Tim Reid in Washington
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A leading Democratic super-delegate switched his support from Hillary Clinton to Barack Obama yesterday, saying that their long nomination battle had made one White House hopeful particularly competitive: the Republican John McCain.
The defection from Mrs Clinton of Joe Andrew, a former leader of the Democratic National Committee, reflects growing fears within the party that her marathon nomination fight against Mr Obama is helping Mr McCain, who in new polls appears increasingly threatening.
Mr Andrew, appointed the party chairman in 1999 by Bill Clinton near the end of his presidency, said in a letter to other super-delegates: “John McCain, without doing much of anything, is now competitive against both of our remaining candidates. A vote for Hillary Clinton is a vote to continue this process, and a vote to continue this process is a vote that assists John McCain.”
The Arizona senator, who wrapped up the Republican nomination almost two months ago, is running nearly even against both Democrats in head-to-head comparisons, at a time when public approval of the Republican Party is the lowest in a generation.
According to a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released yesterday, only 27 per cent of voters have a positive view of the Republican Party, a majority want the Democrats to recapture the White House, and an unprecedented 73 per cent think that the country is on the wrong track.
Yet despite such deep disaffection with the Republican brand, Mr McCain looks an increasingly viable general election candidate. One factor for his competitiveness is his reputation as a maverick who has been willing to buck party orthodoxy; another is that voters identify more with his “background” and “values” than with those of his two Democratic rivals.
Mr McCain's strategists have been heartened by the length and destructive nature of the Democratic race, particularly the controversies that have erupted in the past month around Mr Obama. Until recently they viewed the Illinois senator as a more formidable opponent than Mrs Clinton. Now they believe that he is vulnerable, because of the behaviour and statements of his former pastor, and Mr Obama's own remarks that blue-collar voters “cling” to guns and religion.
Both controversies appear to have taken a significant toll of Mr Obama. New polls show his once formidable, 20-point lead in North Carolina, whose primary is on Tuesday, has been cut to between 5 and 10 per cent. In March, by a 23-point margin, voters had a positive view of the Illinois senator. Now it has been slashed to nine points.
Yet both Democrats have been damaged. Should Mrs Clinton prevail, Mr McCain will face a candidate whose “negative” ratings have been pushed to their highest levels.
Mr McCain has been able to devote precious time to rallying the party behind him, amid signs that he is having significant success. More Republicans now view their party as being as united as Democrats see theirs.
The Arizona senator has been able to switch to general election mode. He campaigned yesterday in Ohio, which will be a critical battleground in November, while Mrs Clinton and Mr Obama are focused on next week's primaries in Indiana and North Carolina - two reliably Republican states in the presidential contest.
Mr McCain, nevertheless, has significant vulnerabilities. Because of the compelling nature of the Democratic race, he is often barely visible, receiving a third of the media exposure of the Democrats. He is 72, vying to become the oldest first-term president in history. He will be outspent heavily by whichever Democrat he faces. His opponents are already claiming that he is running for “George Bush's third term” - and wants to prolong the Iraq war - at a time when Mr Bush's disapproval rating is the highest for any US president.
Asked if he was concerned about being linked to Mr Bush, Mr McCain said: “I really believe the American people will judge me on what I will be as president, and not on anybody else.”
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McCain has to get votes from somewhere. He will not get any Republicans to vote for him. He had his ' jump the shark ' moment with his latest stupidity on global non-warming.
Desmond Taylor, Houston, USA Tx
Every time I hear an argument like that it turns my stomach. It's sad that anyone would ever believe that voting for who you want could be wrong and lead to someone much worse being elected. That doesn't mean it's not true, it's just sad the US system for electing it's leaders has come to this.
Alex York, Charleston, US
Say what you will about McCain vs. the Democrats, but I am a registered Democrat, a past campaign worker for Democratic candidates, a highly educated voter and electrical engineer, a Native American, and I will absolutely not vote for any ticket with Hillary Clinton on it.
Mike, Coburg, Oregon, USA
McCain will not win the election in November, the climate of political termoil is against him for one. He is a very old man, the stress alone will kill him. This is the roughest ride in political history, famine, oil prices, recession, economic melt down. The prospect that the world will end in 2012
Daphne Kenward, Cambridge, UK
I do hope most fervently that Mrs. Clinton goes all the way. I will then be able to start every day with a smile on my face, uplifted by the thought of WJC slinking about the White House for another four or eight years. Let the next comic opera begin!
Mark Fowler, Poznan, Poland
At this rate the Democrats are going to throw everything away! They should know that they are in a team game and it's not about one person.
Mr A Johnson, London,
And a vote for McCain is bad for what reason?...
Gregory Baker, Odenton, Maryland, USA
I have always voted Democrat but like a lot of other Democrats I will vote for McCain (voting Democrat on the rest of the ticket) Either Democrat hopeful is likely to lose to McCain particularly if they keep up their warfare. Mr McCain can concentrate on the task of selecting a good running mate.
