it a bit cynical to think he'd lie to Congress for short term gains and job safety? Not very likely, and not a very rational arguement if you ask me. His testimony to Congress wasn't exactly secret and coordinating an attack in Iraq to undermine the General's testimony sounds like Foreign Policy 101. I think what's more important is how unusual such an attack has become over the past year. The draft threat has been employed several times since the start of the war and has never proven out; just like the "Civil War" and "Chaos" threats that never seem to pan out as anti-war zealots claim it will. In fact, those who've oppposed this war based almost soley on their hatred of GWB has consistently move the goal posts and changed their rational for irresponsible withdrawl from on an as needed basis. No WMD, then it was no France, Germany, or Russia, then it was Civil War, and now it's political progress. Stay
Kevin, Boston, Ma
"Vietnam saw the deaths of 58,000 Americans in 10 years. Iraq, at 4,000 after 5 years, is nowhere near Vietnam."
In Vietnam, the ration dead/wounded was 1/4. In Irak, it is 1/10. It means that there is now more poor guys living with bad wounds received while serving in Irak. Like said Socrates in Lakhes, sometimes, it's better to be dead.
Corriveau, Montreal, QUEBEC
The Arab world is a different place as the Brits found out after the war. You may think you have it worked out but as soon as the occupation ends the different clans will still have to decide which group has the power to control. Telling people what type of government they must have will never work. Arming every faction as the U.S. is doing now just means a more protracted conflict in the future.
jim, prembroke, usa
"The reality is that, once the posturing is done and the election is over, whoever wins is going to have to sit down with General Petraeus or his successor â without the television cameras - and figure out a pragmatic resolution to this messy and prolonged American engagement."
Well, I'm sure glad you cleared that up for us. Would you care to tell us what the "pragmatic solution" is? Otherwise, your column has an element of unreality to it as well.
Paul , Kansas City, USA
The bottom line is that this may have been the
wrong war at the wrong time for the wrong reason
and in that regard democrats may have the sympathies
of the majority of the electorate , but we are stuck
in a situation that we simply cannot abandon so whether
it is McCain Clinton or Obama, the facts don't change
and whether you advocate leaving or staying....
the solution will lie in the judgment of the military
so that getting out precipitously is not realistic
and staying for 100 years is not in the interest
of american foreign policy..ie the issue is moot
mike edelman, hartsdale , ny
What do you expect a general to say when his job is on the line? Every member of the armed forces that have stood up to the Bush administration has been forced into retirement. I think it is quite ironic that during the hearings in Congress, the Green Zone in Iraq was under constant attack, reinforcing the fallacy of "the surge". No amount of firepower can quell a population in absolute chaos. The real tragedy in this whole TV sitcom is that the next President, no matter who it is, will have to draw down the troops in a slow and orderly fashion. A rapid withdraw is physically impossible, given the amount of troops and equipment in Iraq. Increasing the amount of troops, as McCain once favored, would only happen with an open draft. Which is also impossible. America's best hope is a lowering of troop levels to an advisory force of a few thousand in about 4-5 years, which hinges on Iraq remaining "reasonably" stable. Not likely. America now has its own N. Ireland, only 100 times larger!
Charles, Seattle, USA
There is a solution this problem if we stop thinking as ideologues. Only Iraqis can solve Iraq's problems. I am a Ugandan who saw what we had to go through after Idi Amin. Look at the Balkans and what they had to go through. The best bad choice is what the next president will have to make. He will also have to change the mindset that cannot imagine an Iraq without US soldiers. When Obama tried to ask if we would be happy with an Iraq that was muddling along, without US soldiers, they didn't even understand what he was asking. Time to change the regime - IN WASHINGTON.
John Kwamya, Fishkill, US
A military general first and foremost does not like the fact that his men and women´s lives are in danger on a daily basis. The general stated the case as it was given to him by the women and men on the ground. The rest is up to the politicians to decide. From the comments by McCain it is clear that the U.S. will stay and see the job finished, while the two Democrats . Obama and Clinton want to pull the troops out now. All I can say is that a few million people perished after the Democrats cut off the funding for the Vietnam war which they never understood was about stopping Russia.
Gene, Gebüg, Germany
We freed the Shia in Iraq. Now we don't want the Shia to become friends with their Shia neighbors (Iran). Yet we knew the Sunni and Shia Muslims have feuded for 1400 years, so what did we expect? How well did the southern U.S. slave owners and former slaves get along after the U.S. Civil War ending in 1865?
Pete Swinford, Lafayette, Indiana, USA
richard drysdale,
Petraeus went out of his way to say there were no lights at the end of this tunnel.
Vietnam saw the deaths of 58,000 Americans in 10 years. Iraq, at 4,000 after 5 years, is nowhere near Vietnam.
Robert Dubai:
AQI is only one piece of the puzzle. They seemed to think Iraq was important, or they wouldn't have rushed operatives down there during Afghanistan before we even invaded Iraq. AQ has even said as much.
ken r.:
The fall of the Roman Empire was very gradual; it cannot really be contextualized as a single event.
I try to respect the opinions of people who oppose the war, but lets try to be a little less casual in our reasoning. I know it's popular right now to be dismissive, but it is always good to be clear-headed.
Peter, Valdosta, USA
The Democrats, as usual, were completely uninformed, reciting the same warmed over talking points from 2004.
I weep for my country that the voters put these corrupt, incompetent, clown Democrats into office.
Look at Clinton and Obama - these two neophytes don't even belong in the Senate, much less the Oval Office. No real job experience, no real legislative experience, both corrupt to the very core of their existence and both closely associated with virulently anti-American lunatics on the far left.
I have no interest in what Democrats have to say about any subject, least of all on this war. They have undermined the mission from day one, for pure, cynical, greedy political gain, just like they did in Vietnam.
Brian Schafer, Arlington, USA/Virginia
The danger is that although arming and paying the salaries of selected sectarian militias may buy a short term reduction in violence but it lays the seeds for a massive civil war and increased violence in the future. However the bottom line is there is no good option any more they are all bad options.
tari, London,
Pity Petraeus isn't running for president - maybe next time.
tony, paris,
How often have we each seen drivers who first dare to move forward only to stop in mid stride (drive) and try to reverse. The war in Iraq is unquestionable the greatest failure of any government since the fall of the Roman Empire (yes I know that that temporal span will include many many moore absurde government actions!). Tragically, the removal of the foreign military now has the inherient potential of becoming an even greater failure.
ken r, Wuhan, China
I saw the whole thing last night and it was disappointing that a victory, however you define it, still remains elusive. After Obama pressed the general on what constitutes a success there, you couldn't miss the unstated irony that the mission in Iraq can be only perceived as successful once Al-Qaeda in Iraq is reduced to pre-invasion level. I don't enjoy the irony in that.
Robert B., Dubai, UAE
Petraeus reminded me of Westmoreland giving Congress a similar briefing on the Vietnam War...."The light is at the end of the tunnel" etc etc.
richard drysdale, york, uk
All the more reason that heads should roll over the the decision to get the U.S. into IRAQ. WMD...a complete lie! As the saying goes, an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
So will this accountability happen ..unlikely. All the more reason for voters in the US (and UK) to turn out incumbents.
Really!
Jack S., Tuson, Arizona / USA
Petraeus sings the tune that his Boss wants him to sing! If he wanted to speak out agaiinst the war, he would have to resign: It's either Bush's way ...or the highway! Only the naive would believe any different.
Was it Churchill who said that "The first casualty in war is Truth"?
Garth Strong, San Diego, USA