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On Tuesday we will finally know. Brian Ashton announces his 30 for the World Cup. Next Saturday, he promises to unleash his full first XV, together for the very first time, to take on the French in fiery Marseilles.
To help Ashton with selection as he sharpens up for the final cut, we brought together a panel with enough opinions to sink a battleship. Neil Back, in his time as a World Cup hero, was fit, feisty, almost unnervingly focused. These days, in his mellow years, coaching at Leicester and in proud retirement, he is ... completely unchanged. We also brought in our own Stuart Barnes and Jeremy Guscott, men of such strong views that as they assert, not once in hundreds of games together and a relationship lasting nearly 20 years, have they agreed on anything.
As our session unfolded, there were surprises. Who would have thought that the key to England’s attacking game and Ashton’s whole philosophy would be ... the 19st lock, Simon Shaw. And from these hard-bitten critics who have followed England down the world rankings and almost down the drain, we heard something else. Something remarkable. They whispered it quietly, they have reservations. But they are optimistic.
SJ: This week is gargantuan. We get the squad, and we’ll know next Saturday evening whether things really have improved, or if we were all away with the pixies after all.
SB: The Marseilles game is huge. Brian is absolutely adamant that the game will be full-on. He says he’s been mixing it up so far, but in Marseilles, it’s our best team. That England team on Saturday night is the team to play South Africa in the World Cup. I’ve given England no chance so far. But if they win in Marseilles against a strong French team, you suddenly think, “Bloody hell!”
NB: Ashton has to stick to going for the win and not water it down. So far we’ve seen a big win against a very poor side (Wales). That’s not enough to go on. In Marseilles we’ll find out where we are. And we need to show form away from home. Don’t forget the World Cup is away from home.
SJ: Let’s dive straight in then. Are we celebrating the return of a powerful forward base in the team and of Ashton changing totally his philosophy?
JG: Am I being too romantic here? Yes I admire their physical conditioning and power. Isn’t there more to it than that? Against Wales they attacked down one furrow. Can’t we expect just a little bit of invention?
NB: Correct. If England launch one-off runners they are easy to deal with. Say you have a group of three coming round the corner inside the fly-half and another group of three outside. Suddenly, the primary carrier has all those options inside and outside.
JG: Yes but do England have those clever players Backy? We don’t look like the Brazilian football team to me.
SB: We know already this team will not be playing nearly as wide as Ashton’s normal teams but they have got something to offer. Matt Stevens has lovely hands. I saw Andy Sheridan in training this week giving a lovely inside ball. And what about big Shawsy? He’s 19st, but he has the ability to run at you and then let it go at the last minute. Shaw can be a symbol of what England are trying to do, to have the power but expand and have options in attack, as Backy says.
SJ: Let’s find a squad and a first XV then. Two men have been talked about as much as all the rest of the possible selections combined. Lawrence Dallaglio and Andy Farrell. Jeremy, you rubbished Lawrence’s chances in your column not so long ago. You said he should be put out to grass. I understand Lawrence was so annoyed that you didn’t go out with him for a major drink-up for a whole three days. Do you regret that attack now?
JG: No, not at all. At that time, Lol was nowhere near where he is now. Last week when he came on against Wales, he looked fantastic, almost like he did in 2003, and on the Lions tour in ’05 before he got injured.
NB: I am not quite sure where he is physically but it seems to be that typically, he has timed his run into top physical condition and also his media furore, to perfection.
SJ: Neil! You are surely not suggesting that Lawrence uses the media to advance his cause now and again, are you?
NB: All the really great players talk about themselves really well. You have got to believe you are the best. He thinks it, and that kind of belief rubs off on others.
SB: Lawrence is a force of nature. The way he gets himself ready for big games is staggering. Look at him in the Heineken final, and coming off the bench last week. Just to see him strutting round the England team hotel lately has been something.
SJ: It seems that he has also been reembraced. In the Andy Robinson era when Martin Corry was captain, it seemed that Lol was seen as the dodgy old uncle up in the loft who’d gone wrong. But I am yet to be convinced that Nick Easter is explosive enough or a ball player. It’s a cruel thing to drop a bloke who scored four tries, maybe even from the 30.
SB: It’s not cruel. Scoring four tries from a total distance of a metre is neither here nor there. It’s just tabloid headline stuff.
SJ: Let’s move on to the vexatious question of Andy Farrell.
