Stephen Jones
Pick up your copy of Joy Division: Closer at WHSmith today

When the television was turned off in England’s hotel in Auckland yesterday after New Zealand’s 21-11 win over Ireland, I hope Rob Andrew leapt to his feet, scanned the room and mentally discarded from selection for next week’s New Zealand-England Test in Auckland anyone without pace and power. I hope he told them there and then to forget it if they did not match up. Go home.
It is fiendishly difficult to say which of Saturday’s teams is the more denuded of its best players – New Zealand by the loss of players to Europe and injury, England by injury and exhaustion. It is difficult because in the posttraumatic period in New Zealand after their World Cup shocker, and with England about to enter the Martin Johnson era, neither camp has the foggiest who their best players are meant to be.
However, as yesterday showed, the traditional staples of New Zealand’s game, pace and raw power, have clearly survived. The theory that England have chosen the perfect time to play a feeble New Zealand has been exploded. But while there may be a distinct interregnum feel about the coaching reign of Andrew and the captaincy of Steve Borthwick, England should be fronting up, aiming to meet fire with fire and trying to win at least one of the two Tests in the series.
So enter turn of foot, and strength of arm. Even the Barbarians match at Twickenham last week proved (to those few who still needed proof) that these days, a back division including Toby Flood, Mathew Tait, David Strettle and their ilk is too lightweight. Yesterday, in windy Wellington, the theory was nailed down. England know now that they have to contest the breakdown with near-savagery, that the All Black pick-and-drive is explosive, that in the contact areas the All Blacks can be thunderous.
Take Ma’a Nonu, who is very far from being the cleverest footballer ever to play for New Zealand. In a tight match against a good defence, he is often poor, with fists of ham. But he is massive, a bulldozer. If England choose Boy Scouts against him, and against a team of such power, they will be blitzed.
The sharpness and physicality of the All Black lineout, in which Ali Williams and especially Rodney So’oialo, and their lifters, were outstanding yesterday, makes you fear for the willing, warrior-like but willowy Borthwick. A lineout partnership of, say, the lithe Nick Kennedy and Borthwick could be blown away as decisively as a midfield partnership of Flood and Tait. I am sure Andrew will not agree, and will not leave out his skipper, but I would choose Ben Kay to anchor my lineout. He gives it more of a clatter.
Where else can England go in their weakened state? There is good news. At last, they have available the centre partnership of Olly Barkley and Mike Tindall, which they should have fielded in every one of the admittedly irregular periods when they were both available. Barkley is not the biggest man, but he is tough, plays 2st above his weight and his left foot gives England a bail-out. The strapping, influential Tindall is at last fit. Surely he has had all his career injuries, hasn’t he?
They still have intact the fine Sale Sharks half-back partnership of Charlie Hodgson and Richard Wigglesworth, and I don’t feel that Auckland is the place to bring in the promising Danny Care at scrum-half, though Hodgson will need protection from those around him, and there is just the temptation to play Barkley at fly-half with the hard-edged Jamie Noon alongside Tindall. But Hodgson’s class deserves an airing. The back three will not be convincing, but Tom Varndell is less of a gamble than he once was.
England must construct a pack to throw fury back in Kiwi faces and must also use the bench cleverly. Just one example. They must start with the powerful Nick Easter at No 8 to drive the ball at New Zealand, but then as the game widens, they should bring on Tom Croft, far more athletic and a far better lineout option, in place of Easter, with James Haskell switching from the blindside to No 8.
They have on tour both the Wasps flankers, Haskell and Tom Rees, who played magnificently in the Guinness Premiership final last week. The most truly gracious New Zealanders (and I have met them both) always admire great flankers in the opposition and Haskell has a chance to enter their affections with his combination of beefy power and remarkable skills. Rees will be vying with the slightly bigger Michael Lipman on the openside and here again, in the battle against Richie McCaw, England should let loose the starter for a frantic hour and then bring on the other man.
England have Andrew Sheridan and Matt Stevens up front, a fine foundation, and Sheridan’s ability to make precious short yards round the fringes will be priceless. If I were Andrew and John Wells, the forwards coach, I would order Sheridan to give it the best and fiercest hour that he can, and then bring on the steely Tim Payne for the last quarter.
Some people in English rugby see July 1, and not next Saturday, as the big day, the first day of the rest of our lives. That is when the new agreement comes into force between the RFU and Premier Rugby Limited that not only grants the England management more time with their players, but which will give the England doctor a bigger say on which players are fit or otherwise, the implication being that, especially for these end-of-season tours, the clubs quietly pull players out themselves.
Both theories are shaky. Extra time with England is only of any use if England’s selection and coaching are any good, and from 2003 to date and definitely including the selection for this tour, both have been disastrous.
