Tim Reid and Tom Baldwin in Washington
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Barack Obama donned the mantle of front-runner yesterday and claimed that it was now virtually impossible for Hillary Clinton to catch him in their Democratic presidential contest.
After landslide victories in three more primaries on Tuesday, which put him ahead in the race for delegates for the first time, Mr Obama’s campaign sought to portray his momentum as unstoppable. They warned the Democratic Party establishment not to defy the will of its voters by negotiating a victory for Mrs Clinton in the coming weeks.
Mr Obama’s wins in Virginia, Maryland and Washington DC, where he ate into Mrs Clinton’s core support among women, whites, the elderly and blue-collar voters, put him more than 100 ahead of Mrs Clinton in the tally of elected delegates. It is a lead, his aides say, that Mrs Clinton cannot now close because of the demographics of the remaining contests, and they began a campaign to try to muscle her from the race.
Yet because their battle remains so close, it is almost impossible for either candidate to garner enough elected delegates to claim a clear win, increasing the likelihood that the party’s 796 unelected “super-delegates” – its members of Congress, governors, former presidents and elite officials – will decide the race.
In the scramble for the hundreds of uncommitted super-delegates, the Obama campaign is now turning the screw by daring them to back Mrs Clinton – a candidate they say will emerge from the nominating process with fewer elected delegates, less of the popular vote, and substantially fewer states won. To date, Mr Obama has won 23 out of 35 contests. “There is a growing belief out there that super-delegates should not overturn the outcome of this contest . . . we think super-delegates will ratify that outcome,” David Plouffe, Mr Obama’s campaign manager, said.
With Mr Obama favoured to win next Tuesday’s contests in Wisconsin and Hawaii, Mrs Clinton faces the prospect of heading to Ohio and Texas on March 4 – two states where she is banking all on victory – having suffered ten straight defeats since Super Tuesday, and with a rival raising record sums of money. James Carville, Bill Clinton’s former strategist, said it was door-die for the former First Lady. “If she loses either Texas or Ohio this thing is done,” he said.
Yet Mrs Clinton will not countenance defeat, and with her husband has prevailed in myriad battles over the past two decades. She still believes firmly in victory, despite the resignations of two of her top officials in the past 48 hours.
In the highly unpredictable race she has twice blunted Mr Obama’s momentum – against the prevailing wisdom – with her comeback wins in New Hampshire and in big states across America on Super Tuesday.
Twin triumphs on March 4, where she hopes that working-class whites in Ohio and Latinos in Texas will give her victories, would again reshape the race and transform her fortunes. She also has a key super-delegate onside – her husband.
In an email message to supporters, Mrs Clinton said: “Every time they start to count us out, we prove them wrong. And we’re going to keep proving them wrong as many times as we need to until we win the White House.”
Unveiling a new stump speech in Texas, Mrs Clinton sharpened her attacks on her rival’s thin record and his lofty, but often insubstantial, rhetoric. Both candidates spent the day focused on the economy, with an eye on economically depressed Ohio. Mr Obama delivered an economic policy address in Wisconsin in which he lambasted Mrs Clinton for voting for the Iraq war – a conflict “costing us billions of dollars a week”.
She continued to challenge him to more debates, a forum in which she excels.
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I think America needs change and that is Obama. Clintons have had their share at the top-job twice already. Why the third time?
Jack, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
Barack Obama is the right choice for America for one reason, he can unite this country above the bitter partisan politics of the last 16 years. Hillary cannot. However, this race is way too close to call.
casey, sacramento, ca
Obama may say the race is over but I live in a state that has yet to have its Primary and I am waiting to cast my vote for Clinton. The Republican race is over but the Democratic race is too close to say its over. There are too many states that haven't voted yet. Also at some point the voters in Michigan and Florida must be recognised. These states can not be ignored.
Kevin, New Carlisle, OH
I expect super delegates to make independent, informed decisions. Their votes should not be based on media bias, charisma, race or gender . This is a history making primary with many people casting votes on the basis of race and gender rather than issues. Super delegates are expected to balance the scales not tilt them in the same direction as a biased electorate. Those super delegates who have been coerced by Barack Obama to change their alliances have done a great disservice to the position with which they were entrusted and Obama's desire to emulate the threatening manner of his idol, Malcolm X, should give everyone reason to question the man behind the mask.
