Tony Cascarino: Analysis
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Graphic: Keeping Kaka under control
RAFAEL BENÍTEZ IS A cautious guy. He’ll be thinking about loading the midfield. Keep it tight, nick a goal, win on penalties again perhaps. But against AC Milan, one up front would be a mistake. How much evidence that it’s foolish does the Liverpool manager need? Three quarters of Milan’s semi-final against Manchester United? The first half of the 2005 final?
If you overload the midfield you are taking aim at Milan’s strongest area. And you won’t win that battle because the Italians are too good in the centre of the pitch. Too special to contain for 90 minutes. Why bother trying to turn the game into a chess match and becoming obsessed about how you can outsmart them? Just go straight for their weaknesses. That requires BenÍtez to show ambition by playing Peter Crouch and Dirk Kuyt together up front.
When I’ve watched Milan this season, the only time they’ve been troubled is when the opposition have got bodies in the box, pinged the ball into the danger area and really gone for them. Take the quarter-final, first leg against Bayern Munich and the second half of the game at Old Trafford in the semi-finals as exhibits A and B. Bayern played direct football and scored two goals at the San Siro.
At Old Trafford in the first half, Wayne Rooney was all alone: isolated, helpless. After the break Rooney, with Ryan Giggs, Cristiano Ronaldo and Paul Scholes bombing on, was a threat. Dida is a good shot-stopper but hates coming off his line. When a ball is pumped into the area, the body language of Paolo Maldini and Alessandro Nesta, the centre backs, betrays anxieties about Dida. They don’t know what he’s going to do. Neither does he. And they’re not so hot themselves under pressure.
Give the pair only one striker to think about and they’re lighting cigars. They will subdue him with their experience – including those hard-to-spot little fouls. Give Maldini and Nesta one striker and you’re giving them time, the time to play cultured passes to the midfield and set up attacks. Two strikers puts them under the cosh and makes them more likely to find the stand instead of Andrea Pirlo, Clarence Seedorf or Kaká. Two up front will open the game up, but the chances are that that trio will see the ball less, which can only be good.
If Crouch and Kuyt play, Liverpool must select two wingers to provide adequate service and sacrifice Xabi Alonso, who is a nice passer but just not quick enough. BenÍtez has to resist the temptation to put Steven Gerrard on the right. Sure, he’ll do a good job there, but out wide he’s on the fringes; in the middle he’s pivotal. He’s got a good enough engine to outrun even Gennaro Gattuso, the Milan defensive midfield player.
Harry Kewell is the best left-sided forward at the club but he’s not the best option to start in Athens. He’ll be running on adrenalin, but that can’t mask his shortage of first-team football. And no one will forget that he lasted only 23 minutes in Istanbul. Why take the risk again? Bring him on to inject a spark later in the game. Lots of fans and pundits seem unimpressed with Boudewijn Zenden, but he keeps the ball well and his delivery is good. He’s more reliable than Mark González, another left-wing option, even if Zenden is less showy and slower.
Pick wingers and two strikers and Milan will have to adapt to Liverpool – much more desirable than Liverpool adapting to Milan.
Italian teams double up all the time. I want to see Gattuso helping his left back to subdue Jermaine Pennant: that will free up Gerrard. The dream for Liverpool is to see Pirlo, Kaká and Seedorf going backwards. They hate defending , they’re not good at it, and if they’re nearer their goal than yours, it’s hard for them to hurt you.
When Milan do stream forward, Liverpool’s centre backs need to go forward and meet them. Forget being self-conscious about leaving a big hole behind you. It’s not like Milan have a lot of pace and Alberto Gilardino and Filippo Inzaghi are hardly of the calibre of Milan’s strike duo in Istanbul, Andriy Shevchenko and Hernán Crespo. But just ask Manchester United about what happens if you allow Milan time 20 yards out.
