Martin Samuel
Take a trip to New York and see the city from the air
If you work at a company of substantial size, chances are that there will be an employee whose job it is to cut the budget. He will probably be incentive-rewarded, too, perhaps with a small percentage of the money he has saved. His job will be dressed up as having something to do with efficiency or better use of resources; in the old days he would be called a time-and-motion man.
The bottom line is that if the budget — and I’ll make it easy because this is an E-grade mathematics O-level student you are reading here — is £100 million, his job is to get it down to £90 million. And the next year, when the budget is £90 million, to make his bonus, he again has to cut it by 10 per cent. Now it is £81 million. And his job hasn’t changed and he’ll want to hit that target in time for Christmas next year, too, which is probably why you can never get a seat on a Ryanair flight these days and every Travelodge is rammed Monday to Friday.
At the best companies, the ones that care about the quality of the product and the wellbeing of the staff, somebody important works out that you can’t keep hacking away at a bone with no meat on it and decides to invest and treat people with a little respect. But there are plenty of businesses that are sliced down to the marrow and still going.
I know, because I used to work for one.
Now, apply that logic to the international round of matches in the Premier League. There are 20 owners, or their representatives, sat around a table, many of whom have overpaid for their investment and need a greater return. Transfer budgets and wages are spiralling. The manager is hammering on the door each day, demanding money for players. The fans are an ungrateful lot. And, yes, the new television deal is stunning, but that was last year’s good news. Where is the next hit? What is Richard Scudamore, the chief executive, going to do for us this year?
So here it is, gentlemen, the 39th step — an extra £5 million per year per club, guaranteed on departure. Suddenly, everybody is happy. But only for now, because, deep down, Scudamore is just an employee, like Joe Schmo in the back office, whose job it is to rifle through the stationery invoices in the hope of finding a cheaper ballpoint pen. And farther down the line, when the money from the international round has been blown on agents’ fees and a striker from Brazil with legs like a Queen Anne table who came highly recommended via video, his licensee and PlayStation, the room will turn to Scudamore again and say: “Well, that was good, but now what?”
So while Scudamore says that there will be no 40th or 41st match on his watch, he cannot make a promise that the next Premier League money-grabbing exercise will not be even worse. He admits as much with his insistence that the game cannot stand still. This is not because football competitions are in a permanent state of flux — the concept of the symmetrical league was introduced in 1888 and survived intact until last Thursday, which is no bad run — but because a Premier League club is a different animal and needs to be fed money constantly.
Whatever Scudamore claims, match 39 is the thin end of the wedge because it establishes the principle that the league must never be at rest, that it must always be refined, not for the sake of greater fairness or equality, but to give its members more.
So there may not be a match 40, but there could be a play-off to decide the champions, or fresh rules on relegation, penalty shoot-outs, or a two-tier Super League at the halfway stage, all to fix something that was not broken, but was merely failing to generate enough wedge for a guy dumb enough to give Terry Brown £100 million for West Ham United and then pay Freddie Ljungberg £70,000 a week. As if anything ever could.
The sadness is that these seismic changes will be driven and sanctioned by men who are passing through our game. When the matches kick off in January 2011, some clubs are about as likely to have the present owners as the present season-ticket prices.
Rewind three years to January 2005 and see the future. In that time there has been a change of the boardroom guard at Manchester United, Liverpool, Portsmouth, Aston Villa, Newcastle United, Manchester City, West Ham United, Sunderland and Derby County. This does not include the significant power struggles taking place at Arsenal and Birmingham City, both of whom could change hands short term, along with Reading, Tottenham Hotspur, and Portsmouth and Liverpool (again).
One of the leading supporters of the scheme is David Gold, the Birmingham City chairman, who this season was preparing to sell the club to Carson Yeung, a Hong Kong investor who ran out of money having destabilised the business, as good as driving out Steve Bruce, the manager. Having failed to cash in, Gold is now going to be part of a process that alters English football irrevocably, which is fitting considering his previous readiness to dance to the tune of Asian investors.
Yeung’s pursuit of Birmingham was not all it was cracked up to be and the skirmishes of the past week suggest that the same could be said of the riches promised by the international round. One by one, the confederations of East and West have been voicing a lack of interest in the plan, a stance that is to be taken with a Siberian quantity of salt. This is a negotiating manoeuvre to force down the price. Premier League football does not come cheap and to appear keen at this stage would only inflate the bidding.
This, though, is the first sign that the nations identified as slow-witted cash cows by Scudamore and his owners may not be as stupid as they look. Remember when football viewed television companies with similar contempt? Now who calls the shots, sets the kick-off times, even has a hand in the fixture list, if you consider the weekend just gone? Television still pays top dollar for football’s rights, but it makes damn sure that there is a return; and won’t the same be true of the Premier League’s new partners in Asia and the United States?
