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Most athletes, like most artists, shy away from analysis. They fear that intellectual understanding might destroy the creative process, that too much thinking will destroy action. Steve Davis was always an exception. This made him a fascinating interview subject when he was at his peak as a snooker player and it makes him a superb studio analyst today.
I saw quite a bit of him in the mid-1980s and relished his company. There was always something to learn because he was that rare thing — a top performer whose method was analysis. It was important for him to externalise the process. For him, some kind of intellectual control of the process of winning was essential to the art of victory.
And time and again I have seen the points he raised acted out in the daily dramas of every sport on the calendar. “You’re allowed to miss a ball,” he said. “That happens. Never get down on yourself just because you missed a ball. It’s when you start thinking wrong that you’re in trouble.”
He was to exemplify the problems of thinking wrong in his own decline. You would see him playing safe when the pot beckoned, you would see him taking on an impossible pot out of some weird sense of duty. I have observed Davis’s Law in action elsewhere and everywhere over a couple of decades since he expounded it to me. Was it in the Matchroom at Romford? The press room at the Crucible? No matter. Turn to great sport and you find a million examples of Davis’s Law.
Take the semi-finals of the Champions League this week. On Tuesday, John Arne Riise scored one of the greatest own goals of our time, giving Chelsea an equaliser against Liverpool in a fraught, first-leg match. What on earth could have possessed him to try to head a knee-high ball in his own six-yard box in the last minute of his biggest match of the season? Andy Gray used to joke — no doubt still does — about heading penalties. This was scarcely more absurd.
It wasn’t that the header was misdirected. It wasn’t a missed ball, for which Davis will forgive you. It was thinking wrong. The very idea of stooping for the header was ludicrous. It was not the action that was flawed, it was the thinking behind it.
About 22 hours later, Cristiano Ronaldo missed a penalty for Manchester United against Barcelona, and it was not the sort of miss that is forgivable under Davis’s Law. The point is not that Ronaldo miskicked, but that his penalty attempt was faulty in conception.
Ronaldo’s flaw in his bid for greatness is that he is, to use the technical term, a smart-arse. Penalties are always a temptation to such a being: the twice-taken, twice-scored, stutter-step penalty against Arsenal is a classic example. But remember that these two penalties were driven with the laces of the boot. For all the theatricality, Ronaldo hit two unstoppable shots.
Against Barcelona, Ronaldo decided to go for something more subtle. Penalty gimmicks have a way of finding you out, as Gary Lineker will tell you. He had a dinked penalty saved when he was playing for England; had he hit it properly, he might have joined Sir Bobby Charlton on 49 international goals. His failure to think right left him for ever one down.
On Wednesday night, Ronaldo’s thinking broke down. This was not the appropriate moment for showboating, for a gimmick, for cuteness. It was the moment to cut out the frills and get down to business, and Ronaldo failed. It is possible that this miss will forever mark his annus mirabilis.
One of the eternal fascinations of big-time sport is watching the way that athletes respond to pressure. Some grow into giants, others turn into midgets. Often under pressure technique goes, an easy shot is missed. Sometimes error piles on error, even for the very best. Roger Federer, the world’s best tennis player, made 54 unforced errors in his desperate victory over Rubén Ramírez Hidalgo on Wednesday.
Sometimes tension inhibits the most basic techniques in sport. Golfers get the yips, when the putting stroke fails; darts players suffer from “dartitis” and can’t let go of the dart; bowlers — particularly, for some reason, left-arm spinners — find that their action deserts them; footballers can hit the ball dead straight at any time, save when the target is the goal. But it is when tension affects the decision-making process that Davis’s Law kicks in, when the most effective, strong-minded athletes fail, not because they can’t do it, but because they can no longer think straight.
In cricket, a batsman misses a ball and gets out — that is forgivable. But sometimes he is out because he makes a wrong decision.
Shot selection, it’s called. Sometimes a batsman goes tharn, a term from Watership Down indicating the state of rabbit in a car’s headlights. Andrew Flintoff gets locked into a block-block-slog sequence, one that has nothing at all to do with the merits of the balls he is facing.