JG: It’s not vexatious. It cannot happen. I love Brian. I love his thought processes. But we could fall out over Andy. It’s run its course. They’ve made him defensive leader, but that strikes me as trying to find a role for him. Last week, for example, he tried really hard but he held on to ball that should have gone. Sorry, but he hasn’t got it.
SB: It’s many years since I agreed wholeheartedly with Jeremy Guscott. In fact, I can’t remember that last time.
SJ: But you two played together all those years.
SB/JG: So what?
NB: I also have a real defensive worry with Farrell. Whenever the Tigers play Saracens we always plan to get around him in defence. I would have liked to see him play against France yesterday to be really tested. Last week he did the basics well ...
SB: But did he though, Backy? Surely he was brought in to be a kind of super-strong version of Will Greenwood. When I went to Twickenham last week I had a dream of Danny Hipkiss and Jason Robinson picking the lines late, coming on to the short passes from Farrell, which is what he is meant to be good at. But where were the offloads?
SJ: Let’s stay in midfield. The vibes are that neither [Mike] Tindall or [Charlie] Hodgson are going to make it and for me, that is desperate news on both counts. You don’t want Farrell to start, not even by default because he’s a big bloke with something of a kicking game? But someone has to play 12. Who?
SB: Well I suppose that snce we are talking effectively about England playing South Africa here, and as there is a school of thought that South Africa have three big bangers in their back row, you could slide Farrell in to defend at No 10, with Jonny in the next channel. You stand toe to toe against the Boks and stop them, because Butch James can't play. Farrell does have that kicking game, I suppose.
JG: Barnesy, that is really negative.
SB: I prefer to say that is understandably pragmatic but yes, it is negative.
SJ: I repeat. Who is the England inside centre then?
JG: Mike Catt.
NB: (long pause) Catt.
SB: Well, Catt, but with Olly Barkley as a serious option if he goes well. Catty throws those bloody great big miss balls.
SJ Don’t we like those big miss balls?
SB: Not when Bryan Habana is coming on the interception, we don’t! There will be one try in it between England and South Africa and give Habana the ball 70 yards out, he’s gone.
SJ: I wonder about Catty physically these days against all those 18st giants coming down his channel. And that’s just the backs. Josh Lewsey will hate this because he wants a position to stick to. But I would choose him in the centre alongside Hipkiss, not only for his strength and power, but because he is a great player seriously misunderstood. Moving outwards, is Danny Hipkiss the best outside-centre prospect since Jerry? I am excited about him.
SB: Very good player but not yet. If we are saying that Mike Tindall won’t make it, I think Jamie Noon can do a great job at outside centre. I never thought he was world-class but he is strong and direct.
JG: Jamie Noon has never had a bad game for England. If I was playing against Danny I would feel that if I got a yard on him on the outside, I would be past him.
NB: Actually, I have no qualms about Danny’s defence at all. I have worked with him on his hitting low and positioning himself on the outside so if they do try to step him, they step in to a full body tackle. Danny’s level headed. His hands may not be as assured as they might be, but he is brilliant at keeping his feet and allowing the other players to latch on. I have seen him being picked up by the Leicester forwards and thrown forward 20 or 30 metres. Very strong.
SJ: The great blow was the loss of Harry Ellis, who had just begun to fulfill himself. We've seen a revival in Shaun Perry. Is he the man?
NB: I was disappointed with Perry last season. He looked short of a bit of pace and he didn't seem to be making the breaks. But he can release other players round the contact areas.
JG: Sometimes, Perry seems just a nano-second too slow. At the moment, Jonny Wilkinson needs all the time he can get. Andy Gomarsall seens to me to be the best exponent because he gets the ball out quickly
SB: Perry had second season syndrome but I like him. The way that Bristol play, with someone like Jason Strange at fly-half kicking a fair bit, Perry felt like he had to take things on himself. Let's go back to South Africa because that is who we are planning for. The Boks play a blitz defence, you have to hit through that middle channel and you need a scrum-half like Perry, who can hurt you there.
SJ: The other disaster area since 2003 has been open-side flanker. Neil, how well or badly has your jersey been worn since you retired and who would you play there?
NB: They never got the combination right. Yes, we have had some great ball carriers. But one of the three has to be someone whose instinct is totally to support and win the ball. I knew I wasn’t the best ball carrier so we’d give someone else the ball and I’d go and win it back. Now, I’d be telling someone like Lewis Moody, “Look, we know you are a good ball carrier, but think about supporting the carrier and rewinning the ball”.
