Gerard Baker, US Editor, St Paul
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While Republicans rave about Sarah Palin and denounce the media coverage of her daughter’s pregnancy, a number of the party’s elders are in a state of high anxiety.
It’s not that they are worried about any specific political fallout from the pregnancy revelation. In fact, some suspect that the Governor of Alaska and her family will elicit sympathy from the American public when she speaks at the Republican convention tonight in her first big set-piece performance. It is more that they are increasingly concerned about what the sudden spate of stories from her past says about John McCain’s judgment.
Some Republicans are plainly upset that in an election campaign that Senator McCain himself has said turns on the central issue of national security, he has chosen someone as a potential successor in a crisis who, whatever her other talents, has no background in international affairs.
One former Bush Administration official described himself to me as “personally disgusted” by the selection, one that betrayed a desire by Mr McCain for short-term political gain at the expense of the national interest.
But the bigger worry among many Republicans here is not that they might win in November and Mrs Palin later prove to be ill-equipped to lead the nation should she have to, but that they might lose; that the cascading revelations about her will bring down the McCain campaign.
At issue are the judgment and attention shown by the McCain campaign in selecting her.
It has become axiomatic in the past 30 years that vice-presidential choices do not really make much difference to presidential elections. But that may be because presidential candidates have tended to go for caution, with well-known national political figures as their running-mates. When they have strayed from that formula, perils have generally followed.
Unlike presidential candidates, who have to endure a long primary campaign under an intense media spotlight, vice-presidential candidates emerge just a couple of months before election day. They are, therefore, much more vulnerable to the risk that something in their past or something they say may throw the presidential campaign off balance and off message.
Since 1976, every vice-presidential nominee from either party had served in the US Congress. Many had also held other significant national office: George Bush Sr had been head of the CIA; Dick Cheney was a former Defence Secretary.
In an ominous sign for Mr McCain, the only times that running-mates have done real damage have been when they were relatively unknown. In 1984, even though she was a member of the House of Representatives, Geraldine Ferraro was not a national figure and under the pressure of the campaign, revelations about her husband’s business connections did irreparable damage to Walter Mondale. Spiro Agnew, of Maryland, was the last state governor to be picked as a vice-presidential nominee. Though Richard Nixon won in 1968 and again in 1972, Vice-President Agnew was dogged by corruption allegations and forced to resign in 1973.
The most notorious selection of a hitherto unknown vice-presidential candidate was Senator Tom Eagleton, picked by the Democrat George McGovern in 1972. He was chosen after only the briefest of background checks, and within weeks he was forced to leave the ticket after disclosures about his past mental health.
Some Republicans see parallels between these three selections and Mr McCain’s decision to go with the unsung Mrs Palin. They are especially concerned that he seems to have picked her after having met her only briefly once and after what looks like,to say the least, a somewhat sketchy background check.
The McCain camp, and plenty of other Republicans, insist that the current media frenzy will blow over and that after the initial spate of revelations about her, there will be nothing in Mrs Palin’s background to do real harm.
But the anxiety — and alarm at Mr McCain’s high-stakes gamble — is palpable. As David Frum, a former speechwriter for President Bush, put it: “When someone takes the rent money and puts it on black at the roulette table, and it comes up black, we don’t say, “Wow! What a terrific piece of judgment.”
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I feel that you are biased. Your paper only promotes negative comments and accusing republicans of being the most negative. I am an independent and my daughter was going to vote dem but since Sarah is on board she will vote for Mcain Palin ticket. Women will have more to say than you think.
Lisa Saucier, Eagle Lake ME,
It's truly astonishing that McCain thinks so little of the office of the vice president, his potential successor (the guy is 72!), to pick this completely unqualified non-entity. This is manifest recklessness with the nation's security.
Larry, Harvard MA, USA
I am insulted by this pick. There are many republican woman that McCain could have selected without going for the bottom of the barrel. I guess McCain thinks that "value voters" will take anyone and that women voters will vote for any woman. I agree that this says a lot about McCain's judgement.
Carlin, washington, USA
The vetting shows that McCain exercises the same judgement that Bush did in his rash, impetuous decision to invade Iraq (which McCain was also gung-ho) on insufficient data. That alone proves he makes reckless decisions and does not have the right temperment to be President.
Peter, Centerville, MA, USA
I am stunned by the comments by few conservatives. They obviously put their selfish wishes above the nation. The choice is clear if you want US to lead the world and to have a peaceful world vote for democrats.Or if you still think narrowly about your street, county then vote for republicans.