Mike Gatting, a former England captain, provides two perfect examples. In the final of the World Cup of 1987, he was out reverse-sweeping a ball from Allan Border. He was castigated for this, but I am not convinced that this was entirely fair. It wasn’t the shot selection that was wrong — Gatting used to play the reverse sweep well and often — it was just a missed ball.
But earlier in his career — and he had a very slow start in Test cricket — he was out leg-before while playing no stroke twice in the same match, both times to Malcolm Marshall against West Indies in 1984. This was clearly flawed decision-making, not flawed execution.
It is easy to confuse the two things. One of the most extraordinary Test innings of recent years was Kevin Pietersen’s assault on Brett Lee in the Oval Test of the great Ashes series of 2005. Had he got out playing one of those thunderous hooks and pulls, he would have been vilified for throwing away the Ashes, for thinking wrongly, for slogging when he should have blocked. I would probably have been among the vilifiers.
But it worked. That must mean that his decision-making was right, yes?
After all, you can’t say that that thinking was wrong, but it worked anyway. It can only have been right, and it was one of the most astonishing bits of sport I have witnessed. The thinking was right, but it was unfamiliar to those of us who witnessed it.
Sport is a Petri dish in which we examine hearts and minds and bodies and souls for signs of weakness. We put them under a lurid succession of stresses to see what breaks, when it breaks, how badly it is broken.
When technique breaks down, an error is forgivable and can be repaired. But when the thinking behind technique breaks down, when the decision-making powers cease to function, the damage is that much more profound, that much more serious, that much harder to repair. Riise and Ronaldo are for once united, undone by Davis’s Law.
Simon Barnes is the multi-award-winning chief sportswriter at The Times. He also writes a Saturday column on wildlife. His 15 books include three novels and the best-selling How To Be A Bad Birdwatcher. His latest, The Meaning of Sport, was published last autumn. He lives in Suffolk with his family and five horses
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I understand that if he takes a great penalty (which he often does) the keeper does not stand a chance. however, he made the decision that if he went the other way, he would send the keeper the wrong way, thus giving him more chance of scoring. the decision was correct...the execution was wrong!
Berker Acar, London, UK
Great piece stimulating lively debate. Barnes point about think clearly and correct decsion making is universally accepted surely? Unless we wear rose tinted glasses!
Both Riise and Ronaldo screwed up (in post analysis).
And I feel Ronaldo still lacks the maturity to reach his potential yet
Grant C, Dubai, UAE
Anyone can miss a penalty, but in the ludicrous world of hyperbole Ronaldo is treated as a demi-god, whereas his behaviour on the pitch, like against Barca, is often a disgrace. Arms raised to the heavens when teh ref doesn't oblige in presenting the free his theatrics supposedly deserve.
Andrew, Cork, Ireland
Sport is about making decisions. Ronaldo made a decision and got it wrong. No excuses, no lingering effects on Tuesday game. Get over it. If he made all the right decision then you would not have anything to complain about and that really would be ashame.
Sam, Madrid, Spain
Riise panicked - he should have been aiming for the hot-dog seller in row ZZ.
And Ronaldo was trying to be a flash bugger. All well and good when you are 3-0 up, but away against Barca? Foolish in the extreme. It may well come back to bite him on the bum.
Thinking? Possibly. Concentrating? No.
shorehamview, Sunny Sheffield,
player like ronaldo dunt have time to think,, they uses their instinct ,, they react based on the situation...
king, mansfield,
Bunch of muppets here. Your hatred of Ronaldo spills undisguised. The penalty miss had nothing to do with arrogance. Anyone who's actually taken a penalty would have understood the thinking behind it. Ronaldo always shoots to the keeper's right. Valdes would have studied that. Thus the differnt shot
charbel, houston,
Matt, you miss the point mate. Yes, players/athletes have a limited amount of time to think but think they still do! It is a quality decision made in a split second under duress that separates the successful from the unsuccessful, be it a specific moment or the defining feature of a career.
Buck, Sydney,
Ronaldo's Penalty attempt was not out of arrogance or attempting to showboat, he merely tried to do something different. He scored a penalty against England the same way, possible a more pressured shot, and scored with ease. He proabably felt that valdez knew his regular style and wanting to...