J.E.M., Bakersfield, Ca
American people are not too smart. They generally follow the lead of the media. Very few take the time to think for themselves.... they seldom research issues... often vote by instinct... or based on looks or personality... sort of like in high school when cheerleaders are voted on.... People in this country are easily persuaded by a slick talker.
People are afraid of women in power (men and women alike). They use many arguments to keep them out of power. I worry about America with so many uneducated, or barely educated people making decisions based soley on what someone tells them to do. It is just the opposite of what was meant to be. Voting, should be based on your own research; people take the easy way out and succumb to propaganda.... They are so easily swayed.... It is scary really... But then again... our electoral system is set up so that anything could happen..... votes don't really count the way they should.... and most people do not understand any of it. Oh well.......
Jan, Austin,
People, cool it.
Barack Obama would make an excellent Democratic nominee for the Presidency. So would Hillary Clinton. I happen to believe (largely on the basis of her foreign policy platform) that Clinton would make the better President. But I am certainly not going to cry too much if Obama becomes the next PResident of the US, either. They are both much better than McCain, after all.
To those who attack Clinton:
Have you actually listened to any of her speeches before condemning her as "divisive" or "mean-spirited"? I thought not. I have. Wikipedia provides links, under the article Democrat Nomination Contest 2008", to several CNN debate transcripts and videos.
To those who attack Obama:
Hope is better than none. It may not be as good as sound, logical policy, but it's a better place to start than fear.
MJ, Perth, Western Australia., Australia.
On dealing with this momentum Obama has developed. I'm sure that all of the best political analysts are at work here, but I thought I would toss in my two cents, for what it is worth. There has to be a way to overshadow the idea that the outsider equals change, which has pushed Obamaâs campaign forward. I noticed the media noted Hilary stating, "talk is cheap," which is an obvious blow at the ideology.
Too bad that the Obama campaign has had the liberty to bring racism into the equation and benefit from it. While the Clinton campaign, on the other hand, would be damaged by such an approach. What to do? I have been thinking that stepping up propaganda emphasizing the fact that the first women to be a presidential candidate is more of a milestone than an African American doing so, for a host of reasons. For one, the women's rights movement is more recent than the civil right movement. Further, women get paid less than their male counterparts (white or black), among other thing
Sean, Slidell, LA
Egu, London you seem confused. You bemoan the emphasis on race & gender in the election, complain that "sexism is center stage", then you urge women to vote based solely on the candidate's gender.
Steve, Reading, Massachusetts, USA
May I laugh? Do I have to write it in spanish? Your team Senator Obama is blogging in every blog around the Country pretending to be latinos to mislead real latinos about Senator Clinton's contributions in her position. How do I know? I challenged mny of them to write in half an hour the same bolg but in spanish...and none of them could. They have attacked her rom evey angle of her personal lie: as a woman, mother, wife, etc.etc.etc. And your team says what?
B.T.W. why is people critizicing Chesea's work for her mother when Senators Obama website opening screen is a picture of him and his family and Mrs Obama does not save words everytime she has the opportunity to talk?.
Tx for your time.
Marlene , Texas,
America needs to wake up! Obama is making promises for change he will never be able to deliver. The man lacks experience and expertise, and I would not place the country in his hands. Wake up people the Emperor has no clothes!
Paul, New York, NY
Tom of New York:
This is what I say to voters who make less than $60,000 - if you vote for Hiliary, you are voting for a depression.
Her lack of economic knowledge is astounding - she intends to enforce credit controls for FIVE YEARS. Say goodbye to job creation and economic growth. Say goodbye to new factories and investment in capital goods.
She would turn a 1 year recession into a 5 year depression.
Yes, people will feel pain - that happens in every economic correction. That is the price of capitalism. Those who took on excessive risk will have their investments liquidated by the market - but that is a FAR BETTER option than having the entire economy collapse as government intervention attempts to stop the unstoppable.