JG: It seems to me that they have all got mixed messages.
SJ: I know Stuart found something to criticise in Joe Worsley last week. We both thought that he coped brilliantly on the open side but there was that horrible moment when he blew a try through a lack of vision. But when he is on song, he has so much. But if Tom Rees is fit I think he is the next world-class bolter. What about the back three? I am sorry that David Strettle is injured but surely to goodness they were never thinking of leaving out Josh Lewsey for the youngsters?
JG: I would go for Danny Cipriani at full-back and Josh on the wing. You could pick Josh at 15 and he’d be fine, but he does run in straight lines. Cipriani can spin on a sixpence. In sport, there are some special kids who can deliver. He is one.
NB: But Jeremy, can he get back to make that tackle once the lines break has been made?
JG: Yes, at least as well as any of the other contenders.
SB: I think at full-back, that Brian has long seen Mark Cueto as the man with vision, and he also has a kicking game. If Brian has physicality on the wings, he will want a footballer at full-back. Jason Robinson will be on one wing, because he is England’s best finisher.
NB: I was disappointed with Josh in the Six Nations. They were right to drop him and some of his body language was lacking. Now he seems more grounded.
SJ: Stuart, we always disagree on age against beauty. Have Barnesy’s Babes – like Tait, Flood, Abendanon, Strettle – now been knocked back to the next World Cup, where I believe they belong?
SB: I think Mathew Tait should go to this World Cup because he is a talent, though when you see him picked up and tossed around it’s not a great sight. He isn’t small but, in a sense, he plays as if he is.
SJ: What about the middle of the lineout. Am I being old-fashioned in wanting a horrible giant there? Who is the best bet?
NB: Ben Kay for me. He is a great lineout leader, a key decision maker in seeing where the opening is. He runs great lines in attack and spots the holes, he makes big hits. That gives him the edge over Steve Borthwick for me.
SB: When we are not certain that means we don't have a dominant player. Ben Kay struggled in the Heineken Cup final so there are reservations. But he has over Borthwick and Tom Palmer an extra physicality. He is smart, he hits the holes.
SJ: But why all the ups and downs in the form of Kay, Lawrence; everyone, in fact?
NB: You’ve got to understand that Lawrence and others cannot be up there all the time. Your standards drop. It is only once every four years that we can get into proper preparation, because it’s the only time that the club v country thing allows it. You need rest. You need to recover after training. You need to sort out those little niggles and go in for those rubs. You need to hydrate all the time and take on the right foods. Now, they are doing all that.
SJ: That’s very telling Neil. You seem to be saying that England will only be able to prepare properly, and reach a peak, once every four years when the World Cup is looming.
NB: As a collective, yes, that’s true.
SJ: Finally. Can England win it? Straight answer?
JG: Well, I’d be gobsmacked. But if they keep progressing ...
SB: Six months ago, absolutely no chance. But you do start to wonder just a little bit. I still think they will lose in the semi-final but if I give them a 10% chance that’s 10% more than I did a few weeks ago.
NB: We haven’t won two big games back to back for ever, But they can win because their best XV can beat anyone. My head says no way. My heart says that they can.
SJ: Finally, can someone ring Andy Goode to commiserate. He’s the only Tiger not in Backy’s team. Neil Back, Jeremy Guscott, Stuart Barnes and Stephen Jones select their England XV and the rest of the squad for the World Cup. The selections assume the absence of Dan Ward-Smith, David Strettle, Charlie Hodgson and Mike Tindall for the tournament in France next month
Who should play for England? Our pundits make their choice...