Tony, Canada,
ronaldo's petulance towards HIS OWN team mates was diabolical. he doesn't behave in way a manchester united player should.
ricky, dublin,
J Tampere is right. Split second decision, messed up. Rangers last night, Weir (?) chose exactly the same as Rise, a header off a dangerous ball and was praised massively for it. Ronaldo yes, but just through arrogance. He knew it was dangerous but wanted to show off in spain, it was that simple!!
philip Arnold, Barnet, England
I think those who play sport understand the article.
Excellent.
Tim, London,
Ronaldo makes man-U a one man team. If he fails the rest fail as well. If his decision making fails it does as well for the others. Driven by arrogance not many appreciate, find him a great player . Alex built a team based on arrogance. Pity . Waste of other gifted players in his team.
max, bavel, Holland
Very interesting piece, all sport, no matter how long it takes, is about decision making and what seperates the greats from the remaining professionals is their ability to make the correct decisions more consistently.
JM, Bristol, UK
Simon you're rigth but so is Roy from Liverpool in regard to Riise. The right way to clear that ball was to thump it into row z with his right foot but he has no confidence in his right foot so decided not to use it. That was an error of judgement under pressure.
Nick, London,
Ronaldo wanted to extend his 'I am GOD accolade', hence his approach to this spot kick. He scores he adds to his sporting great reputation, it remains intact. He misses then the knives come out and pundits and fans alike question his status as a player and sporting icon. Arrogance won the day!
stuart, London, UK
Leo is spot on. How often have you heard a football commentator say "he had too much time to think about" Often in sport the decisions made instinctively are the best ones. Having time to think just leads to indecisivness. Good article I thought.
Simon, London,
They're missing the point Simon..this is a classic text for a sports psychology student...great insight!
ian, Wokingham, england
Riise made a mistake and is feeling bad about it. Ronaldo tried to be a smart-arse, and then reacted to his error with a poor performance, increasingly punctuated by utter petulance. On the global stage, the 'great' Ronaldo did not act like a sportsman. What a disgrace.
Scraf, Leeds,
I am a big fan of Simon Barnes but this is a rather nonsensical article.
Peter Wake, Liverpool, England
Sport is pressure, as is life. The split second before you strike a snooker ball is exactly the same as the split second before a footballer kicks a ball.
Good points made, esp Ronnie's arrogance-so much for 'expressing himself' on the world's great stages
Jeremy, Farnham,
You're missing the point Matt;it's about bad technique versus bad judgement............the minute Ronaldo "pushed" that penalty the risk factor increased exponentially and he paid the price..........the same can be said of Riise. A good article I thought.
Terry Webster, Market Drayton, UK
I think you are wrong Ian, they are both profesionals at the top
of their game and as such their reactions are as fast as is needed in their respective sport. They play to the needed speed or they die so to speak .
norman cater, marmaris, Turkey
Mr Higton, what makes you think that having longer to make a decision makes making that decision any easier? Pressure builds with time. You could argue that penalty taking affords the longest decision making time there is in football. Plenty of time to decide to blast, place, left or right.
Leo Dunne, London,
Overanalysing Riise´s failure is useless. There was Anelka behind him, the cross dropped at him and he had to clear it. The decision to head was wrong but certainly not bizarre. He had to react in a blink of an eye. Riise was incredibly unlucky as his error happened at such a crucial moment.
Jussi, Tampere, Finland
An absurd artcile for the reasons stated by Ian Higton. SImialrly in cricket, every ball is different, with different levels of spin and speed, for which the abtsman has a split second to attempt to read these factors, and then determine the best coruse of action.
Matt Thomas, London, UK
Normally articles published for The Times are if not insightful, always factual. This one is utter rubbish. SImon Barnes, you fail to comprehend the fact that in football, cricket, rugby etc that players have a very limited time period in which to evaluate their decision and execute this action.
Matt Thomas, London, UK
Quite an interesting article...one point though, Riise headed the ball because he has NO RIGHT FOOT.
Riise should only ever be used as a back up left midfielder...he is far too dangerous at the back. Better still...sell him so he can't do it again.
Roy, Liverpool, Merseyside
What a load of rubbish Mr Barnes!How can you compare the thinking behind snooker and that of football.In snooker you can walk round the table a few times before deciding your next shot.Riise had but a split second to decide what to do, when was Davis asked to play a shot under similar circumstances?
Ian Higton, Hua Hin, Thailand