Perhaps those voting who earn more than $60k understand that Obama is the better choice.
Phil
PS Hilary voted for the war. Obama did not. Your argument that Obama is to blame for the death of our service men and women is ignorant.
Phil, Reidsville, NC
This is it.there's no turnning back.Obama is simply, "great".He reminds me of the great American leaders.If Americans want a positive change.Obama alone can make that happen.I think Mrs Clinton should follow John Kerry.If we were looking at the past,i would say,Hillary is the one.But,we look into the future,Obama is the one to take USA into a promising future.This is very obvious.
Jude ade, london, UK
Tom you are wrong on two points. First, that Hillary could Recue the impoverished from their unlivable $50,000 annual salarys, America is a society of haves, such as Hillary, who can throw an extra 5 million into the 'help hilliary become president' fund when no one else feels like donating (maybe their just THAT poor!) and havenots like the people Obama was helping as a charity worker while Hillary was working as a lawyer for wall-mart.
Hillary cannot and probably doesn't want to help the impoverished in America, the reason people making nothing vote for Hillary is because their poorly educated enough to think she would make a good leader.
Your second mistake is a general misconception, Marie Antoinette did not say 'let them eat cake', as we disscover from Jaques Rosseau in 'confessions', these words were spoken a decade before Antoinette was born by "a great princess, who, when she was told the peolple had no bread, replied, 'Let them eat cake!"
Propagandists hung it on marie.
Gerard, Belfast, happy land
Poor Tom,
8 years of Bush (Republican) hating and now you're going to have 8 more complaining about Barak (Democrat).
You must hate your existence at the moment.
Maybe Bill can set you up with an intern...
Billy, seattle, Wa.
Nice try, Tom. It's no use defending Hillary. She's of the past and out of touch with voters. Let the Clinton dynasty come to an end so that true democracy can once again prevail. It is also high time that a black candidate of such high calibre occupies an office formerly reserved for whites only. DJ
Delmore Jones, oxford , uk
Having two Bushes has not been a great success. Maybe the thought of having two Clintons is now viewed to be equally a shambles.
Obama could be a breath of fresh air. What it is to dream. Here in U.K. many dreamt when Blair took power. Little to smile at other than the mess he left behind.
Bainbrigge, Exeter, United Kingdom
It is 'fewer' elected delegates, not 'less'. The Times book of Style will confirm!
John Howells, Belgrade, Serbia
How Clinton can win against Mc Cain when Obama is whipping her? She said she can take a heat. She is melting already and this is a party primary. Obama withstood and wrestled both Bill and Hillary together. Bill Clinton 1992 campaign manager endorsed Obama. Obama offers plenty of substance. He answers the questions and he have detailed agenda on the website. And Hillary? Planting questions in Iowa :))) And who do most people support? Why Obama is so strong on the ground? Why the donations from folks keep coming? Why Hillary had to lend 5 million to her campaign? Why republicans and independents are supporting him? Maybe people want to be united again? Feel free to form your conclusions.
Obama 08.
P.S Obama friends in UK pm me, opponents your are welcome too :D
Alex
admin@gxen.com
Alex, London, London
Tom.....have another beer.
paul, prince george,
Obama wins white voters in every income bracket above $60,000 and loses in every income bracket below $60,000. You know why? Because people who make over $60,000 a year don't have to worry about bread and butter issues like:
can I pay the mortgage? Am I going to have to use ketchup instead of spaghetti sauce for my kids dinner tonight? How am I going to pay for gas to get to work and also pay the heating bill? The white voters who make over $60,000
per year want the nice emotional "pat on the back" and âgood feelingâ they get from voting for Barack Obama. They talk about "change" and a "inspiration" when the children of people who maker under $60,000 per year are dying in Iraq (75% of casualties in Iraq are from white families and they aren't the Rockefellers or Kennedy kids). But, what do the rich white Marie Antoinette Democrats in America say to poor Americans as they project all their fantasies onto the blank canvas that is Barack Obama: "Let Them Eat Cake".
Tom, New York, USA
It doesn't matter who gets in because when they're in they all start lying, that's if they haven't already.
chris houghton, Macclesfield, Cheshire
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