It would be marvellous to see on Saturday some evidence that England have been progressing during their hidden hours on the training field. After Auckland, the two nations meet in Christchurch, with a third match at Twickenham in the autumn. An England win in one Test in the next fortnight will make them favourites to take the unofficial rubber. There are also bragging rights at stake and ranking points, vital in determining the pools at the next World Cup. Both teams are weakened but there is an authentic air about the series. New Zealand, wounded but fierce yesterday, will be dangerous; England’s rehabilitation must start with a similar ferocity.
TEAM FOR FIRST TEST ON SATURDAY
This is my own choice. It may markedly differ from Rob Andrew. I fear that
England may continue to choose the small and the weak.
They must not, and they must use a clever replacement strategy
Mike Brown; Tom Varndell, Mike Tindall, Olly Barkley, Topsy Ojo; Charlie Hodgson, Richard Wigglesworth; Andrew Sheridan, Dylan Hartley, Matt Stevens, inset, Tom Palmer, Ben Kay, James Haskell, Nick Easter, Michael Lipman
Replacements (50-60 mins) Jamie Noon for Hodgson with Barkley moving to fl y-half; Tim Payne for Sheridan; Lee Mears for Hartley; Steve Borthwick for Palmer; Tom Croft for Easter with Haskell moving to No 8; Tom Rees for Lipman
NEW ZEALAND V ENGLAND
Played 29 New Zealand won 22 England won 6 Drawn 1 Stephen Jones’s England team

Stephen Jones has been rugby correspondent of The Sunday Times for more than 20 years and is regarded as one of the sport’s most influential commentators. Twice named Sports Correspondent of the Year by the Sports Journalists' Association, he won William Hill’s Sports Book of the Year for Endless Winter.
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You talk about English players needing to muscle up,Nonu has only got reasonable since he started using the top 2 inches.
Philip York, Clevedon, NZ
I disagree with most of what Stephen Jones has written and having just seen the team for Saturdays Christchurch am delighted that Tait with Flood.But Tindall and Noon in the centre means no innovation so the chances of the wings seeing the ball are pretty remote.
B I jones, Beijing,
Another prescient offering from Mr Jones. What a super rugby analyst. By the way how did Hodgson perform on the weekend?? (what a shame he can't even blame those accursed, devil inspired ELVs)
David, Sydney, Australia
Another typically woeful Jones article - always full of wisdom and tactical enlightenment AFTER the event, however his pre-match analysis is invariably well wide of the mark His comments earlier this month waxing lyrical about the man he refers to as "splendid" Charlie Hodgson say it all...
Paul, Christchurch,
Hey Phil Tomkinson, you're not in Narnia. Stephen's record of at least one Kiwi insult per article is intact. It was a little more subtle this time ("I've met all two gracious New Zealanders"), but he is Welsh and they are good at subtle insults. I should know, my wife's a Cardiff girl !
Paul, Marlborough , New Zealand
I would suggest that the only way to beat th All Blacks is to become more skillfull than them. They are a class act and one only has to look at overseas teams to appreciate their contribution upon retirement from the representative team.
Alan Ryan, San Hao, China
Just wondering if the fact that paddy wallace defended well against Nonu despite giving away 2 stone is a relevent point jonesy? or the fact that the (my opinion) over-muscled o'driscoll was at fault for letting the small NZ 12 away for Sivivatu's try is worth noting b4 you remove all small backs?
Dave, enniskillen,
To beat the blacks, you have to get over a few hurdles.1. They hate you and want to disembowl you thats just the backs its going to be ferocious....match it or suffer.
2. Many teams have lost before the step on the park, no place for the weak of mind.Sort out 1+2 then play out of your skin.
Shaun walby, Leeds, UK
Is it possible that Steven's restraint indicates a huge AB win?
AJ, Shanghai,
I am no Rugby specialist so have no opinion on whether you are right or wrong in this article. However the only interesting thing England did in the whole of the last world cup was Tait taking on 5 South African's in the final. If he is surplus then so is the sport.
Dave Williams, Beijing, China
Have I woken up in Narnia? has world peace been achieved?? Has Mr S Jones just written an article which failed to insult All Black rugby and every Kiwi in general??? ......must mean he's over here! Never thought the words would pass my lips but good article.....DAMN
phil tomkinson, auckland, new zealand
I have seen live England win 3 of the 6 wins against the AB and the draw. In the last 20 years English rugby has got better. At the moment the AB's are really hurt and the fans want blood 24/7 or these guys are mud. Don't under-estimate this factor of NZ rugby for the next 4 year -then let us choke
TH, Auckland, New Zealand
I'm not sure New Zealand have big enough stadiums to do a full lap around Kevin!!
Dave, Herts, UK
david russell, Berkhamsted, England
Funny how, when venting ill infromed tosh about the ELVs rugby is a "game for all shapes and sizes" yet when it comes to picking a team bigger the better, regardless of skill...
