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Video: the Republican speeches | The bloggers' verdict | Analysis: why is McCain winning? | Blog: as it happened
As John McCain checks into his Beverly Hills hotel tonight he can savour one of the most stunning political fightbacks of modern times.
The anointed Republican frontrunner, fresh from his crucial victory in Florida, leaves the state buoyed by the endorsement from the defeated Rudy Giuliani and with new donations pouring in.
Six months ago, after his campaign collapsed unexpectedly and spectacularly, Mr McCain was largely written off. He was badly in debt, donors fled, his entire top tier of advisers were either sacked or resigned, and he was considered too old, too irascible and too out of step with his party.
He was so bereft of money that as he vowed to press on — “I can out-campaign anyone,” he told The Times in August — he even had to lay off his bus, named the Straight Talk Express, because it used too much petrol. He hired minivans, slept in motels, carried his own bags and tried to get the cheapest deals in economy class on commercial jets. Campaign events, often in small rooms with “John McCain” posters taped to walls, were sparsely attended and ignored by the national press.
Yet after victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina, his victory by five percentage points over Mitt Romney in Florida on Tuesday night makes Mr McCain the favourite to seize the Republican nomination, perhaps as early as the “Super Tuesday” 22-state contest next week. It is an extraordinary situation after the dark days of August.
The support from Mr Giuliani gives Mr McCain a significant advantage in four of the biggest prizes on February 5 — New York, California, New Jersey and Illinois.
The result in Florida suggests that traditional Republicans are willing to back him after years of distrust over his maverick streak and his willingness to question party orthodoxy. The Republican Establishment, which has spurned him for years, appears ready to offer its support.
Mr McCain began last year as the Republican front-runner, but the decision of his aides to run a national, glitzy campaign proved disastrous and unsuited to his skills as a retail politician. His support for immigration reform, detested by conservatives, and his calls for an Iraq “surge” — at a time when many believed that the war was lost — damaged him further. In July it all fell apart.
Only Mr McCain — and a handful of close friends — believed that he could claw his way back. “I have faced a lot tougher times than this in my life. This is a day at the beach compared to some days I have had,” he declared. Mark Salter, his closest aide, puts it another way: “Too tough to die”.
Now 71 — he will be the oldest first-term president in history if elected — he spent more than five years as a prisoner of war in Vietnam and has survived near-fatal skin cancer. He was on his 23rd bombing mission on October 26, 1967, when his plane was hit by a surface-to-air missile over Hanoi, North Vietnam. He ejected, was knocked unconscious and broke both arms and his right knee.
After being captured his shoulder was broken by a rifle butt and he was bayoneted in the ankle and groin before it was revealed that he was an admiral’s son. He received limited treatment for his injuries and was badly tortured, but refused offers of an early release. Today he is still unable to raise his arms above his head and often requires help combing his hair.
In August Mr McCain decamped to New Hampshire, the scene of his triumph over George W. Bush in the 2000 Republican primary, and campaigned tirelessly. The national media took little notice, but voters did. Slowly, his poll numbers improved.
The unexpected surge of Mike Huckabee in Iowa threw him a lifeline. Mr Romney, who was beaten into second place in Iowa, arrived in New Hampshire wounded. Mr McCain, buoyed by improving news from Iraq and several newspaper endorsements, was waiting for him.
Victory there on January 8 began his comeback.
Mr McCain still faces a stiff challenge from Mr Romney, who has a personal fortune of $250 million (£125 million) to fund an aggressive advertising campaign. Yet perhaps one of the keys to Mr McCain’s fightback can be found in another statistic from Florida. Among voters who said that strength of character was their top issue, he won overwhelmingly.
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Edgar takes the cake. Too bad HE wasn't imprisoned and tortured by the North Vietnamese.
I for one will be glad to see John McCain in the White House, someone who will definitely not be intimidated by all the loonies out there America has to deal with on a regular basis.
It will be nice to see them intimidated for once.
gb, Austin, USA
A little more should be said about McCain's POW experience in Vietnam to further emphasize what he truly stands for. Here is a quick but more contextual account of the circumstances regarding the plane crash:
McCain was in the U.S. Air Force and one day while flying high in the sky on a multi-million dollar aircraft, dropping bombs on the Vietnamese McCain's plane was shot down. He almost drowned and died because of the area in which he landed. But rather than let him die, the Vietnamese saved him and kept him as a POW.
Prior to the plane crash, McCain dropped bombs that killed hundreds, possibly thousands of Vietnamese. Rather than save him from drowning the Vietnamese could have killed him, let him die-but they didn't.