Srini, Herndon, USA
This election is turning into a SHAM. Its not what your country can do for you but what you can do for your country. Bush has TRASHED America, and McCain is about to tear it apart. By the time McCain is done, there won't be an America, the dream will die in his arms. The Empire will collapse.
Daphne Kenward, Cambridge, UK
Kevin, you can tell a lot about a man by how he conducts his election campaign. And Obama has shown nothing but class, cool-headedness and intelligent judgement - so much so as to bring down the Clinton juggernaut! McCain just flip flops and now has just committed political hari kiri in Sarah Palin!
Jimmy C, Letchworth Garden City, UK
She has a reassuring smile.. shel probably help John get voted in.
If not she'd make a good Mom on a show like Friends. If she can act.
Stu, London, UK
sarah is a great choice! as a hillary supporter i feel rejected by obama and his cult of personality campaign....im voting for john and sarah. dont agree on all issues but i know that team will bring real change.
jbh, alexandria,
What a joke and insult to our intelligence. I too am a real American and in fact probably have more foreign policy experience than Mrs. Palin but you don't see me calling myself qualified. My Los Angeles County Councilperson is accountable to more constituents than Mrs. Palin is as governor of Alas
Alex, Los Angeles, USA
Couldn't agree more with comments. Her selection had to be either a stroke of genius or the act of a blithering idiot - reaction so far and events over the next couple of months, I am afraid ,will conclusively indicate the latter.
Despite underperforming in the polls, Obama must feel very secure
Stephen Smith, Hamilton, Bermuda
Governor Palin is just as qualified as Obama, AND she is on the bottom of the ticket! The panicked Obama has had to resort to describing his year of campaigning as executive experience. There are some in the party unhappy with Palin, but they tend to be Mitt Romney's fan club. They'll get over it.
Kevin Finnerty, Atlanta, USA
The damage is done...this woman appears to be exploiting her daughters pregnancy for what? Some kind of gain she thinks she will get? These kids should not be thrown into this..if it is a private matter why is the 18 baby daddy being added to the mix at the convention. Pathetic parenting!
Brian, Mora , MN, USA
Very poor vetting and judgement by McCain. Shows that he is not to be trusted to make cabinet appointments and important decisions. If his decisions are this bad, I sure don't want here second in command if something happens to him! Palin needs to step aside and be replaced by someone seasoned.
Bruce, Long Beach CA, USA
I'm a conservative, social and economic. I will be voting for Palin, not McCain, so he benefits by proxy. I had intended to stay away from the polls this year. All I can hope for is his early retirement.
Tom Cash, Grand Rapids, MI, U.S.A.
There is a big difference in having huge approval ratings in one's relatively homogenous state with its unique issues than having huge national approval levels where one would be way out of the mainstream. The only thing Massachusetts and Alaska have in common is hockey.
Robin, Beverly, Massachusetts, USA
He would deselect her as his running mate if that wasn't automatic political suicide because of what it said about his judgement.
Eric Skelton, Cardiff, Wales
As a social conservative, small business owner and family man, I've been "personally disgusted" by senior Republicans most of the past 16 years. Moreover, give me Sarah Palin's common sense regarding Islamists, China and the neo-Soviets over the always-compromising milquetoasts of the U.S. Congress.
Bruce, Kentucky, USA
I'm a "real person" with "real problems," too -- but I'm well aware I have no business being the leader -- or the second-string leader -- of the United States. Being a "real person" is not a qualification for this job. No matter WHAT you think of Palin as a person, she's no more qualified than I am.
John Sanders, Raleigh, US
Actually Palin's approval rating is 67% & falling. As mayor she left Wasilla $22 million in debt, was almost recalled, insisted town directors & police chief resign, raised taxes, lobbied for 27 million in earmarks, and had links to secessionist Alaska Independence Party. Vetting? What vetting?
Lars, British Columbia, CA
Oh please. She's been governor for a year and a half of a state whose population equals a quarter of Brooklyn. But it isn't about her. It's about McCain's poor judgement and his ability to gamble the second highest public office in America. Imagine what he'll do with Iran or Social Security.
Megan, New York, USA
It depends on who you ask about Sarah Palin's approval rating. According to many, her ratings have been falling due to scandal and shame! She's unqualified and is being used as a token candidate to try to get the Evangelicals to sign onto McCain. Frankly, I'm embarrassed for McCain!
Daphne, Denver, USA
Does this mean that Sarah Palin is a real person dealing with life as we try to do. As far as the "Senior Republican" being discusted with Sarah Palin, shame on him. We need someone who is for us, the American people, that person has an 84% approval rating in her State.
Rock on Sarah!!!
Nita Garvey, Sagle, USA