Neil Back’s England team Mark Cueto; Josh Lewsey, Mike Catt, Danny Hipkiss, Jason Robinson; Jonny Wilkinson, Shaun Perry; Andrew Sheridan, George Chuter, Phil Vickery, Simon Shaw, Ben Kay, Joe Worsley, Martin Corry, Lewis Moody
Also in RWC squad: Danny Cipriani, Paul Sackey, Olly Barkley; Mathew Tait, Andy Farrell, Jamie Noon, Andy Gomarsall, Peter Richards; Perry Freshwater, Mark Regan, Lee Mears, Matt Stevens, Steve Borthwick, Lawrence Dallaglio, Tom Rees
Staying home: Nick Abendanon, Toby Flood, Kevin Yates, James Haskell, Tom Palmer, Nick Easter
Stuart Barnes’s England team Mark Cueto; Josh Lewsey, Mike Catt, Jamie Noon, Jason Robinson; Jonny Wilkinson, Shaun Perry; Andrew Sheridan, Mark Regan, Phil Vickery, Simon Shaw, Ben Kay, Joe Worsley, Lawrence Dallaglio, Tom Rees
Also in RWC squad: Nick Abendanon, Olly Barkley, Andy Farrell, Danny Hipkiss, Paul Sackey, Mathew Tait, Andy Gomarsall, Peter Richards; Perry Freshwater, Matt Stevens, George Chuter, Lee Mears, Martin Corry, Tom Palmer, James Haskell
Staying home: Danny Cipriani, Toby Flood, Kevin Yates, Steve Borthwick, Lewis Moody, Nick Easter
Jeremy Guscott’s England team Danny Cipriani; Josh Lewsey, Mike Catt, Danny Hipkiss, Jason Robinson; Jonny Wilkinson, Shaun Perry; Andrew Sheridan, Mark Regan, Phil Vickery, Simon Shaw, Ben Kay, Nick Easter, Lawrence Dallaglio, Joe Worsley
Also in RWC squad: Nick Abendanon, Mark Cueto, Olly Barkley, Mathew Tait, Jamie Noon, Andy Gomarsall, Peter Richards; Matt Stevens, Kevin Yates, Lee Mears, George Chuter, Tom Palmer, James Haskell, Martin Corry, Tom Rees
Staying home: Paul Sackey, Andy Farrell, Toby Flood, Perry Freshwater, Steve Borthwick, Lewis Moody
Stephen Jones’s England team Danny Cipriani; Paul Sackey, Danny Hipkiss, Josh Lewsey, Jason Robinson; Jonny Wilkinson, Shaun Perry; Andrew Sheridan, Mark Regan, Phil Vickery, Simon Shaw, Ben Kay, Joe Worsley, Lawrence Dallaglio, Tom Rees
Also in RWC squad: Mark Cueto, Mike Catt, Olly Barkley, Jamie Noon, Andy Gomarsall, Peter Richards; Kevin Yates, Perry Freshwater, Lee Mears, George Chuter, Matt Stevens, Tom Palmer, Martin Corry, Lewis Moody, James Haskell
Staying home: Nick Abendanon, Mathew Tait, Toby Flood, Andy Farrell, Steve Borthwick, Nick Easter
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From history, when the Bokke lose, it is because they are tactically wrong or confused at half-backs. England's strategy must be to attack them round both sides. Having a single runner, as Neil Back says, is easy to defend against. The game could certainly be won by the boot, on penalties. Pressure, pressure, pressure on 9 and 10. Schalk will give away a few, for sure.
Tony Gold, London, England
I know I have the luxury seeing the squad, but Ashton was right on the money. Tindall will be the biggest miss by a country mile. Living in Shanghai I miss all the hype about Englandâs prospects. With no natural full back, Noon and Farrell only brought in to replace an irreplaceable Tindall, and a back row that has no continuity at all (nobody can even name the starting back row) I can see that things may look bleak. However, I was Dallaglioâs biggest critic 6 months ago, now he seems inspirational for the squad. Why not Corry at second row? Tait at centre?
Finally, all the Times panel picked (give or take) the same starting 15. The squad has 12 world cup winners. The mood seems to have shifted full circle since South Africa. There is a lovely balance of experience to help some seriously talented youngsters. I stand by my view of a semi final being a great success but by that stage anything can happen, especially if NZ choke again. Surely itâs worth a flutter?!
Ollie, Shanghai,
Based on the games i've watched over the past year or so I would have gone with the following team based on ability and commitment i both defense and attack:
Sheridan
Regan
Stevens
Shaw
Palmer
Easter
Rees
Lund
Perry
Wilkinson
Cueto
Noon
Hipkiss
Sackey
Lewsey
yes I know Vickery isn't in it but I think Stevens has done more on the pitch
Simon, Telford, England
I just have to vent my spleen about Josh Lewsey.
I have read in this place and others that 'England have no specialist fullback'.
Lewsey won a World Cup winners medal as a fullback and has the soundest defense of *any* England three-quarter, how much more specialist do you need to be?
He had a fearfully long season (much of it spent making try-saving tackles for England) and got jaded and then Ashton shunts him on to the wing!
Englands backs simply have to be:
Perry, Wilkinson, Catt, Hipkiss or Noon, Robinson, Sackey and Lewsey.