Just think, when McCain was given the opportunity to kill the Vietnamese he did it, but when the Vietnamese had the same opportunity to do so to him- they didn't.
To this day, McCain refers to the Vietnamese as uncivilized, violent human beings. He's very wrong.
Edgar, San Diego, United States
McCain - Big fence
Obama - Next stop ? Africa to help out Cousin
Clinton - Mo Government control. Hero is Chavez
Romney - ???
End of story.
Menow, Chill out, AK
John McCain: Less spending, less jobs, more wars.
Anyone else listening when he speaks?
Los, Miami, USA FL
Gemma,
Compared to many of the UK politicians, who are much smoother in their deceit, McCFain is a saint.
A temper is not necessarily a bad thing and one should applaud McCain's honesty and integrity; and he was right about post Iraq war tactics.
Bearing in mind the global implications it is a worry for all of us if another intellectually challenged liar gets into the White House to join the unending succession of deceitful British PM's.
Emma, you should be as concerned ar cleaning out your own stables.
P.S. Immanuel, Ron Paul is irrelevent.
abritincanada, Calgary,
Mr Romney says he's had a real job and then he says he was a venture capitalist? Well? Which is it to be? Was he a VC or did he have a real job?
Running a hedge fund, or being a Venture Capitalist hardly seems anything anyone ought speak too loudly - after all they are in no small degree responsible for the present state of affairs.
This may be simple minded of me to suggest. But it is not out of the ordinary to predict a swing in ideological bias
Glenn schaefer, holbrook, usa
Ronnie - It doesn't matter how moderate McCain comes across, it's still the same moneymen and corporations pulling the strings in the Republican party. He'll keep the defence budget stupidly high, carry on borrowing obscene amounts of money.. Basically the same road that Bush ahs been on.
The Democrats aren't much better, but they are less under the control of oil/energy concerns. This means they're more likely to take concrete action on the environment, amongst other issues.
Owen, London, UK
To Gemma and JA: I agree with your comments. It is certain that John McCain, if he makes it for the White House, will be a very American president.
And according to tradition he should inaugurate his presidency by bombing some distant country, preferably with an unpronounceable name and inadequate plumbing. They all did it, Republicans or Democrats, didn't they?
Even the good Mr Obama said something about striking the northwestern provinces of Pakistan without asking ex-general Musharraf his views on the matter. The good Mrs Clinton approved the Iraq war. So why wouldn't and shouldn't candidate McCain, given his past and his ambitions, sing to the same tune in a presidential campaign?
It still remains that it is always better to have an intelligent and capable man as the US President, even if he's not going to work for the best interests of Old Europe first.
Besides, that one will never tell us that he has a direct hotline to the Almighty, which I find rather reassuring.
RONNIE, PARIS, FRANCE
This man is such a liability. If you have seen any of his foulmouthed and violent outbursts or heard his "jokes" about bombing other countries you will wonder as I do why on earth Americans would want such a volatile character as their Head of State.
Bearing in mind the global implications this is a worry for ALL of us.
Come to your senses America, preferably before next Tuesday.
Gemma, Leighton Bzzard, UK
Yet another article that does not mention Ron Paul - this article is about the Presidential Candidates so you think it might be pertinent!?!
Why does the mainstream media blank the Man? I would like to talk the the author of this article.
Very Disappointing!
Immanuel, London, England
Most Europeans still think McCain's someone who's at least on the same planet as them. I'm so glad he's in the lead, but is 'Old Europe' ready for his positions on Iran, Iraq and Afghanistan? That'll put Old Europe on the spot. After three presidential elections which disappoint Old Europeans, they'll have to recognise they're anti-American, not anti-Bush.
JA, London,
Go John McCain! I don't know if i really like any of the candidates that much, but definitely seems the best of the bunch.
Tim, New York, USA
Very well. This is good news. It comes perhaps a little late but with luck we may have eight years of a great American president.
It should have happened in 2000, had not the Almighty, in His infinite wisdom and highly mysterious ways, not decided that first it was necessary to appoint George Bush to the White House.
Which was made possible by sending to earth one of His most efficient angels, in the shape of Carl Rove. Now, Carl is back in Paradise (let us pray he stays there) and John McCain can be president and draw sensible strategies.
Those who would like to know why John McCain would have been and will be a better president than any member of the Bush family can read "The nightingale's song", an account which none of the arrogant spin doctors who make a living orbiting political stars (whatever their position in the ideological spectrum) could have written.
RONNIE, PARIS, FRANCE