Michael, Charlottesville, Virginia
Mr Obama is the only candidate who can rescue the Democrats from oblivian. Mrs Clinton is yesterdays child and just as old as John McCain in mind if not in age. I expect to see more of the Clinton committed uncommit in the days ahead. US politics are in turmoil with Clinton still in the race.
Harriet Greenwood, Vancouver BC, Canada
I'm hoping McCain gets it... He's a maverick ( he knows his own mind ) intelligent, has given a lot for his country. And unlike his Democratic counterparts he hasn't had to resort to muck spreading. If he can control his temper he should be a very fine president,I hope he's given the chance.
Sandra Caldwell, New York City , US( previously UK)
It appears the Democrats are on course to snath defeat from the jaws of victory.
Bruce Northwood, Washington, D.C., USA
Once the Democrats get rid of the drag-on and on lady,the party will no doubt be able to take care of the old guy.At the moment McCain does not need to run,only hobble for the presidency.Senator Obama is a fresh change,who has severed connections with pastor Wright.Obama may provide a new Camelot.
Ed O'Donnell, Bideford, North Devon, United Kingdom
McCain, an old man,72 most 72 year olds are retired. He suffers from Cancer. What is this one foot in the grave going to do for any one? He suffers from fits of anger, what makes him a good candidate for most ill informed Americans, oh he was a prisoner of war, so what, war risk capture too.
Daphne Kenward, Cambridge, UK
Obama has a certain calmness about him. A Nelson Mandela quality that we are desperate for. Hillary would eat her young to get nominated. Imagine another 4 years of her screeching <shudder>
Andrew, New York, USA
Barack Osama
Stupid yankee's ya vote for the Muslim Fanatic and screw your country and the World up even MORE
Fred, Toronto, Canada
Obama lacks wide appeal and is under-qualified. Clinton is more central than left-wing which is where I believe many voters now a day lean and she is more appealing to the republican voters who have had enough of their parties mishaps. if Obama gets the nom the dems have no chance.
Alex, london, England
It absurd to think somebody with as few policies as Mr. Obama is even close to running for president of the largest economy in the world during one of its most troubled times.
That said his nomination could speed up the global market rebalancing giving a true picture of China as America's financier
Tom, London,
B - BUOYANT
A - ADROIT
R - REALISTIC
A - AMIABLE
C - COURAGEOUS
K - KNOWLEDGEABLE
><
O - OPTIMISTIC
B - BRAINY
A - ALLURING
M - MAGNETIC
A - ABLE
So stop the soap opera of Wright and let America discuss the things that matter to the common folk! Sen Kerry's rebuke of MSNBC was fab!
Elias, Stevenage, UK
When are sensible, moderate Democrats going to wake up to the fact that has been clear all along; to middle America Obama is simply unelectable - it is as simple as that.
Jon Quirk, Ulan Bator, Mongolia
Sadly, I feel not one of the three candidates are good for America. Given the current climate, I feel McCain will win, but that he isn't much better than either of the Democrats. Yes, I am a conservative, one of those McCain has ignored since 2000. I hope for a strong third party candidate
LewWaters, Vancouver, Wa./USA
If obama and clinton continue to destroy each other Mccain will take the cake with out any efforts
smita, Frankston, australia
Good, the sooner McCain becomes President the better.
Martin, Cambridge, UK
Tammy, you ask "what's wrong with this picture?" What's wrong is that you are woefully uninformed. Where did you hear that Obama "won't say the Pledge..."? He is a Senator and, as such, says the Pledge in the Senate and even leads it on occasion. There are videos of these amazing acts. Look them up.
Lisa, New York,
McCain is dead wrong, I hope. All the Dems need to do is trot out footage of McCain endorsing Bush on Iraq and the economy and--one can only hope--he's dead in the water. And by the way, where was McCain saying Bush's response to Katrina was "disgraceful" when the disgrace was occurring?
Keith Busby, Milwaukee, WI, USA
It is the ignorance of small minds that will deliver this country back into the hands of another G.W. Bush. " Obama won't wear an American flag pin", how many "Americans" are wearing their flag pins out on the streets in your town? By my count, almost none.
Only those trying to win something are.
M.J., Iowa, U.S.A.
I would not support Obama! How could anyone support someone who doesn't support America? How could he even be allowed to run for presidency, when he won't say " The Pledge of Allegiance" for our country? Whats wrong with this picture?
Tammy Bowman, Tullahoma, USA
Afraid Hillary Clinton has turned to a Samson like figure that is pulling down the house upon the party. In losing, there will be nothing left to win. In winning, there will be nothing left to lose.
America is going into recession deepened by Bush. Successor will be a one term damage control.
Bill Keller, BASKING RIDGE, USA/New Jersey