Philippe Saint-Andre: Analysis
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And so we come to the final day of another fascinating RBS Six Nations Championship and what good fortune that the title will be decided in the final match. No need, as there has been in previous years, to keep the trophy waiting at a service station on the M4 to see if it should be taken to Cardiff or Twickenham (with a plane ready to whisk it to Rome, just in case).
That is not to say that only one match matters. There are two important games before Wales take on France at the Millennium Stadium. At lunchtime, Italy must beat Scotland to avoid the wooden spoon and then comes England versus Ireland. OK, no trophy is resting on this, but it is an important match between two teams who, yet again, have underperformed.
Wales v France
Of course, it is the match in Cardiff that excites me the most. There will be a great atmosphere in the Welsh capital before and during the match. As a proud Frenchman, I am hoping that there will not be such a great atmosphere after the game. But, although I would like France to win, I think it is a tough request for them to win by the 20 points they need to take the title.
Wales are pushing for a second grand slam in four seasons and it is a brilliant achievement by their new coaching staff. Both teams on display today have had new coaches this season, proving that occasionally a change can be what a team need. I am also delighted that the title will be won by one of the two teams who have played the most exciting rugby.
Wales will be desperate to win in front of their fans. The players know each other so well and have such trust in each other. France, by contrast, have tried 37 players this season, which does not give much consistency, but it shows the strength in depth.
For this match, Marc Lièvremont has gone back to experience, with players such as Jean-Baptiste Elissalde, Damien Traille, Julien Bonnaire and Thierry Dusautoir winning favour. Experimentation can get you so far, but experience is what is needed today. The big question, apart from who will win, is whether Shane Williams or Vincent Clerc ends up as the tournament's top tryscorer. Both have five tries and will be itching to score one or two more.
Verdict France by one point.
England v Ireland
England return to Twickenham after three matches on the road and they are desperate to make up for the shocking lapse the last time they played there, against Wales. If they had not let their big half-time lead slip, they could have been pushing for the title.
I am surprised that only one change has been made to the England team. It was not only Jonny Wilkinson who had a bad day in Edinburgh. It is more than eight years since he has had to sit on a bench to watch the first half and he will be desperate to get on and prove people wrong. It is a huge day for Danny Cipriani as well. Will today be the start of one of the great England careers?
As for Ireland, they will be disappointed not to have beaten Wales last weekend, especially as they failed to score when it was 15 men against 14. They have an experienced team, but it is time to look to the future. Time for Rob Kearney and Andrew Trimble to show that they can answer Ireland's call.
Verdict England by six points.
Italy v Scotland
Scotland did very well against England in miserable conditions and they will be keen to end this season that promised so much in January with a second win. Italy will be desperate to get their first.
And I think Italy can do it. With the exception of their match against Wales, they have competed hard against everyone and are getting better.
Verdict Italy by four points.
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