Tim Reid in Dayton
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Bill Clinton is speaking rapidly, a sense of urgency in his hoarse voice, finger jabbing the air, as he implores this Ohio crowd to believe that his wife is the “best change-maker I've ever seen in my entire life”.
The former President, who in 1992 campaigned here as the fresh-faced 45-year-old man from Hope, turned his attention to this year's 46-year-old man of hope, Barack Obama, who on Monday packed an 11,000-strong crowd in Wright State University.
“The case Hillary's opponent is making is that you should vote for him because he embodies change - that anybody who was part of those fights in the 1990s should be disabled and disqualified to be president. Words do matter - the eloquence matters - but Hillary's worked to change people's lives all her adult life.”
The Stebbins High School gym is only three-quarters full. It was never meant to be like this. The Democratic Party's greatest rock star, 61, talking about the achievements of the past, his hair an electric white, and failing to fill a small arena in the state where his primary victory in 1992 clinched the presidential nomination for him. Before Obamamania, in the heady days last year when Mrs Clinton looked inevitable, it was her husband who was expected to be the campaigner dazzling huge crowds and raising record sums of money.
The former President is working tirelessly to save his wife's imperilled campaign ahead of Tuesday's make-or-break contests in Ohio and Texas. He held five events in Ohio yesterday, and will speak at seven in Texas on Monday.
He and Mrs Clinton's top aides have said that if she fails to win both states, her White House hopes are almost certainly finished. New polls yesterday showed Mr Obama slightly ahead in Texas and having pulled into a statistical tie in Ohio. Mrs Clinton raised an extraordinary $35 million ($17.5 million) in February, only to hear that her rival has raised at least $50 million.
Yet there is a powerful sense that Mr Clinton is not just fighting for her, or even for his own legacy, but against a galling sense of injustice that his status in the Democratic Party as its swaggering baby-boom hero is being rapidly eclipsed by an untested arriviste 15 years his junior. One of Mr Obama's central arguments has been that the Clintons are part of the problem, central characters in the villainous partisanship of the 1990s, figures from the past against his promise of a new, less divisive future.
“When Bill Clinton came through here in 1992, he was exciting,” said Martin Gottlieb, who has been reporting on Dayton politics for a generation. “But nothing in my 24 years has even come close to this Obama phenomenon. He's getting crowds much bigger than Bill ever did.” Then he looked around the Stebbins school crowd. “And now look. He can't even fill a gym. If you had told me that a few weeks ago I would have been surprised.”
Mr Clinton is also facing allegations that he carries significant blame for his wife's troubles. Some Democrats say that he effectively hijacked the campaign in January. In his efforts to push back against Mr Obama - particularly in heavily African-American South Carolina - he stands accused of using race to demonise the Illinois senator, a charge he fiercely denies.
Yet one of the undeniable tragedies of this campaign for Mr Clinton has been his loss of support among the black community. His tactics in January, his detractors say, showed an indulgent loss of control that turned his wife's campaign into a co-presidential bid - bringing with it unpleasant reminders of the more vaudevillian aspects of their White House years.
The Clintons can never be written off. Mrs Clinton's February fundraising has allowed her to compete aggressively on the air against Mr Obama in Ohio and Texas. Her husband is now relentlessly disciplined in his message, and is still one of the greatest speakers and political strategists in America. Aides say that he is dismayed by the strategic blunders his wife's campaign has made, and the way money was wasted. He now has much greater control over strategy, and in Maggie Williams, Mrs Clinton's new campaign manager, a team he has faith in.
What has frustrated Mr Clinton the most, his aides say, is what he believes has been the “free pass” the media has given Mr Obama. One adviser said such soft-glove treatment is indisputable. “It's like global warming. The evidence is overwhelming,” they said.
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i get so tired of hearing about the "fears", "worries" and "concerns" that people are expressing about an obama presidency (especially folks abroad)! who the hell KNEW, WITHOUT RESERVATION, what ANY of the former presidents could do for the country until they got into office? obama is brilliant, obviously courageous (running for pres and winning in what is still a very racist country), and has what it takes, period. the office of the presidency does not take place within a bubble--that's why it is called an ADMINISTRATION. if his judgment in his picks for his cabinet proves 1/2 as good as his campaign staff choices, then america will be in excellent shape under an OBAMA administration.
april, san diego, ca, USA
A very powerful comment from Kristy in Chicago.