The balance of power between football and television shifted very quickly.
In the beginning, the networks needed football to sell satellite dishes and subscriptions and the game had the upper hand. What has changed is that football has grown to become dependent on television money and now both sides have a bargaining tool.
That will be the fate of the 39th game, too, or any of the other gimmicks requiring lavish patronage. At first, English football will be able to name its price, but, in time, when this bounty is factored into the budget of all Premier League clubs, the host cities will be in a position to play hardball with everything from kick-off times to format and the identity of the visiting clubs. Don’t think this cannot happen. A few years ago Scudamore was claiming that something else would never happen on his watch: Premier League matches kicking off abroad.
Yet one question remains unanswered, which is the fate of the English invader when domestic football takes off in Asia. There are an estimated 1,321,851,888 people in China and, eventually, 11 of them are going to be able to kick a ball. When this happens, the foreign market will sink like a stone, because there is nothing more popular than a local hero. At the 2002 World Cup, the Kamo Soccer Shop in Tokyo sold 1,000 Junichi Inamoto shirts in two days on the back of a good performance by the host nation.
When the Japan merchandise was unavailable, customers bought Inamoto’s Arsenal shirt instead, so there was some benefit to the European market, but had he been playing for his former club, Gamba Osaka, there would have been no way for the avaricious Premier League to mine this little earner. As the Asian economy expands, the money will talk, the best players will stay at home and the domestic league will grow stronger. If the Premier League has hitched its wagon too securely to the foreign market, one day there could be an icy blast of indifference; particularly chilling if, in its pursuit of an international audience, it has neglected and alienated its loyal supporters at home.
There were 104 years between Commodore Matthew Perry’s landing in Okinawa harbour, which ended centuries of Japanese isolation with an American trade agreement, and the first Toyota car arriving in America in 1957. By 1991, Japan had the biggest car industry in the world (9.7 million produced compared with 5.4 million in the US) and in the next 12 months it is predicted that Toyota will overtake General Motors as the largest individual manufacturer. Japan has six out of the top ten motor companies and seven of the top 20 computer chip producers. They move fast, these foreign types. We wouldn’t want to be caught standing still.

Martin Samuel, a seven times winner of Sports Writer of the Year, is the most successful sports journalist of his generation. The Times Chief Football Correspondent was named Sports Journalist of the Year at the 2008 British Press Awards, just weeks after retaining Sports Writer of the Year for the third time in succession at the Sports Journalists' Association awards for 2007. Judges described his work as "the highest form of journalism" and praised his "trenchant, fearless views, combined with wit and irony and the memorably killer phrase". Samuel scooped the What the Papers Say award in 2002, 2005 and 2006
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For their gazumped salaries they should play 500 games ,lets be easy on them and make it 50,with 2 weeks off,for the £4-£5m,a year.
Derek Bevan, Hunts cambs, England
Very good argument, very well put.
Jason, London,
Martin Samuel is the best sports writer I have ever read. Keep up your amazing work. I am a football journalist myself and I write on Italian football for goal.com. You are an inspiration Martin. Keep the articles coming in ..looking forward to reading your next one. Well Done!
Salvatore Landolina, London, England
What (sadly) amuses me in the current outcry about the 39th game is that it is maybe finally coming home that
a. English football sold its soul when Sky and the Premier League took control. Nobody cared because the clubs that benefited were those supported by the armchair fan and the corporate sleaze merchants
b. Similar point, but listening to the phone-ins, there are people out there who haven't realised that professional sport in general (and in England football in particular) has become a rich man's plaything. Bottom line.
c. Yes, the fans make the club. Would it were so. And it is true (to an extent) up to about 1990. Much as the product trades off those who actually bother to go to games - well sorry but if you believe the club and the league really care and that you have any influence in the game, you are naive and deluded. Fans do not matter in the Premier League, except in so far as they provide atmosphere and promote the product. Financially they are peripheral.
Andrew, Chester,
This is the best article I've read so far this year. Brilliant from Samuel, and not for the first time.
Matt Dixon, Ulverston, UK
Schedule a 3-week break each January. If teams wish to use that time to take off for exhibition matches then let them. If they wish to use that time to rest and re-cuperate then so be it.
As the bigger teams are more likely to take the exhibition option, and small clubs stay at home, the outcome would be a more balanced season performance-wise as smaller clubs have recovered from niggling injuries
Tim, Bangkok, Thailand
As ever a great read but is it just possible that if/when China produces stars of its own the richest clubs in Europe will simply just buy them.