Let’s see the Liverpool who beat Chelsea at Anfield in the semi-finals. It’ll take courage from BenÍtez, but his side weren’t bad two years ago when they had no option but to attack, were they?
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there's no doubt ACmilan will win the game!!Italy football is fantastic!
Bob , Chongqing , China
Are people just discussing this tie because Liverpool won against the Rossoneri in 2005 ?. Lets revisit reality. Milan's defence and mid-field is way too superior. Who'll match Pirlo, Seedorf and Kaka in the center and who expects Gerrard & Co. to break through the backline of Gattuso, Ambrosini, Maldini and Nesta. Liverpool is better off shooting darts on a board than trying to break that defence.
Paul, Copenhagen,
Tony, I totally disagree with you. You cannot afford to open things up, you will commit suicide! you must choke them in midfield ,haggle them,tire them by having a strong ,tight aggressive unit. with bellamy running crazy at the cente of there aging defence. when the game wears on and there players tire out then and only then do you change things around. and yes when you play in europes champions league intellegence is key. and thats where rafa's king and fergies not! We don't want to do crazy nonsense like utd did against Milan. Utd did exactly what you said attacked milan, opened there midfield and let the goals flow in. Tony you have no expierience about euro football, only playing with an avarage side like aston villa, no direspect but they aren't quite Liverpool nor Ac Milan. Come on Men Lets Bring the Cup Back home for the "6th" TIME! INCREDIBLE! and Utd are the best!? yeah right. not till they win 6 Champions league, 18 League titles etc etc etc and have fans like ours
Red Dawn, Liverpool, UK
I'm talking about the beautiful game John. Not as a liverpool fan, you'd understand....
Now, ask your brother Paul if he can get you a ticket...
S. Bright, Bristol,
AC Milan have only won two games away from home in the champions league this season. With more than 30,000 reds supporters in the stadium, and with Milan bringing around 15,000 this will feel like a home tie for Liverpool and an away tie for Milan. Could the twelfth man make the difference?
Rich, Darlington, Durham
Watching the two teams, Milan should win..they seem better..let's just see what happens
Robert, Bucharest, Romania
Mmm, so you're suggesting Liverpool bypass the midfield? In the meantime Milan can play keepy uppy while deciding on the killer pass leaving Crouch and Kuyt to twiddle their thumbs upfront waiting for the long ball.. If only life were so simple. To play the long ball you need to be in possession..
There's a reason Liverpool don't go for all out attack, particularly at this level. Call it caution. call it pragmatism or call it plain common sense, they simply haven't got the personnel to do it. It would be like asking a lightweight to trade punches with a heavyweight, they'd get clobbered in the end.
To suggest that you make no effort to counter the opposition's strengths is only an option if you are vastly superior in all departments - so that's a non starter. It won't make them popular but a dull and suffocating game is the one that Liverpool want and even then they won't be able to relax for a minute.
G Mac, Malaga, Spain
For the good of football??? S.Bright is talking about the same Milan who were docked 8 points for breaking the rules at the start of this season. For the good of football??? Give me a break !!
John McCartney, Dublin, Ireland
Kaka will be the main reason will beat liverpool in the champions league final in Athens.Milan will rely on his direct approach with his pace and passing,which will be too much for Liverpool too handle.Milan also have the likes of Pirlo at set pieces as well and i think that Liverpool will not be able to cope with the all round approach Milan will hit them with.Inzaghi or Gilardino will be hard to stifle as well if Kaka is given the chance to hurt them as well.
Mr D G Roberts, Derby,
Let's hope for the good of football Milan win.
S.Bright, Bristol,
If you think that Liverpool win.....I think you are dreaming !!
claudio , Milan, Italy
Most fellow supporters all agree, we need to start with two up top (Crouch and Kuyt). Riise needs to play LB, Pennant starts, but on the left. Alonso and Mascher in the middle with SG playing through the right channel. The rest picks themselves. That is our strongest line-up, taking into account form and ability.
Jimmy me Case open, London, UK