Pace, defence, nouse.
The forwards will be fine.
David, St Albans, UK
It's deja vu all over again: A big clunky England pack producing stultifyingly slow ball for a bunch of backs who don't know what to do with quick ball.
I was no fan of Robinson, but what has Ashton achieved that is any better?
Martin, London,
From what we have seen the team should be:
1. Andrew Sheridan (Sale Sharks)
2. Mark Regan (Bristol Rugby)
3. Phil Vickery (London Wasps, captain)
4. Simon Shaw (London Wasps)
5. Ben Kay Leicester Tigers
6. Nick Easter (Harlequins)
7. Joe Worsley (London Wasps)
8. Lawrence Dallaglio London Wasps
9. Shaun Perry (Bristol Rugby)
10. Jonny Wilkinson (Newcastle Falcons)
11. Jason Robinson (Unattached)
12. Mike Catt London Irish
13. Dan Hipkiss (Leicester Tigers)
14. Paul Sackey London Wasps
15. Mark Cueto (Sale Sharks)
16 Matt Stevens Bath Rugby
17 George Chuter (Leicester Tigers)
18. Martin Corry (Leicester Tigers)
19. Tom Rees
20 Andy Gomarsall Harlequins
21 Olly Barkley Bath Rugby
22. Josh Lewsey (London Wasps)
Rest Of Squad
23. Steve Borthwick (Bath Rugby)
24. Andy Farrell (Saracens)
25 Perry Freshwater Perpignan
26 Lewis Moody Leicester Tigers
27 Nick Abendanon Bath Rugby
28. Mathew Tait (Newcastle Falcons
29 Richards/Wigglesworth
Miles, Thame,
Mark Cueto; Josh Lewsey, Mike Catt, Mathew Tait, Jason Robinson; Jonny Wilkinson, Shaun Perry; Andrew Sheridan, George Chuter, Phil Vickery, Simon Shaw, Ben Kay, Joe Worsley, Lawrence Dallaglio, Tom Rees
Maybe a defensive risk but Catt and Tait at 12 & 13 could be our best option to open up defences. If not Tait then Hipkiss.
Tim, Surrey, England
England could not have scored a try if they had had all day against the french or so it seemed. How then can the pundits apart from JG suggest leaving out Easter, the man who just keeps on scoring tries. What does he have to do? Why not keep Lawrence for the cameo role in the last quarter. He struggled on saturday and was clearly less effective knowing that he had to last for the whole 80 minutes.
john kennar, Lymington, England
England's best hope of beating the Boks may actually be to not take them on in the forwards - they'll compete, but I don't think they can beat the Bok pack at present. When England were here earlier in the year they looked pretty good in broken play with the likes of Tait running some excellent angles. The Bokke are effectively playing with 12 forwards (9, 10, 12 & 13 added to the pack) and you'd fancy your chances wider out. Just don't let Habana get a sniff......
Duncan, Johannesburg, South Africa
With the exception of Rees and Moody there is a distinct lack of pace in the back row. Magnus Lund is an athlete who would go well on the hard fast ground of France. He did well when he came on in South Africa and has never put a foot wrong for England. Worseley is not a natural 7.
roger kingston, york,
I have more than a sneaky feeling that these relics of the game are going to be embarrassed once again when the squad is announced.
Jack Berry, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Why on earth hasnt he played Tom Palmer in the wam up games?? He is mobile and plays with his head up and brain in gear, I am shocked the Ashton seems not to rate him.
I thought he was supposed to be taking us forward after all the fanfare of his appointment, it just seems he is Andy Robinson in disguise. I am left scrathing and shaking by head,
Nic, Essex
Nicolaas Luitsz, Canvey Island, UK
Just goes to show that anyone with a minor knowledge of rugby can make a living as a pundit. Being an ex International gives you no more of an insight than my landlord at the Tivoli in Cheltenham.
Andy, Cheltenham,
It seems Ashton has spent 2 games trying to find 16-30. He's not the only one who despite the 40 games a year our players play he has no clue who he wants in his squad - and will now select off the back of 2 scratch teams 1 against an extremely poor Welsh team - and off very little hint of any back play. I would say as with other coaches that that is wasted time and pointless prevarication. It also hints the coach does not know where he wants to go (or harshly 'you don't know what you're doing').
He will pick his squad/team now and see how they do after Tuesday. Genius... Not...
Jon, feltham, middx