It's a shocking idea purely because, as Martin rightly argues, once they change a format which has worked so well since 1888 then where do you stop.
As for David Gold thinking it's a way to extend his club's brand, who seriously cares about Birmingham City outside of England (and I mean that in the nicest possible way)?
Barry Purchese, London,
I'm against the idea in principle, but it's like placing a tiny road block in front of a semi-trailer. Nothing makes sense today in this ever expanding free market so why should this? Bring on the world league. As a football fan, I respect tradition but see nothing wrong in seeing a World Cup of sorts every year. Too many mediocre players are making huge sums of money in England. Once football spreads its wings to break through increasingly blurred boundaries, it will start to reward only the best players.
Peter, Bangkok,
With all this talk about overseas matches, has anyone in authority considered the burden additional carbon emissions created will put on the environment? We are being exhorted to change our tungsten light bulbs to the low energy variety (although we probably won't be able to read our papers if we use them). So what's the point?
Alan Edward Burgess, Llangadog, Carmarthenshire
Fortunately there is one billionairre - Frank Lowy, the head of FFA - who doesn't want the EPL to play competitive matches in Australia. Like the other Australian readers who have responded to your column, I love watching the EPL on television and hope to see a match/matches live - by visiting England.
The EPL proposal shows a complete disregard for the A-League, MLS in America, the J-League, all of whom are, presumably, meant to interrupt their seasons to accommodate an EPL match.
I also find it amazing that clubs, and managers, that whinge about their players travelling back to play for their country, suddenly have no hesitation about the same player travelling the same difference for a club match. What hypocrisy.
There is only one English team that should play competitive matches in Australia - the England team....but then, since when does playing for your country, be it England or Australia or whoever, rank with the EPL clubs?
Stephen, Canberra, Australia
The problem with the the premeir league and football league in England is that the clubs are owned by rich individuals who are basicaly investors seeking a return on their huge investments,
the solution to this would be for plc companies to own the teams, turning them into company teams, with the idea being not to return a profit but instead to advertise,
this would keep ticket prices down and elimate the need for 39th matches,
It works well her in Japan, in Korea etc,
most fans would not be happy for their team to change its name to Aston Cadbury Villa etc, but if instead of paying 50 quid for a ticket there were paying 10 most fans would accept the change,
Turner, Tokyo, Japan
A disgrace
Dan Roberts, York, UK
Not only would a 39th round ruin the symmetrical format of the Premier League, which is as fair as it can possibly get, it would pave the way for the league becoming franchised. I live in Australia and I'm a Spurs fan and I'd always thought of going to England to watch them play, not them coming to me. I think it would be a good exercise for Premier league clubs to play annual pre-season matches abroad or something of the like but for these matches to actually count towards the final standings is absurd.
Keegan Ryan, Melbourne, Australia
the most sensible analysis of this whole daft idea i've heard so far Mr Samuel. There is massive interest out here for the English game, but its still a finite interest (there was massive interest in the first Shanghai Grand Prix, they couldnt give tickets away for the second). Whats more, without the emotional attachment, fans in Asia in particular have proven themselves to be far more resistant to exploitation than their UK counterparts (both Man UTD and Real Madrid have failed to sell out Hong Kong stadium on at least one recent visit each due to high prices and bad PR). And as for Everton vs Portsmouth in Mumbai??!? The reason these clubs get crowds at home is exactly that , they are at HOME. As an englishman in Hong Kong i shall be spening my hard earned watching South China, the game I left behind in England appears to be commiting suicide.
andy, Hong Kong,
Next stop will be a European league.
Peter K Day, Doncaster, UK/ Yorkshire
Brilliant brilliant article.
I live in Sydney and in no way do I want foreign games having a bearing on the outcome of the league. Its a ridiculous idea and long term, doomed to failure for exactly the reasons listed above.
David Nicholls, HARBORD , Australia
Martin, I completely agree with your last point and it is similar to the comment I made in response to your previous article on this last week. East Asia is a very nationalistic place and in every industry the aim is to have domestic entities grow up to rival the foreign ones. Sport will be no different. It will not be long before people in Beijing, Shanghai, Seoul, Tokyo and the like want one of their teams in the league. And they will pay top dollar to get the best local and foreign players playing fo them. If the EPL does not let this happen then gradually either domestic leagues or some alternative international club league will be formed and the Premier League's patronising "gift" will become embarrasingly ignored. But this will take a few years to occur (although not as long as some might think) and the Chairman et all will, as you say, have taken their piece of the pie and left by then.
Dave Williams, Beijing, China