It has always worried me that a Hillary presidency would in reality be 'Bill's third term', is that a legitimate concern?
Nick H, South Coast, UK,
How soon the Clintons forget the favorable press and attention they received throughout the 1992 campaign. I find it laughable that they complain about someone beating them with the same strategy that Bill used to win in the first place.
Cary, Gainesville, Florida
"One adviser said such soft-glove treatment is indisputable. âIt's like global warming. The evidence is overwhelming,â they said."
Which only belies the reality of the situation. Obama is being given the kid gloves so that Hilary is eliminated from the race and then, once she's out of the way, the gloves will be off on Obama so that McCain can take the Whitehouse. Status Quo maintained. The whole US election is nothing more than a giant puppet show.
Guy Stevens, Zurich, Switzerland
Obama does embody the hopes and dreams of a lot of the U.S. electorate and of many people worldwide, including me. However, it is this "hope" that causes problems. There is nothing to go on, no real experience to believe in. I have no doubt, whatsoever, that Hilary Clinton could run the U.S. and run it much better than it was run by Bush, or any Republican. I do not know whether, or not, she could run it better than Barack Obama and for this reason my vote (if I had one in the States) would be for Clinton with, ideally, Obama as V.P. I believe that this would be an un-stoppable ticket for the Democrats.
I would dearly love Barack Obama to become President but only if I knew that he would be an effective one and no-one does know that.
Finally, I greatly fear that, should Barack Obama win the Democratic nomination, the Republicans will have an easy ride to the White House. In that event God help, not only America, but the whole world.
Marc, Paris, France
For once I agree with Bill Clinton. The U. S. news media has given Obama a free pass while being nasty at times toward Hillary.
And, btw, I hated the Clintons when he was president and would never vote for Hillary.
Mark, Corpus Christi, TX
The reality of Clinton's presidency was never as great as the nostalgia some had for it. Although highly talented, he (they) accomplished little, and what new trouble would Bill find in the White House, with nothing to do, over the next 4 years? No, the constitution's architects were right: 4 years, with possibly 4 more, are more than enough...
MICHAEL, Nice, France
She can't run a campaign let alone a country.
Phil, Hong Kong,
Hillary has run a very traditional campaign stacked on top of a poor strategy ("the inevitable candidate strategy"). In Ohio the contrast is most visible. Obama's team have been using new medium like the internet to organise on line and they started this over one year ago. As a result they have pulled thousands of new voters into the process.
Hillary's team started making phone calls weeks ago to the same old political organisers in Ohio, who started working their lists. This is the way it's worked in American for 200 years..... and the Hillary old school "work the network" folks find themselves on their back heels now with huge Dunkin Donut bills to boot!
if the press is favouring Obama for pointing stuff like this out, then so be it. But I don't call that favouritism, I call it "reporting the facts". Hillary can't have it both ways, she can't ask for good journalism coverage when her campaign is wracked with bad strategy and poor managment
JP, Milano, Italia
Er New Clinton ad,.... Does Hillary always go to bed in her pantsuit waiting on that 3.30 am. phonecall ????
It was a better idea to put her in her p.j,s.
Of course President Bill could alway answer until she got her face on
Judith Lynch , Boyle, co Roscommon, Ireland
Bye bye Washington Billhillaries.
Sinisa, Hamilton, Bermuda
Hi Britons, the fact is that Obama is a real "democracy machine." He has embodied the hopes and dreams of the US electorate to cleanse us of the grotesque events of the Bush years - the violations of our Constitution, the torture, the secrecy, the costly, endless and pointless war, the crumbling infrastructure, Katrina (not due to nature, but to broken levys), the deficit - all products of 8 years of the neocons and an anti-government government. Hope you can understand that seen in that light, Obama is the antidote. It's not that he is pitting himself against the "older" generation at all - it's that he represents a genuinely new, more globally attuned generation of leader - for all ages. America watchers need to "get" the fact that we're engaging in a ritual "mass cleansing" from the filth and degradation of the Bushes, even before he has left office. We only hope and pray no mysterious "terrorist event" or bombing of Iran occurs in these waning days.
Kristy, Chicago, IL