LDC, Hamilton, NZ
Those in the NH who rave about the superior rugby played up there should think about the following.
5 out of the 6 World Cups have been won by SH teams.
I'm not sure what the stats are when it comes to North v South comparisons in test matches but I'm pretty sure it would tell the same story.
Will, Christchurch, New Zealand
If England get within 20 points will they run vicory lap?
Kevin A, New Plymouth, NZ
Charlie Hodgson? Richard Wigglesworth? Give me a break. Care has got to play, he's simply better than Wigglesworth. Flood is a better decision maker, and bigger than Hodgson. And now Easters injured, why not have Rees 7, Lipman 6 and Haskell 8.
Alonso, Guidford,
Dylan Hartley was seriously outmuscled by the Baa Baas, I very much doubt he will learn more from a bashing from the All Black front row than he would in a winning Saxons team.
Ben Saunders, Beckenham, England
Maybe I watched a different game, in the one I saw the NZ pack outplayed Ireland in all departments, NZ moved the ball out twice and scored tries. The rain and cold saved Ireland from a cricket score. England will have no chance NZ by 40 points
Anthony J, Alton , England
I think the decider between the two teams will be fitness... Englands players are fatigued after a long season where as the AB's are fresh and have been playing at a lot higher speed under the much maligned elvs . The additional fitness should
make the AB's far to strong in the last 20.
Gareth, Wellington,
I would love to see New Zealander Dylan Hartley starting for England. A wonderful welcome to International rugby awaits.
The English will play to their strengths - 10 man rugby, which Jones alludes to above in all but name. May work, but one hopes the Kiwis can counter with flowing rugby.
Grant C, Dubai, UAE
Stephen, your child-like excitement for such uninspiring England combinations is envious. I wish I could share your excitement for this game. England can potentially win if the game deteriorates into a forward arm wrestle and penalty-fest. Here is hoping it doesn't.
GT, Shanghai, China
Went to the All Black/Ireland game, Richie McCaw was outstanding.
Looking forward to being at Eden Park this Saturday night, AB's will need to improve, but should have it over England.
Thanks to the great Irish supporters in Wellington, always great company in Molly Malones Pub.
Micha, Palmerston North, New Zealand
jone's views on rugby union or league are as irrelevant as the current orthodoxy prevailing within the labour party.
Like Brown he espouses an ideology that lacks coherence and fails to deal with realities.
He is a dinosaur and a bore. Just like Brown.
BD MATHERS, birmingham,
Steven my good man, you have suggested that the SH Super 14 is sub standard to the NH comps. Why then are the SH nations beating us again?
I fear my Aussie flat mate is right, that we are one hit wonders when it comes to sport
Matt Braine, London, England
I really enjoyed the match yesterday, thought the ABs played really well. Hate the ping pong kicking, but at least the Irish got the ball behind the back 3 most of the time, preventing quick attack ball. I never really understood that. With Easter out, maybe Haskell will get an 8 start with Croft 6.
Maurice Gedling, Tzavrou, Corfu
"generalship and certain sporting gravitas which is needed at fly-half". It seems strange that you now argue for Barkley at fly-half, who looks infinitely less assured and anything but a general at 10. This whole hate game against Tait and Flood is pathetic and started to bore a long time ago.
Joe, York,
The English might also consider hoisting it high. The ABs back three was hesitant in Wellington and there was some potentially disasterous miscommunication going on under the high ball. On another note, I was shocked to so many powerful forwards graduating from the "cream-puff" Super 14.
Sid, Melbourne, Australia
If we dont improve by about 200% during the week, your boys will take us Stephen. Im not just talking you up England know how to apply and maintain pressure; something neither side was able to do last night.
I'll be glued to it, unlike some of those idiotic fickle Deans "supporters" from Chch
Scottie, Auckland, NZ
Interesting turnaround in your views of this series, Stephen. Only a few days ago you were describing the upcoming tests as irrelevant and moaning that you had to miss a Bruce Springsteen concert. Now you are hailing this as a defining series!!
Pete, Te Horo, New Zealand
It would be wonderfull to see a good old fashioned three match series however as usual the off season tour by a Northern Hemisphere team is devalued by their reluctance to bring their A team or even this year their A coach, why is that? I still remember the tour from hell.....
Ben, Auckland, New Zealand
Spot on about the All Blacks physicality and lineout dominance, Stephen.
Ultimately thats where yesterdays game was won and lost.
Hopefully they can build on yesterday's foundations
Jim Nolan, Dublin,
I share the concern about lightweight wings and centres. But Tait is not so much lightweight as played in the wrong position for England - he is not an international centre. Imagine him coming up against de Villiers in Blomfontein! But he is a smart and pacy player who would do a better job than Ojo
Tony Gold, London, England